Fluminense vs Sport Recife Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2025
There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Fluminense and Sport Recife might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -163 look more than fair.
Fluminense were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Botafogo. The Rio de Janeiro side had two shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.
Sport Recife drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 0-0 against Fortaleza. Pepa's men had the lion’s share of the ball recording 58% possession and eight shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fluminense have won three on the bounce against Sport. In the last clash, Fluminense bagged a 1-0 victory as the home side. The past 4 H2H games have involved three Fluminense wins and just one victory for Sport.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Fluminense |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18:13 | 20 |
Fluminense have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Renato Gaucho's team have averaged 56.9% possession and 5.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 8.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.
Kevin Serna and Jhon Arias lead the way with 2 goals, while German Cano has scored 1. Jhon Arias, Agustin Canobbio and Nonato have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Sport have lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. The Pernambuco club have averaged 50.3% possession, 6.2 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Sergio Oliveira and Chrystian Barletta are both on 1 goals. Hereda and Lucas Lima are the top assist makers with 1 in the previous 6 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Freytes, Gabriel Fuentes, Hercules, Martinelli, Jhon Arias, Ganso, Agustin Canobbio, Everaldo.
Sport Recife confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Caique Franca (GK), Hereda, Joao Silva, Chico, Igor Carius, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Rodrigo Atencio, Lucas Lima, Chrystian Barletta, Pablo.
Fluminense vs Sport Recife Prediction & Betting Tips
We are expecting a low number of goals for this Série A encounter. The odds of -163 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.
Key Fluminense vs Sport Recife league stats:
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 61.9% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Sport Recife
Fluminense can be backed at +460 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife) can be wagered at -122 to record a minimum of one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Kevin Serna (Fluminense) has scored two goals in his past eight Serie A matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +325 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates less than three goals to be registered, Fluminense to come out on top along with Chrystian Barletta to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Fluminense vs Sport Recife Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Fluminense are the -139 favourites and that means a 58% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Sport Recife are least likely to win at +480.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Série A match, with the leading football betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your bets.
Favourite Germán Cano is available at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Fluminense League Stats
Sport Recife League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.17 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 5.33 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 3 away matches
- An average of 10.17 corners awarded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 9.33 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 2 of the last 6 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 away matches
- An average of 56.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.33% possession in the last 6 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 3 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 6 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 3 away matches
- Top Scorers for Fluminense this season are German Cano (1), Jhon Arias (1), Martinelli (1)
- Top Assistors for Fluminense this season are Agustin Canobbio (1), Jhon Arias (1)
Fluminense vs Sport Recife Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Fluminense vs Sport team news.
The Série A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Fluminense Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Fluminense Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Fluminense Substitutes
- 5Facundo Bernal
- 6Rene
- 7Renato Augusto
- 16Nonato
- 18Ruben Lezcano
- 19Joaquin Lavega
- 23Guga
- 26Manoel Messias
- 29Thiago Santos
- 45Vinicius Lima
- 90Kevin Serna
- 98Vitor Eudes
Sport Recife Substitutes
- 3Lucas Cunha
- 8Fabricio Dominguez
- 11Gustavo Maia
- 12Thiago Couto
- 17Carlos Alberto
- 29Dalbert
- 33Matheus Alexandre
- 37Du Queiroz
- 38Arthur
- 59C. Jonatan Ortiz
- 77Lenny Lobato
- 91Romarinho
Previous Fluminense Lineups
Previous Sport Recife Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Fluminense FC Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Renato Gaucho
Sport Recife Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22:22 | 16 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Vitória | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 16 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 13 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Athletico PR | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Vitória | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 5 | Vasco da Gama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Grêmio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 10 | Santos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 11 | Flamengo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 12 | Bahia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Chapecoense | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Remo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 19 | Internacional | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 20 | Corinthians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
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