Juárez vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Aug 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Juárez vs Toluca

Juárez host Toluca in this Liga MX match at Estadio Benito Juarez, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Monday 11 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Let’s Gamble on Toluca

We’ll side with Toluca at an attractive price of -112 on the basis that they should be dominant against Juárez. The Full-Time Result market offers a good deal of value not to mention a strong potential return.

Confident in Toluca to win? Unlock the latest bet365 promo code and read our expert review before placing your bet.

4-0 Victory for Toluca in Last H2H

Juárez faced Club Tijuana away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Caliente. They had five shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Angel Zaldivar getting the goal.

Deportivo Toluca lost when last in action. In a home game at Estadio Nemesio Diez, they were turned over 4-3 by Tigres UANL. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed 54% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Paulinho, Jesus Gallardo and Marcel Ruiz on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have triumphed in the last two clashes against Juárez. Travelling to Estadio Benito Juarez, a 4-0 win was achieved following a 3-2 home victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Toluca wins, three draws and three Juárez victories.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
17	Juárez	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2:3	2

View Full Table

1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 8.9 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Bravos de Juárez have had 50.9% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.3 corners.

Angel Zaldivar, Madson and Guilherme Castilho are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Madson is the top assists maker on 2.

Deportivo Toluca have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.2% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Alexis Vega has scored 4 goals, followed by Paulinho and Helinho on 3. Look no further than Alexis Vega for the top assist maker (6) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Juárez predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Sebastián Jurado (GK), Denzell García, Moisés Mosquera, Jose Garcia Manríquez, Manuel Alejandro Mayorga, Homer Martínez, Guilherme Castilho, Madson, Ricardinho, José Luis Rodríguez, Oscar Estupiñán.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Luan, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruíz, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Juárez vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Juárez vs Toluca, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’re pretty bullish when it comes to Toluca winning this Liga MX encounter. We will wager the away team at -112 and land some nice dividends if they manage to secure a win.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Liga MX stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Juárez vs Toluca league stats:

• Toluca have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Toluca have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Juárez have lost their last 2 games against Toluca.

Toluca to Win Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

For those bettors looking to boost their price for Toluca to secure a win, why not look to combine this selection with some of the many alternatives in a Bet Builder.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Juárez 1 - 2 Toluca

One bet that has caught our eye is Toluca to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +700 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Alexis Vega Over 0.5 Shots On Target -119

Alexis Vega (Toluca) is available to record at least one shot on goal at -119. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-119

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Jesús Gallardo to Score +700

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has scored two goals in his past nine Liga MX games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +700 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-417

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Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 4.5 Corners -110

Toluca have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in two consecutive away matches, with Juárez conceding under 4.5 corners in their past four home games. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of -110 that Toluca fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Juárez

Total

7.10 3.80 3.30

Home

8.00 4.40 3.60

Away

8.80 3.70 5.10

Toluca

Total

7.90 4.40 3.50

Home

7.90 4.70 3.20

Away

9.50 5.10 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-132

Juárez Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+155

X

+650

2

-141

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Juárez vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Toluca Victory

For this Liga MX clash, Deportivo Toluca are the -112 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 53% chance of winning. Juárez are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +280.

There are different ways to bet on Toluca including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -108, although Juárez +0.5 is a viable alternative at -114 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -179 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Liga MX matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+280

X

+250

2

-112

Half-Time Result

1

+290

X

+130

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-132

12

-417

X2

-476

Draw No Bet

1

+165

2

-250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-114

2 Hcp -0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+112

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-179

No

+125

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" Heads First Goalscorer Market

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" can be backed to find the net anytime at +148. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +430.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+148

Anytime

+430

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+190

Anytime

+450

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+375

Anytime

+950

César Sosa (Juárez)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Madson (Juárez)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Ricardinho (Juárez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-119

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-132

Madson (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-175

César Sosa (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-179

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-185

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-208

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-286

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-244

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-278

Ricardinho (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-313

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-333

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-345

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-417

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-476

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-476

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-476

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-526

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+325

Under 0.5

-556

Juárez Struggling to Get Home Wins on the Board

Juárez have not won at Estadio Benito Juarez in the past four matches. They have collected five draws, three wins and two defeats in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Toluca have not lost on their travels in the past three matches. Antonio Mohamed's team have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The past meeting at Estadio Benito Juarez saw Toluca defeat Juárez 4-0. The teams have two wins apiece along with two draws in the previous 6 H2H matches at Estadio Benito Juarez.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Juárez Home Stats		3-5-2	2.60	1.20	1.40	4	6	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		5-3-2	3.50	2.10	1.40	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Juárez vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Bravos vs Toluca team news before betting. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX along with up-to-date injury news.

Juárez Team Page Toluca Team Page