Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 May 2025

Go For Under 2.5 Goals With Confidence

Genoa and Milan might not combine to reach the three-goal mark and that leads us to wager Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We’ll happily take the -110 when it comes to a low-scoring contest.

Goalless Draw in Last H2H Battle

Genoa have been beaten in back-to-back games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Como at Stadio G. Sinigaglia. Il Grifone had 48% possession and managed one shot on target.

AC Milan have triumphed in back-to-back away games, winning 2-0 in their previous appearance. This was against Venezia at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. The Lombardy club had 50% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Christian Pulisic and Santiago Gimenez found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan have gone unbeaten in their past eight matches against Genoa, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw at San Siro. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for Milan, one victory for Genoa along with three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Genoa have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. The Liguria team have averaged 49.2% possession, 393.3 passes and 3.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Maxwel Cornet and Fabio Miretti are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Alessandro Zanoli has 1. Caleb Ekuban is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Nicola Leali managing 3 clean sheets.

Milan have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.8% possession, 443.6 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while I Rossoneri have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Christian Pulisic has recorded 4 goals, Tijjani Reijnders 3, with Rafael Leao and Luka Jovic both managing 2. Rafael Leao has been chief assist maker on 3, with Mike Maignan recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Genoa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicola Leali (GK), Stefano Sabelli, Koni De Winter, Johan Vasquez, Aaron Martin Caricol, Patrizio Masini, Morten Frendrup, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Thorsby, Junior Messias, Andrea Pinamonti.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alex Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Theo Hernandez, Christian Pulisic, Tijjani Reijnders, Luka Jovic.

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Serie A clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -110 for Under 2.5 Goals.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest stats.

Key Genoa vs AC Milan league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Genoa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Genoa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Genoa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Milan games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Bettors who are looking for more juice from their bet could consider a wager on Under 2.5 Goals along with a team to win. The Result & Total Goals market provides this particular option.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Genoa 0 - 1 Milan

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Milan to win 1-0. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Tijjani Reijnders Over 0.5 Shots On Target -119

Tijjani Reijnders (Milan) can be wagered at -119 to have at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Tijjani Reijnders Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+325

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Christian Pulisic to Score +240

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has registered three goals in his past five Serie A games on the road. It’s worth a gamble on the +240 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-109

Shots

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Genoa Over 3.5 Corners -125

Genoa have been awarded an average of 4.70 corners in the past 10 home games, while the corner count against Milan has been more than 3.5 in the last four matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Genoa to cover the Team Corners line, with -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Genoa

Total

8.50 3.70 4.80

Home

10.40 4.70 5.70

Away

8.80 4.00 4.80

Milan

Total

9.80 5.50 4.30

Home

11.50 6.60 4.90

Away

9.70 6.10 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-125

Genoa Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Milan Corners

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-132

Most Corners

1

+180

X

+575

2

-189

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Genoa vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Milan as Favourites

With a 58% chance of winning, AC Milan are favourites to win this Serie A match and they’re available at betting odds of -138 with the bookies. The market suggests that Genoa are least likely to win at +375.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market are finding it hard to split Unders and Overs.

Should you want to back Genoa to win this Serie A match, then there is +250 available on the Draw No Bet market, with AC Milan chalked at -350.

Full-Time Result

1

+375

X

+280

2

-138

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+130

2

+125

Double Chance

1X

+105

12

-400

X2

-549

Draw No Bet

1

+250

2

-350

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-109

2 Hcp -0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Santiago Giménez is the First Goalscorer Favourite

The First Goalscorer favourite is Santiago Giménez at +390. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+155

Anytime

+390

Tammy Abraham (Milan)

First

+215

Anytime

+525

Luka Jovic (Milan)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Joao Felix (Milan)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Riccardo Sottil (Milan)

First

+325

Anytime

+800

Tijjani Reijnders (Milan)

First

+325

Anytime

+800

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Théo Hernández (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Álex Jiménez (Milan)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Vitor "Vitinha" Oliveira (Genoa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Yunus Musah (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Warren Bondo (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Filippo Terracciano (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Morten Thorsby (Genoa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+102

Tammy Abraham (Milan)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-103

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-109

Luka Jovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-108

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-115

Joao Felix (Milan)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-128

Tijjani Reijnders (Milan)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-133

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-185

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-189

Riccardo Sottil (Milan)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-208

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-227

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-238

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-303

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-313

Théo Hernández (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-345

Vitor "Vitinha" Oliveira (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Álex Jiménez (Milan)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-667

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Milan)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (Milan)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Luka Jovic (Milan)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Joao Felix (Milan)

Over 1.5

-233

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Sottil (Milan)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Vitor "Vitinha" Oliveira (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Théo Hernández (Milan)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Genoa vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Our Genoa vs Milan team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Serie A squads.

Genoa Team Page AC Milan Team Page