Independiente vs Estudiantes Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente square off against defending 2025 Clausura and Champions Trophy champions Estudiantes at Estadio Libertadores de América, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Friday 23 January.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Independiente come out on top against Estudiantes. We will therefore back them at +132 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if Los Diablos Rojos manage to land a victory.

Independiente finished the 2025 Clausura season on a positive note, securing a 1–0 home win over Rosario Central in their last Primera División game. Gustavo Quinteros' men had four shots on target and 42% possession, with Gabriel Avalos getting the all-important goal in the 28th minute.

Champions Trophy winners Estudiantes de La Plata claimed the Clausura title in their last league outing, defeating Racing Club on penalties after a 1–1 draw following extra time. The La Plata side had 46% possession and four shots on goal, with Guido Carrillo on the scoresheet.

On Monday night, Estudiantes won 4-0 at home in the Copa Argentina against Primera C side Ituzaingo.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente overcame Estudiantes away in their most recent head-to-head clash. It was a 2-0 scoreline. The 6 H2H games most recently played have featured three Independiente wins, one draw and two victories for Estudiantes.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Estudiantes	9	4	3	2	7	4	3	7:4	15
8	Independiente	9	3	5	1	15	11	4	15:11	14

View Full Table

Independiente have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. The Avellaneda team have averaged 58.7% possession and 4.6 corners per match, conceding 0.6 goals and 3.5 corners from 3.4 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos leads the way with 3 goals, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel and Felipe Loyola scoring 2 each. Luciano Cabral and Santiago Gabriel Montiel are the leading assists makers with 2.

Estudiantes have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Los Pincharratas have averaged 51.4% possession, 5.0 corners taken and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.

Guido Carrillo and Edwuin Cetre have top scored with 3 goals, while Tiago Palacios is next on 2. Tiago Palacios and Edwuin Cetre are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Facundo Zabala, Mateo Perez Curci, Rodrigo Fernandez, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Luciano Cabral, Matias Abaldo, Gabriel Avalos.

Estudiantes confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Muslera (GK), Eric Meza, Santiago Nunez, Leandro Gonzalez Pirez, Gaston Benedetti, Santiago Ascacibar, Gabriel Neves, Facundo Farias, Cristian Medina, Fabricio Perez, Guido Carrillo.

Independiente vs Estudiantes Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Independiente vs Estudiantes betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet considering that Independiente are currently priced at +132. We think they can secure a victory in this Primera División match and the hosts looks a value play.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Primera División stats.

Key Independiente vs Estudiantes league stats:

• Independiente have won 4 consecutive games.
• Independiente have won 10 of their last 18 games at home.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 43.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 50%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Want to back Independiente at a bigger price? The Match Result & Total market provides an opportunity to predict the number of goals that will be scored along with our selection to win.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Independiente To Win @ +132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 22, 01:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 1 - 0 Estudiantes

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Independiente which is available at odds of +400. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Guido Carrillo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes) is available at -139 to record one or more shots on goal. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.

Latest Guido Carrillo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

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Luciano Cabral To Score +600

Luciano Cabral (Independiente) can be backed to score at +600. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Luciano Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -105

There’s been a corner average of 7.00 in the past five home games involving Independiente, with the previous five Estudiantes away matches averaging 7.40. On this basis, we can take odds of -105 that this Total Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

8.10 4.60 3.50

Home

8.30 4.60 3.70

Away

9.50 4.50 5.00

Estudiantes

Total

8.50 5.00 3.50

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

9.70 4.40 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-108

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

-102

Estudiantes Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+600

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Independiente vs Estudiantes Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Independiente are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Primera División encounter. The +128 for them coming out on top suggests a 44% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Estudiantes are available at +275.

There’s the chance to back Independiente at -114 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Estudiantes but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -182 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primera División match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+185

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

-110

2

+325

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-238

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+140

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-263

Over 2.5

+195

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-182

Those interested in Gabriel Ávalos to find the net anytime are able to get +205. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +450.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+205

Anytime

+450

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Lucas Alario (Estudiantes)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Agustín Palavecino (Estudiantes)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Márquez (Independiente)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Santiago Ascacibar (Estudiantes)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Lucas Cornejo (Estudiantes)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

José Ernesto Sosa (Estudiantes)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Cristian Medina (Estudiantes)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Joaquín Pereyra (Estudiantes)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+120

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Lucas Alario (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-233

Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Rodrigo Márquez (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Santiago Ascacibar (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Lucas Cornejo (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

José Ernesto Sosa (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Cristian Medina (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Joaquín Pereyra (Estudiantes)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Independiente vs Estudiantes Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Independiente vs Estudiantes team news before placing your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División along with up-to-date injury news.

Independiente Team Page Estudiantes de La Plata Team Page

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