Les Bleus Look the Smart Pick

France should land the money against Italy and we’ll take Les Bleus on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of -175 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Match Preview

France approach this fixture after losing 2-1 in the Euro 2024 semi-final against Spain. Didier Deschamps' team had 42% possession and three shots on target, with Randal Kolo Muani on the scoresheet.

Italy played Switzerland in their last match and this was a Euro 2024 last 16 clash at Olympiastadion. The scoreline was a 2-0 loss, with Gli Azzurri having 52% of possession and one shot on goal.

France – Last 10 Competitive Games

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.9 goals from 18.9 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. France have had 54.3% possession, 591.2 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 7.3 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.5 corners.

Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Randal Kolo Muani, Youssouf Fofana, Olivier Giroud and Kingsley Coman each have 2. Kylian Mbappe is top assists maker with 6, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 5 clean sheets.

Italy – Last 10 Competitive Games

Italy have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.6 goals from 13.6 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Luciano Spalletti's side average 57.7% possession, 600.0 passes, 6.3 corners in their favour and 2.8 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 9.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Davide Frattesi is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Federico Chiesa and Domenico Berardi have 2. Nicolo Barella has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games, while Gianluigi Donnarumma has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

France (confirmed lineup): Mike Maignan, Jonathan Clauss, Ibrahima Konate, William Saliba, Theo Hernandez, Youssouf Fofana, N'Golo Kante, Michael Olise, Antoine Griezmann, Bradley Barcola, Kylian Mbappe.

Italy (confirmed lineup): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Andrea Cambiaso, Davide Frattesi, Samuele Ricci, Sandro Tonali, Federico Dimarco, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Mateo Retegui.

Expert Nations League Analysis

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key France vs Italy stats:

France have not lost any of their last 5 home matches
France have won 7 of their past 10 home matches
France have kept 6 clean sheets in their past 10 home matches
France have scored 2 or more goals in 10 of their past 20 matches
Italy have failed to win any of their last 6 away matches

We can’t resist going for the home side on the Full-Time Result market, with our pick made with confidence and there is -175 available that they win this Nations League match.

If you’re expecting a big margin of victory, take a chance on France -1.5 goals or even -2.5 goals on the Asian Handicap and get bigger odds.

France vs Italy Prediction

France To Win @ -175 Bet Now

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Published 01:25, 04 September 2024

France vs Italy Odds

The bookies betting odds have France as -175 favourites for this Nations League clash, implying that they are 64% likely to win the match. Italy are the +480 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Bet on Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. When it comes to the Both Teams to Score betting, the market make it a close call between BTTS Yes and No.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Nations League matches, with the football betting sites offering France at -455 and Italy are priced at +325 for the win.

Best UEFA Nations League Betting Sites

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Last 5 Matches

France

Italy

Team Stats

Latest Nations League and match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

France Betting Stats

Italy Betting Stats

Full time Result

13 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in previous 20 matches
7 wins, 1 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full time Results

11 wins, 5 defeats and 4 draws in previous 20 matches
3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 2.45 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 20 matches
An average of 2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.25 goals per game in the previous 20 matches
An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 20 matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 11 of the previous 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

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Goal Stats - Last 5 Matches

France

Italy

Goals / match

1.6 0.8

Conceded / match

1.2 1

Total / match

2.8 1.8

Goals

An average of 1.55 goals scored and 0.95 conceded in the previous 20 matches
An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 20 matches
An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 20 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

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Goal Stats - Last 5 Matches

France

Italy

Goals / match

1.6 0.8

Conceded / match

1.2 1

Total / match

2.8 1.8

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Goal Stats - Last 5 Matches

France

Italy

Goals / match

1.6 0.8

Conceded / match

1.2 1

Total / match

2.8 1.8

Corners

An average of 5.64 corners awarded and 3.79 corners conceded in the last 14 matches
An average of 6.6 corners awarded and 2 corners against in the last 5 home matches
An average of 9.43 corners awarded in the last 14 matches
An average of 8.6 corners awarded in the last 5 home matches
Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 4 of the last 14 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 0 of the last 5 home matches

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Corner Stats - Last 5 Matches

France

Italy

For / match

6.4 6.6

Against / match

4.6 3.6

Total / match

11 10.2

Corners

An average of 5.63 corners awarded and 3.63 corners conceded in the last 16 matches
An average of 4.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 9.25 corners awarded in the last 16 matches
An average of 9.3 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 5 of the last 16 matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches