Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid

Turkish Super Lig leaders Galatasaray host Spanish La Liga outfit Atlético Madrid at Rams Global Stadyumu, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Wednesday 21 January.

There’s a strong case for backing Galatasaray +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Atlético Madrid. Landing odds of -120 looks like great value and we simply need the Lions to avoid a defeat here.

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Galatasaray drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Rams Global Stadyumu against Gaziantep in the Super Lig. The Istanbul club had three shots on target and enjoyed 68% possession, with Baris Alper Yilmaz bagging the goal.

Atlético Madrid won their previous game which was at home. It was a 1-0 La Liga triumph at Riyadh Air Metropolitano against Deportivo Alavés. Diego Simeone's side recorded 54% possession and had six shots on goal, with Alexander Soerloth scoring the winner three minutes after half-time.

In their last Champions League matches, Gala were away to French Ligue 1 side Monaco and lost 1-0, while Atléti triumphed 3-2 away to Dutch Eredivisie outfit PSV Eindhoven.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Atlético Madrid	6	4	0	2	15	12	3	15:12	12
18	Galatasaray	6	3	0	3	8	8	0	8:8	9

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Gala have had 61.8% possession and 4.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts, while being awarded 3.5 corners.

Top scorer Victor Osimhen has found the net 6 times, with Mauro Icardi and Leroy Sane getting 3 apiece. Baris Alper Yilmaz is top assists maker with 5, while goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir has kept one clean sheet.

Atléti have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 13.0 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Los Colchoneros average 50.8% possession, 452.8 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.2 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts.

Alexander Soerloth has top scored with 5, while Antoine Griezmann, Koke and Julian Alvarez are next on 2. Nahuel Molina and Pablo Barrios are the top assist makers on 2, with Jan Oblak recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Galatasaray predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ugurcan Cakir (GK), Roland Sallai, Davinson Sanchez, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Ismail Jakobs, Lucas Torreira, Gabriel Sara, Leroy Sane, Ilkay Gundogan, Baris Alper Yilmaz, Victor Osimhen.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Thiago Almada, Alexander Soerloth, Julian Alvarez.

Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Galatasaray +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -120 on the Asian Handicap for their Champions League clash, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.

The Champions League injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Galatasaray in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Galatasaray in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Galatasaray in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Gala, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

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Our Match Prediction

Galatasaray Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Galatasaray 1 - 1 Atléti

There are attractive odds of +600 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Hancko Over 0.5 Shots +104

David Hancko (Atléti) has totalled one or more shots in six of his past ten away games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of +104 for this outcome.

Latest David Hancko Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+2200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Shots

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

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Baris Alper Yilmaz to Score +330

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Galatasaray) has registered two goals in his past five games on home soil. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +330.

Latest Baris Alper Yilmaz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -149

The ten past matches involving Galatasaray have had an average of 8.20 corners, with the last ten Atlético Madrid away games featuring 9.70. There are odds of -149 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Galatasaray

Total

8.20 4.70 3.50

Home

9.70 5.90 3.80

Away

8.00 3.40 4.60

Atléti

Total

11.20 5.70 5.50

Home

11.60 8.00 3.60

Away

9.70 4.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Galatasaray Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-116

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+108

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+650

2

-114

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Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Atlético Madrid at -100 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 50% chance of winning this Champions League clash based on the betting odds. Galatasaray are the outsiders at +240 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Atléti available at -208 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Gala at +143.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -217.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Champions League games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+240

X

+290

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+155

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-127

12

-400

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+143

2

-208

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-120

2 Hcp -0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-217

No

+165

Julián Álvarez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +300. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-111

Anytime

+300

Victor Osimhen (Galatasaray)

First

+130

Anytime

+430

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+155

Anytime

+460

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Leroy Sané (Galatasaray)

First

+240

Anytime

+750

Mauro Icardi (Galatasaray)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Galatasaray)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Yunus Akgün (Galatasaray)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Ilkay Gündogan (Galatasaray)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Roland Sallai (Galatasaray)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Sara (Galatasaray)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+135

Mauro Icardi (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Leroy Sané (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-143

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Victor Osimhen (Galatasaray)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-172

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Yunus Akgün (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Ilkay Gündogan (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Gabriel Sara (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Roland Sallai (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-

Victor Osimhen (Galatasaray)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Leroy Sané (Galatasaray)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Mauro Icardi (Galatasaray)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Galatasaray)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Yunus Akgün (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Ilkay Gündogan (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Roland Sallai (Galatasaray)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Galatasaray Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 60.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Gala vs Atléti before making your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups along with the latest injury developments.

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