South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 Mar 2026

NBL Betting Preview: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Adelaide 36ers, with tip-off set for 01:30 on Saturday 14 March.

There’s a strong case for backing South East Melbourne on the spread against Adelaide. The line looks appealing considering you can get -106 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

Sixers Won 104-97 in Teams’ Last Encounter

The last meeting between South East Melbourne Phoenix and Adelaide 36ers was on Tuesday, with Adelaide coming away with a 104-97 victory. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Adelaide 36ers	23	10	3042	2890	152	12-5	11-5	1L
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L

View Full Standings

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Prediction & Betting Tips

This South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

We’re confident of backing South East Melbourne to cover the -4.5 spread in this NBL contest. This is a generous line and the favorites look a value pick at odds of -106.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important NBL stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key South East Melbourne vs Adelaide league stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 2 consecutive games at home.

Phoenix -4.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the betting sites and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Game Prediction

SEM Phoenix -4.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 06:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 103 - 96 Adelaide 36ers

There’s the chance to back SEM Phoenix in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 103-96 win in their favor.

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability of winning this NBL game, South East Melbourne Phoenix might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -192 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Adelaide 36ers are least likely to win at +155.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 191.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 191.5, the odds are -115.

The great thing about betting on the NBL is that most contests come with an impressive variety of game lines and team props. The best betting sites provide a comprehensive mix of pre-game and in-game markets to suit every type of bettor.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

-192

Adelaide

+155

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -4.5

-115

Adelaide +4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 191.5

-108

Over 191.5

-115

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NBL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

Adelaide 36ers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 203.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 204.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 192.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 192.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 105.20 pts and allowed 97.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 106.10 pts and allowed 98.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 188.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 185.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 192.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 192.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.20 pts and allowed 94.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 94.90 pts and allowed 90.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sydney Kings	24	9	3276	2879	397	13-4	11-5	11W
2  Adelaide 36ers	23	10	3042	2890	152	12-5	11-5	1L
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L
4  Perth Wildcats	21	12	2996	2840	156	10-7	11-5	1W
5  Melbourne United	20	13	3041	2905	136	11-6	9-7	1W
6  JackJumpers	14	19	2873	2884	-11	6-10	8-9	2L
7  NZ Breakers	13	20	3022	3058	-36	7-9	6-11	1W
8  Illawarra Hawks	13	20	3074	3205	-131	7-9	6-11	2W
9  Cairns Taipans	9	24	2754	3194	-440	4-13	5-11	2L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	27	2710	3196	-486	2-14	4-13	13L

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