Juárez vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2025

Back a Close Game

We can get the draw on our side when betting Juárez +0.5 at Asian Handicap odds of -114. The home team should be able to avoid defeat against Toluca and this bet has the stats to back up a positive outcome.

Toluca Overcame Bravos in Previous Clash

Juárez have won three consecutive home games. In their last appearance, they won away from home, beating Club Tijuana 2-1 at Estadio Caliente. They enjoyed just 38% possession and had five shots on target, with Guilherme Castilho and Angel Zaldivar scoring one goal apiece.

Deportivo Toluca won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Guadalajara. Antonio Mohamed's side had eight shots on goal and enjoyed 60% possession, with Alexis Vega and Brian Garcia both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca overcame Juárez at home when the teams last played. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Juárez have four wins from the past 10 H2H games, with three draws and three Toluca victories also happening.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
17	Juárez	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2:3	2

View Full Table

Bravos de Juárez have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Martin Varini's team have averaged 42.5% possession and 4.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 5.0 corners.

Oscar Estupinan leads the way with 3 goals, with Guilherme Castilho and Angel Zaldivar getting 2 apiece. Leading assistor is Jose Luis Rodriguez with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 6.1 shots on goal, 12.4 attempts and 1.7 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 54.6% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 3.8 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 8.0 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Alexis Vega and Paulinho have scored 3, followed by Robert Morales with 2. Alexis Vega is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 5.

Confirmed Lineups

Juárez confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Sebastian Jurado Roca (GK), Denzell Garcia, Moises Mosquera, Jesus Murillo, Ralph Orquin, Diego Campillo, Guilherme Castilho, Jairo Torres, Dieter Villalpando, Jose Luis Rodriguez, Oscar Estupinan.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Pau Lopez (GK), Brian Garcia, Federico Pereira, Bruno Mendez, Jesus Gallardo, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Alexis Vega, Robert Morales, Paulinho.

Juárez vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Juárez +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -114 on the Asian Handicap for their Liga MX clash, with this being a confident selection on this team.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Juárez vs Toluca league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 7 of their last 10 games against Toluca.

Bravos +0.5 Probability

The betting sites make it a 53.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

Our Match Prediction

Juárez Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Juárez 2 - 2 Toluca

There are odds of +1050 available that we see a 2-2 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 5.5 Corners -150

In their past ten games, Toluca have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the previous four Juárez matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. The Toluca Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -150 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Juárez

Total

9.90 4.90 5.00

Home

9.20 4.20 5.00

Away

11.20 5.40 5.80

Toluca

Total

7.90 4.10 3.80

Home

9.10 4.70 4.40

Away

8.50 4.70 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-110

Juárez Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+540

2

-141

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Juárez vs Toluca Odds

The bookies betting odds have Deportivo Toluca as -111 favourites for this Liga MX clash, implying that they are 53% likely to win the match. Juárez are regarded as the least likely winner at +280.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Liga MX coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+280

X

+280

2

-111

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+137.5

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-110

12

-400

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+175

2

-250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-108

2 Hcp -0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+125

Juárez vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Bravos vs Toluca team news.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Liga MX squads.

Juárez Team Page Toluca Team Page