Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Polish Ekstraklasa side Lech Poznan host Ukrainian Premier League outfit Shakhtar Donetsk in the first leg of their Europa Conference League round of 16 tie at Stadion Poznan, with kick-off set for 13:45 on Thursday 12 March.
If you concur with our view that Shakhtar Donetsk will have the upper hand when meeting Lech Poznan, then you can wager the away team at +148. We’re anticipating a return with this Full-Time Result pick.
Lech Poznan were defeated in their last game. Away from home in the Ekstraklasa, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Widzew Lodz at Stadion Widzewa. Niels Frederiksen's team managed five shots on target and enjoyed 70% possession, with Gisli Thordarson registering the goal.
Shakhtar Donetsk won their previous game. It was on the road where Olexandriya were beaten 1-0 at Stadion Nika in the Premier League. The Miners had four shots on goal and boasted 71% possession, with Lassina Traore scoring the winner in the 61st minute.
In their last Europa Conference League matches, Lech were 1-0 winners at home to KuPS, while Shakhtar hosted Rijeka and drew 0-0.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 11 | Lech |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 12:8 | 10 |
7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 12.9 attempts and 7.0 shots on goal. Lech have had 57.8% possession and 5.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 8.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.1 corners.
Mikael Ishak is the top goalscorer with 4, Ali Gholizadeh has 3, with Antonio Milic and two other players on 2. Michal Gurgul is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Bartosz Mrozek has 2 clean sheets.
Shakhtar have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 11.1 attempts and 6.6 shots on goal. Arda Turan's men average 67.6% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against them, while conceding 0.3 goals from 2.9 attempts and 1.1 shots on goal.
Lassina Traore and Luca Meirelles have top scored with 4 goals, while Kaua Elias is next on 3. Isaque has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
We’re expecting Shakhtar Donetsk to triumph in this Europa Conference League match and we’re excited by the odds of +148. This prediction has plenty of appeal and we’re confident our pick will land a return.
The latest Europa Conference League injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Europa Conference League & league stats:
The best football betting sites make it a 40.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number closer to 50% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re demanding a bigger price, Shakhtar can be wagered at larger odds on the Asian Handicap. Also weigh up the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets for increased value.
Start strong with your bet. Explore our curated list of betting offers, free bets, sign-up promos and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Shakhtar can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Yannick Agnero (Lech) has managed two goals in his past five home games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +280.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been four straight Lech games where 8.5 Total Corners has not been covered, while it has been three consecutive Shakhtar Donetsk away matches where the same thing has happened. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back the sides to go under the Total Corners line at odds of -105.
Lech
Shakhtar
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Shakhtar Donetsk to win, at least three goals to be registered combined with less than 8.5 corners to be taken.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The 1x2 odds are available for this Europa Conference League encounter and you can secure +148 that Shakhtar Donetsk are victorious and +175 that Lech Poznan get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +230.
If you think Shakhtar can overcome Lech, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +104 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -161.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Europa Conference League game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
Those interested in favourite Mikael Ishak to find the net first can get +360, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +155.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Lech Poznan Stats
Shakhtar Donetsk Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Lineups & Team News
The Lech vs Shakhtar team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League as well as the latest injury reports.
Previous Lech Poznan Lineups
Previous Shakhtar Donetsk Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Lech Poznan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niels Frederiksen
Shakhtar Donetsk Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | KF Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski Mostar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | U Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kiev | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rakow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Celje | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 13 | KF Shkendija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 22 | Breidablik | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 23 | KuPS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 27 | U Craiova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 28 | Drita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 29 | Legia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 33 | Hacken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 34 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 35 | Shelbourne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:28 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41:36 | 38 |
| 4 | Rakow | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 33:29 | 37 |
| 5 | Gornik | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 35 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Korona | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | 33 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:23 | 33 |
| 9 | Katowice | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Radomiak | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 11 | Lechia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49:45 | 31 |
| 12 | Pogon | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | 31 |
| 13 | Motor | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 32:37 | 31 |
| 14 | Piast | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:41 | 29 |
| 16 | Legia | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 17 | Widzew | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31:34 | 27 |
| 18 | T. Nieciecza | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 22 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 24 |
| 3 | Radomiak | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:11 | 23 |
| 5 | Pogon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Gornik | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Lechia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Katowice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 10 | Legia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 11 | Lech | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Motor | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 18:15 | 19 |
| 13 | Widzew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 14 | Rakow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 15 | Cracovia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 16 | Korona | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 17 | Piast | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 18 | T. Nieciecza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:21 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sh. Donetsk | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 47:12 | 44 |
| 2 | Cherkasy | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 26:11 | 41 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 32:14 | 36 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 42:22 | 35 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:25 | 31 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22:12 | 31 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Zorya Luhansk | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:23 | 27 |
| 9 | Obolon Kyiv | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 16:27 | 24 |
| 10 | Veres Rivne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Karpaty | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 12 | Kudrivka | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 13 | Rukh Lviv | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 15:28 | 19 |
| 14 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 22:33 | 17 |
| 15 | Olexandriya | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14:33 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16:47 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sh. Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 29:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Cherkasy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Kryvbas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zorya Luhansk | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Kudrivka | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 12 |
| 10 | Veres Rivne | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Obolon Kyiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Rukh Lviv | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Karpaty | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Olexandriya | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13:19 | 4 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:19 | 4 |
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