Inter Miami vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

MLS Betting Preview: Inter Miami vs New York City

Inter Miami go head-to-head with New York City in the Eastern Conference Final at Chase Stadium, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Saturday 29 November.

New York City +1.25 at odds of -125 allows us to split our money between +1 and +1.5. A win or draw against Miami will result in a payout on the Asian Handicap, with a one goal defeat still seeing a return.

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Inter Miami have triumphed in their last four home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating FC Cincinnati 4-0 in the conference semifinals at TQL Stadium. Javier Mascherano's team had 51% possession and nine shots on target, while Tadeo Allende scored two, with Lionel Messi and Mateo Silvetti also getting a goal.

New York City FC have triumphed in their previous three away games. A 1-0 win recently occurred at Subaru Park when playing Philadelphia Union in the conference semifinals. The Pigeons were 50% in the possession stakes and managed six shots on goal, with Maxi Moralez firing the winner in the 27th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Miami haven’t lost to City in their past five games. Their last clash saw Miami enjoy a 4-0 away win at Citi Field. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured four City victories, four draws and two Miami wins.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	NYCFC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Miami have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 3.3 goals from 7.4 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. The Herons have averaged 56.4% possession and 3.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Lionel Messi leads the way with 13 goals, while Tadeo Allende and Luis Suarez have scored 8 and 4 respectively. Lionel Messi has recorded the most assists with 10.

City have 6 victories and 4 defeats, with an average of 8.0 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Pascal Jansen's side average 52.3% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts.

Nicolas Fernandez and Alonso Martinez top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Hannes Wolf on 2. Agustin Ojeda is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Inter Miami confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rocco Rios Novo (GK), Marcelo Weigandt, Maximiliano Falcon, Noah Allen, Jordi Alba, Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Baltasar Rodriguez, Tadeo Allende, Lionel Messi, Mateo Silvetti.

New York City confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Matt Freese (GK), Thiago Martins, Justin Haak, Raul, Tayvon Gray, Kevin O'Toole, Agustin Ojeda, Aiden O'Neill, Jonathan Shore, Nicolas Fernandez, Maxi Moralez.

Inter Miami vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Inter Miami vs New York City with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

New York City enjoying a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap could be a wise move at odds of -125. We anticipate a close battle when it comes to this MLS game, so let’s back our selection with confidence.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making MLS recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Inter Miami vs New York City league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by NYCFC in 10 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by NYCFC in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 9 of their last 10 games against NYCFC.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

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Our Match Prediction

NYCFC Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Miami 1 - 1 New York City

There are odds of +650 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hannes Wolf Over 0.5 Shots On Target -120

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -120. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-147

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Tadeo Allende to Score +240

Tadeo Allende (Miami) has managed five goals in his past five MLS games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +240 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Tadeo Allende Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -135

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in eight straight Miami games. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Miami

Total

7.90 3.60 4.30

Home

7.90 4.60 3.30

Away

8.50 4.30 4.20

New York City

Total

10.50 5.00 5.50

Home

9.80 5.90 3.90

Away

9.80 3.80 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-137

Miami Corners

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-122

New York City Corners

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+650

2

+245

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Inter Miami vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

At betting odds of -204, the bookies make Inter Miami probable winners and there’s a 67% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this MLS encounter. New York City FC are the outsiders at +460 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Miami at -106, City at +375 or the draw at +180.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -192.

When it comes to every MLS match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

-204

X

+370

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+180

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-526

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-102

2 Hcp +1.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+188

Over 2.5

-244

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+138

Lionel Messi is the First Goalscorer favourite at +220. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -213.

Lionel Messi (Miami)

First

-213

Anytime

+220

Luis Suárez (Miami)

First

+112

Anytime

+380

Tadeo Allende (Miami)

First

+170

Anytime

+525

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Mateo Silvetti (Miami)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Jordi Alba (Miami)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo De Paul (Miami)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Luis Suárez (Miami)

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

+155

Tadeo Allende (Miami)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-147

Lionel Messi (Miami)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-227

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Mateo Silvetti (Miami)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-238

Jordi Alba (Miami)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Rodrigo De Paul (Miami)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1111

Miami have managed four consecutive victories at Chase Stadium. Javier Mascherano's team have managed eight victories, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

New York City have clocked up three straight away wins. The Pigeons have recorded eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

When previously meeting at Chase Stadium, Miami and City played out a 2-2 draw. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Chase Stadium, we have seen three draws, two City victories and one Miami win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Inter Miami Home Stats		8-1-1	4.10	2.90	1.20	9	1	7	3
New York City Away Stats		8-1-1	2.90	1.90	1.00	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Inter Miami vs New York City Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Inter vs City team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the MLS along with the latest injury news.

Inter Miami Team Page New York City Team Page

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