Independiente vs Estudiantes Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente square off against Estudiantes, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Friday 23 January.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Independiente come out on top against Estudiantes. We will therefore back them at +132 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

Thinking of betting on Independiente to come out on top? Grab the newest BetMGM promo code and explore our in-depth review for smarter wagering.

Independiente landed a home win in their last game, overcoming Rosario Central by a 1-0 scoreline. Gustavo Quinteros' men had four shots on target and 42% possession, with Gabriel Avalos getting the all-important goal in the 28th minute.

Estudiantes de La Plata won their previous Primera División game, triumphing on penalties (1-1 AET) against Racing Club. The La Plata side had 46% possession and four shots on goal, with Guido Carrillo on the scoresheet.

On Monday night, Estudiantes won 4-0 at home in the Copa Argentina against Ituzaingo.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente overcame Estudiantes away in their most recent head-to-head clash. It was a 2-0 scoreline. The 6 H2H games most recently played have featured three Independiente wins, one draw and two victories for Estudiantes.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Estudiantes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	Independiente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Independiente have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. The Avellaneda team have averaged 58.7% possession and 4.6 corners per match, conceding 0.6 goals and 3.5 corners from 3.4 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos leads the way with 3 goals, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel and Felipe Loyola scoring 2 each. Luciano Cabral and Santiago Gabriel Montiel are the leading assists makers with 2.

Estudiantes have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Los Pincharratas have averaged 51.4% possession, 5.0 corners taken and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.

Guido Carrillo and Edwuin Cetre have top scored with 3 goals, while Tiago Palacios is next on 2. Tiago Palacios and Edwuin Cetre are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Independiente predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Juan Fedorco, Sebastián Valdéz, Milton Valenzuela, Ivan Marcone, Lautaro Millan, Walter Mazzantti, Luciano Cabral, Matías Abaldo, Gabriel Ávalos.

Estudiantes predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Néstor Fernando Muslera (GK), Eric Meza, Santiago Núñez, Leandro Gonzalez Pirez, Gastón Benedetti, Ezequiel Piovi, Santiago Ascacibar, Tiago Palacios, Mikel Amondarain, Edwuin Cetré, Guido Carrillo.

Independiente vs Estudiantes Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Independiente vs Estudiantes betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet considering that Independiente are currently priced at +132. We think they can secure a victory in this Primera División match and the hosts looks a value play.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Primera División stats.

Key Independiente vs Estudiantes league stats:

• Independiente have won 4 consecutive games.
• Independiente have won 10 of their last 18 games at home.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 43.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 50%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Want to back Independiente at a bigger price? The Match Result & Total market provides an opportunity to predict the number of goals that will be scored along with our selection to win.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Independiente To Win @ +132 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 1 - 0 Estudiantes

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Independiente which is available at odds of +400. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Guido Carrillo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes) is available at -139 to record one or more shots on goal. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.

Latest Guido Carrillo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

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Luciano Cabral To Score +600

Luciano Cabral (Independiente) can be backed to score at +600. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Luciano Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

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Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -105

There’s been a corner average of 7.00 in the past five home games involving Independiente, with the previous five Estudiantes away matches averaging 7.40. On this basis, we can take odds of -105 that this Total Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

8.10 4.60 3.50

Home

8.30 4.60 3.70

Away

9.50 4.50 5.00

Estudiantes

Total

8.50 5.00 3.50

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

9.70 4.40 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-110

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-105

Estudiantes Corners

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-116

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+600

2

+165

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Independiente vs Estudiantes Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Independiente are currently available at +132 with the bookmakers to defeat Estudiantes, with the latter priced at odds of +270. If you’re siding with the draw in this Primera División clash, then it can be backed at +180.

There’s the chance to back Independiente at -111 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Estudiantes but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -179 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primera División match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+132

X

+180

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

-112

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-238

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+135

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-270

Over 2.5

+200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-179

Those interested in Gabriel Ávalos to find the net anytime are able to get +230. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +510.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+230

Anytime

+510

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Lucas Alario (Estudiantes)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Agustín Palavecino (Estudiantes)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Márquez (Independiente)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Santiago Ascacibar (Estudiantes)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Lucas Cornejo (Estudiantes)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

José Ernesto Sosa (Estudiantes)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Cristian Medina (Estudiantes)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Joaquín Pereyra (Estudiantes)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-152

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Lucas Alario (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Rodrigo Márquez (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Santiago Ascacibar (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Lucas Cornejo (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

José Ernesto Sosa (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Cristian Medina (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Joaquín Pereyra (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1429

Independiente vs Estudiantes Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Independiente vs Estudiantes team news before placing your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División along with up-to-date injury news.

Independiente Team Page Estudiantes de La Plata Team Page

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