Grêmio vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Dec 2024
Strong Case for São Paulo to Cover the Line
When São Paulo clash against Grêmio, we will take the former at -123 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With our stake divided between 0 and +0.5, the visitors look as though they can land a return by swerving defeat.
1-0 São Paulo Triumph in Previous H2H
Grêmio drew on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw against Cruzeiro. The Porto Alegre club enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on target, with Martin Braithwaite being the only player to score.
São Paulo drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 2-2 against Atlético Mineiro. Luis Zubeldia's team recorded 53% possession and managed four shots on goal, with Fausto Vera (own goal) and Andre finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
São Paulo have beaten Grêmio in their last two encounters. Scorelines of 3-0 and 1-0 were both achieved at home. The past 10 games between the teams have seen two draws occur. There have also been four wins each for the sides.
Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | ![]() |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13:19 | 16 |
15 | ![]() |
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10:16 | 12 |
Grêmio have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Renato Gaucho's men have averaged 45.3% possession and 4.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal, 12.1 attempts and 5.1 corners.
Top scorer Martin Braithwaite has found the net 4 times, with Yeferson Soteldo, Mathias Villasanti and Alexander Aravena getting 2 each. Diego Costa and Dodi have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.
São Paulo – Last 10 League GamesSão Paulo have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.9% possession, 5.0 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts.
Lucas Moura is top scorer on 5, with Andre and Luciano Neves next on 3. Lucas Moura and Wellington Rato have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Marchesin (GK), Joao Pedro, Geromel, Jemerson, Reinaldo, Mathias Villasanti, Dodi, Yeferson Soteldo, Franco Cristaldo, Alexander Aravena, Martin Braithwaite.
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Igor Vinicius, Ruan Tressoldi, Alan Franco, Rafinha, Alisson, Luiz Gustavo, Lucas Moura, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Andre.
Grêmio vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ll divide our stake by wagering São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -123 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Série A showdown.
Sportsgambler.com boast football expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key Grêmio vs São Paulo league stats:
São Paulo +0.25 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.

Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that São Paulo secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Grêmio vs São Paulo Odds
This Serie A match sees Grêmio available at +130 and São Paulo priced at +240 for the victory. The bookies have betting odds of +200 about the draw.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.
Many customers enjoy placing a Série A Bet Builder where you can combine different betting selections with the football betting sites. The more picks means that the odds get bigger.







- Série A: 18/07 2024 São Paulo 1 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 21/10 2023 São Paulo 3 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 04/06 2023 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 03/12 2021 Grêmio 3 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 15/08 2021 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Série A: 15/02 2021 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 2
- Copa do Brasil: 31/12 2020 São Paulo 0 Grêmio 0
- Copa do Brasil: 24/12 2020 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 18/10 2020 São Paulo 0 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 01/12 2019 Grêmio 3 São Paulo 0


- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Grêmio this season are Martin Braithwaite (8), Franco Cristaldo (5), Yeferson Soteldo (5)
- Top Assistors for Grêmio this season are Joao Pedro (3), Alexander Aravena (2), Cristian Pavon (2)
Grêmio vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News
If you’re looking for Grêmio vs São Paulo team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
The Série A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Substitutes
- 2Fabio
- 9Matias Arezo
- 11Miguel Monsalve
- 15Edenilson
- 19Diego Costa
- 21Cristian Pavon
- 23Pepe
- 30Rodrigo Caio
- 33Rafael Cabral
- 34Igor Serrote
- 35Ronald
- 53Gustavo Martins
São Paulo Substitutes
- 4Santiago Longo
- 5Robert Arboleda
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 20Marcos Antonio
- 21Damian Bobadilla
- 27Wellington Rato
- 30Joao Moreira
- 33Erick
- 35Sabino
- 36Patryck
- 39William Gomes
- 93Jandrei
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:4 | 27 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:9 | 27 |
3 | Bragantino | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 26 |
4 | Bahia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 24 |
5 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 22 |
6 | Botafogo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 21 |
7 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
8 | Atlético MG | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 20 |
9 | Ceará | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | 18 |
10 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
11 | Corinthians | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 16 |
12 | Grêmio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
13 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | 14 |
14 | Vasco da Gama | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:18 | 13 |
15 | São Paulo | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:16 | 12 |
16 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | 11 |
17 | Vitória | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:15 | 11 |
18 | Fortaleza | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:19 | 10 |
19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | 8 |
20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | 3 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
2 | Flamengo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:1 | 17 |
3 | Bahia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 17 |
4 | Botafogo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
5 | Ceará | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
6 | Corinthians | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
7 | Fluminense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 13 |
8 | Bragantino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 13 |
9 | Atlético MG | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
10 | Grêmio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 12 |
11 | Mirassol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
12 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 10 |
14 | São Paulo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 9 |
15 | Juventude | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
16 | Vitória | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
17 | Fortaleza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 7 |
18 | Palmeiras | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 7 |
19 | Santos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 5 |
20 | Sport Recife | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |

















