Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli

Hoffenheim clash with St. Pauli at PreZero Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 28 February.

Hoffenheim and St. Pauli can score a combined three goals or more, with the odds for Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market making appeal. You can get -137 that this outcome happens and we’re confident.

Hoffenheim faced FC Koln away when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at RheinEnergieSTADION. The Kraichgauers recorded six shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Ozan Kabak and Andrej Kramaric scored one goal apiece.

St. Pauli have lost four straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 2-1 home victory over Werder Bremen at Millerntor-Stadion. Alexander Blessin's team were restricted to 42% possession and recorded two shots on goal, with Hauke Wahl and Joel Chima Fujita on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

St. Pauli overcame Hoffenheim at home when the teams last played. It was a penalty shootout DFB-Pokal win (2-2 AET) at Millerntor-Stadion. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved two St. Pauli wins, a single draw and one Hoffenheim victory.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Hoffenheim	29	15	6	8	57	43	14	57:43	51
16	St. Pauli	29	6	7	16	25	50	-25	25:50	25

View Full Table

Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. The Baden-Wurttemberg side have averaged 54.7% possession, 467.6 passes and 4.9 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 5.3 corners from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts.

Andrej Kramaric leads the way with 7 goals, Ozan Kabak has 4, with Fisnik Asllani and two others on 2. Vladimir Coufal, Alexander Prass and Fisnik Asllani are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Oliver Baumann managing 4 clean sheets.

St. Pauli have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 8.9 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Kiezkickers average 40.8% possession, 401.1 passes, 4.1 corners in their favour and 6.2 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.

Martijn Kaars is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Danel Sinani on 2, with Hauke Wahl and two others bagging 1. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita have clocked up 2 assists, with Nikola Vasilj keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hoffenheim confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Oliver Baumann (GK), Robin Hranac, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Vladimir Coufal, Grischa Proemel, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Bazoumana Toure, Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani.

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

There could be a few goals scored during this Bundesliga match. That leads us to back the Over 2.5 Goals selection with a fair degree of confidence, with the betting odds of -137 looking like excellent value.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Bundesliga stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Hoffenheim games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Hoffenheim games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 18 Hoffenheim games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 St. Pauli games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 St. Pauli games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 St. Pauli games.

The best football betting sites make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s the opportunity to look at other betting angles and that includes Over 3.5 Goals if you want to get bigger odds. With this bet, you will get a pay out if four or more are scored in total.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -137 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 15:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hoffenheim 2 - 1 St. Pauli

There are odds of +650 available that Hoffenheim land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andrej Kramaric Over 3.5 Shots +132

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim) has finished with over 3.5 shots in his past two Bundesliga games on home soil. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of +132 are currently on offer.

Latest Andrej Kramaric Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+145

First

+380

Shots

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

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Fisnik Asllani To Score +145

Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim) can be wagered at +145 to score. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Fisnik Asllani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+390

Shots

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -128

All of the past six Hoffenheim games has seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with five straight St. Pauli away matches having the same outcome. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -128 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hoffenheim

Total

10.20 4.90 5.30

Home

10.50 5.60 4.90

Away

11.20 5.40 5.80

St. Pauli

Total

10.30 4.10 6.20

Home

10.00 6.00 4.00

Away

9.60 3.40 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

Hoffenheim Corners

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-119

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-122

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+700

2

+220

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Hoffenheim are the -200 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 67% chance of winning this Bundesliga encounter according to the latest betting odds. St. Pauli are the underdogs at +540 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Hoffenheim are available at -111 on the Asian Handicap -1. That means a victory by two or more goals against St. Pauli triggers a payout and a one-goal triumph sees you get money back.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -111 and No at -119.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+310

2

+540

Half-Time Result

1

+106

X

+133

2

+475

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-455

X2

+143

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+330

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-111

2 Hcp +1

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-119

There is +145 available that Andrej Kramaric finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +380.

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim)

First

+145

Anytime

+380

Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim)

First

+155

Anytime

+390

Max Moerstedt (Hoffenheim)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Adam Hlozek (Hoffenheim)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Tim Lemperle (Hoffenheim)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Bazoumana Touré (Hoffenheim)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Grischa Prömel (Hoffenheim)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Leon Avdullahu (Hoffenheim)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Wouter Burger (Hoffenheim)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior (Hoffenheim)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ozan Kabak (Hoffenheim)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Kevin Akpoguma (Hoffenheim)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Robin Hranác (Hoffenheim)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Albian Hajdari (Hoffenheim)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Vladimir Coufal (Hoffenheim)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Valentin Gendrey (Hoffenheim)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Max Moerstedt (Hoffenheim)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Adam Hlozek (Hoffenheim)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Bazoumana Touré (Hoffenheim)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Grischa Prömel (Hoffenheim)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Ozan Kabak (Hoffenheim)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Wouter Burger (Hoffenheim)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior (Hoffenheim)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Leon Avdullahu (Hoffenheim)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Hoffenheim have won each of their last eight games at PreZero Arena. The Kraichgauers have eight victories and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.60 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

St. Pauli have failed to win in their last ten matches on their travels. Alexander Blessin's team have finished with eight defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

In the last meeting at PreZero Arena, St. Pauli defeated Hoffenheim by a 2-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hoffenheim Home Stats		8-0-2	3.60	2.60	1.00	8	2	6	4
St. Pauli Away Stats		0-2-8	2.70	0.70	2.00	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli team news before placing your bets. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga as well as the latest injury reports.

Hoffenheim Team Page St. Pauli Team Page

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