Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Sep 2025
Liga MX Betting Preview: Guadalajara vs Necaxa
Guadalajara host Necaxa in this Liga MX meeting at Estadio Akron, with kick-off set for 21:07 on Tuesday 23 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Chivas Could Prove Too Strong
We’re going for a straight pick on Guadalajara when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Necaxa, with odds of -152 currently available.
Backing Guadalajara for the win? Make sure you’ve got the promo code from BetMGM and our comprehensive site review in your corner ahead of making your move.
7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Games for Chivas
Guadalajara were defeated last time out by a 3-0 scoreline. Estadio Akron saw them beaten at home to Deportivo Toluca. Guadalajara boasted 54% possession and recorded three shots on target.
Club Necaxa have experienced back-to-back Liga MX away losses. In their previous league match, they beat Club Puebla at home, winning 1-0 at Estadio Victoria. Fernando Gago's team had 48% possession and three shots on goal, with an own goal proving to be decisive.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Necaxa who were victorious when they last faced Guadalajara. At Estadio Victoria, a 3-2 home triumph was recorded. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Guadalajara win seven times, one draw and two Necaxa triumphs.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guadalajara |
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 25:20 | 26 |
| 15 | Necaxa |
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 23:31 | 16 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Chivas have had 55.7% possession and 6.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.4 corners.
Armando Gonzalez leads the way with 4 goals, Roberto Alvarado has 2, with Diego Campillo and two others on 1. Erick Gutierrez has recorded the most assists with 2.
Necaxa – Last 10 League GamesClub Necaxa have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 4.1 shots on goal, 10.1 attempts and 1.0 goals. Fernando Gago's team average 47.0% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 10.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Tomas Badaloni, Agustin Palavecino and Pavel Perez, with 2 goals apiece. Diego De Buen, Ricardo Monreal and Agustin Palavecino have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Guadalajara confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jose Rangel (GK), Jose Castillo, Luis Romo, Bryan Gonzalez, Omar Govea, Miguel Gomez, Diego Campillo, Richard Ledezma, Efrain Alvarez, Armando Gonzalez, Santiago Sandoval.
Necaxa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Kevin Rosero, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Cristian Calderon, Diego De Buen, Jose Rodriguez, Ricardo Monreal, Agustin Palavecino, Pavel Perez, Tomas Badaloni.
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover the top Guadalajara vs Necaxa betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet considering that Guadalajara are currently priced at -152. We think they can secure a victory in this Liga MX match and the hosts looks a value play.
The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Liga MX team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.
Key Guadalajara vs Necaxa league stats:
Chivas to Win Probability
The top betting apps make it a 60.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re wanting bigger odds about Chivas, then there are a number of alternatives including the Asian Handicap, Double Result and the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.
Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Guadalajara is available at odds of +750. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Armando González (Guadalajara) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at -115. Shots on Target bettors should definitely consider him at the available odds and we’ll have a play.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Alan Pulido (Guadalajara) has scored two goals in his past five Liga MX games on home soil. We’re happy to take the +170 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Necaxa have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four straight games, while Guadalajara have let the opposition have an average of 4.40 corners in their last 10 matches. There is value when it comes to going under the Necaxa Team Corners line and this is available at -105.
Guadalajara
Necaxa
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes Guadalajara to triumph, one or both teams drawing a blank and also Alan Pulido (Guadalajara) to score.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Chivas Victory
With a 54% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Guadalajara are favourites to come out on top in this Liga MX clash and they’re available at -118 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the outsider, Club Necaxa are available at +270.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Guadalajara needing to win at -114 for your bet to be successful. Necaxa +0.5 at -109 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -143 on the Both Teams to Score market.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Liga MX game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Alan Pulido Favourite to Score the First Goal
Those interested in Alan Pulido to find the net anytime are able to get +185. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +500.
Past Four H2H Estadio Akron Meetings Won by Guadalajara
Guadalajara haven’t tasted victory at Estadio Akron in the previous four matches. Gabriel Milito's side have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Necaxa haven’t tasted victory in five consecutive matches on the road. The Aguascalientes outfit have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
The most recent Estadio Akron meeting saw Guadalajara claim a 3-2 win over Necaxa. We’ve seen the past 7 H2H matches at Estadio Akron involve five wins for Guadalajara, one draw and one victory for Necaxa.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guadalajara Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
Necaxa Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 18/01 2025 Necaxa 3 Guadalajara 2
- Liga MX: 23/10 2024 Guadalajara 3 Necaxa 2
- Liga MX: 21/02 2024 Necaxa 1 Guadalajara 0
- Liga MX: 14/07 2023 Guadalajara 2 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 09/04 2023 Guadalajara 1 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 20/08 2022 Necaxa 0 Guadalajara 4
- Liga MX: 30/04 2022 Necaxa 0 Guadalajara 1
- Liga MX: 29/08 2021 Guadalajara 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 14/02 2021 Guadalajara 2 Necaxa 2
- Liga MX: 22/11 2020 Guadalajara 1 Necaxa 0
Guadalajara League Stats
Necaxa League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Guadalajara this season are Armando Gonzalez (4), Roberto Alvarado (2), Cade Cowell (1)
- Top Assistors for Guadalajara this season are Erick Gutierrez (2), Alan Mozo (1), Daniel Aguirre (1)
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Chivas vs Rayos team news beforehand. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus current injury reports.
Guadalajara Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Guadalajara Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Guadalajara Substitutes
- 3Gilberto Sepulveda
- 4Miguel Tapias
- 7Cade Cowell
- 9Alan Pulido
- 11Isaac Brizuela
- 13Oscar Whalley
- 18Luis Olivas
- 29Teun Wilke
- 225Samir Inda
Necaxa Substitutes
- 2Emilio Martinez
- 5Tomas Jacob
- 6Jesus Alcantar
- 11Raul Sanchez
- 12Luis Jimenez
- 13Alejandro Andrade
- 17Rogelio Cortez
- 19Diego Gomez
- 21Johan Rojas
- 24Franco Rossano
Previous Guadalajara Lineups
Previous Necaxa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30:17 | 35 |
| 2 | Toluca | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 41:18 | 34 |
| 3 | América | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 33:16 | 34 |
| 4 | Tigres | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 31:25 | 31 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 26 |
| 7 | Juárez | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 23 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Pumas | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | 17 |
| 12 | Atlas | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 24:33 | 17 |
| 13 | Querétaro | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 14 | San Luis | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 24:26 | 16 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:28 | 13 |
| 17 | León | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13:29 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19:41 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Tigres | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 7 | Juárez | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Querétaro | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlán | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Pumas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 15 | León | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
| 18 | San Luis | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | 4 |
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