Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

Europa League Betting Preview: Lille vs Aston Villa

French Ligue 1 outfit Lille host Premier League club Aston Villa in the first leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with kick-off set for 13:45 on Thursday 12 March.

We are expecting a low number of goals when Lille meet Aston Villa. The odds of -122 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

LOSC Lille drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Stade Pierre-Mauroy against Lorient in Ligue 1. Bruno Genesio's men had most of the ball enjoying 58% possession and two shots on target, with Matias Fernandez-Pardo being the goalscorer.

Aston Villa were beaten in their previous game, suffering a 4-1 Premier League home loss to Chelsea at Villa Park. The Birmingham side recorded four shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Douglas Luiz found the net.

In their most recent Europa League matches, Lille triumphed 2-0 in extra time (1-0 after 90 minutes and 2-1 on aggregate) away to Crvena zvezda in the second leg of their play-off tie, while Villa secured a 3-2 home win over Red Bull Salzburg in the league phase.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12:9	12

View Full Table

Lille have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Hauts-de-France team have averaged 58.2% possession and 7.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 2.5 corners.

Olivier Giroud is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Nathan Ngoy both have 2. Leading assistor is Felix Correia with 2, while goalkeeper Berke Ozer has 5 clean sheets.

Villa have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.4% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Morgan Rogers is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Douglas Luiz, Tammy Abraham, Tyrone Mings and Jamaldeen Jimoh-Aloba have 1. Leon Bailey, Jadon Sancho and Emiliano Buendia have clocked up 1 assists, with Emiliano Martinez keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Lille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer (GK), Thomas Meunier, Nathan Ngoy, Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Benjamin Andre, Gaetan Perrin, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Olivier Giroud.

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Lamare Bogarde, Victor Lindelof, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, George Hemmings, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Lille vs Aston Villa betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Under 2.5 Goals at odds of -122. This looks like an attractive bet, with the teams set to play out a low-scoring Europa League encounter.

We use the latest Europa League injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Lille vs Aston Villa Europa League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 Lille games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lille games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Villa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Villa games on the road.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 54.9% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Bettors looking for a larger price when it comes to backing Under 2.5 Goals can include this pick as part of a Result & Total Goals selection. Predict the team that will land the spoils.

Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -122 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 10, 19:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lille 1 - 1 Aston Villa

There are odds of +430 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ollie Watkins to Score +200

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has netted six goals in his past ten games away from home. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +200 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Lille Over 4.5 Corners -105

There’s been an average 7.20 Lille corners in their past ten games, while Aston Villa have let the opposition average 5.20 corners in the previous five matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Lille Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -105 that they go over.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lille

Total

9.70 7.20 2.50

Home

9.40 6.40 3.00

Away

8.60 4.90 3.70

Aston Villa

Total

10.20 5.80 4.40

Home

9.50 5.80 3.70

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+105

Lille Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-137

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+102

X

+600

2

+105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lille vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +140 for Aston Villa to triumph in this Europa League clash, with LOSC Lille trading at a price of +200 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +225.

If you want to side with Villa winning against Lille, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land +106 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -143.

Europa League games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+200

X

+225

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

+117

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-303

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+104

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-132

2 Hcp -0.25

+106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+106

Ollie Watkins is the First Goalscorer favourite at +500 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +200.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Gaetan Perrin (Lille)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Soriba Diaoune (Lille)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Félix Correia (Lille)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Nabil Bentaleb (Lille)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Romain Perraud (Lille)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Thomas Meunier (Lille)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lille Stats

Aston Villa Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Lille vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Lille vs Villa team news before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Top Football Pages