Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

Europa League Betting Preview: Lille vs Aston Villa

French Ligue 1 outfit Lille host Premier League club Aston Villa in the first leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 12 March.

We are expecting a low number of goals when Lille meet Aston Villa. The odds of -122 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

LOSC Lille drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Stade Pierre-Mauroy against Lorient in Ligue 1. Bruno Genesio's men had most of the ball enjoying 58% possession and two shots on target, with Matias Fernandez-Pardo being the goalscorer.

Aston Villa were beaten in their previous game, suffering a 4-1 Premier League home loss to Chelsea at Villa Park. The Birmingham side recorded four shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Douglas Luiz found the net.

In their most recent Europa League matches, Lille triumphed 2-0 in extra time (1-0 after 90 minutes and 2-1 on aggregate) away to Crvena zvezda in the second leg of their play-off tie, while Villa secured a 3-2 home win over Red Bull Salzburg in the league phase.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12:9	12

View Full Table

Lille have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Hauts-de-France team have averaged 58.2% possession and 7.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 2.5 corners.

Olivier Giroud is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Nathan Ngoy both have 2. Leading assistor is Felix Correia with 2, while goalkeeper Berke Ozer has 5 clean sheets.

Villa have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.4% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Morgan Rogers is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Douglas Luiz, Tammy Abraham, Tyrone Mings and Jamaldeen Jimoh-Aloba have 1. Leon Bailey, Jadon Sancho and Emiliano Buendia have clocked up 1 assists, with Emiliano Martinez keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lille confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer (GK), Tiago Santos, Chancel Mbemba, Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Ngal Ayel Mukau, Gaetan Perrin, Olivier Giroud.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Lamare Bogarde, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Douglas Luiz, Amadou Onana, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Lille vs Aston Villa betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Under 2.5 Goals at odds of -122. This looks like an attractive bet, with the teams set to play out a low-scoring Europa League encounter.

We use the latest Europa League injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Lille vs Aston Villa Europa League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 Lille games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lille games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Villa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Villa games on the road.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 54.9% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Bettors looking for a larger price when it comes to backing Under 2.5 Goals can include this pick as part of a Result & Total Goals selection. Predict the team that will land the spoils.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 10, 18:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lille 1 - 1 Aston Villa

There are odds of +430 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 2.5 Shots +133

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has had over 2.5 shots in back-to-back games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the +133 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+525

Shots

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

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Ollie Watkins to Score +200

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has registered six goals in his past ten games on the road. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +200 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Lille Over 4.5 Corners -105

There’s been an average 7.20 Lille corners in their past ten games, while Aston Villa have let the opposition average 5.20 corners in the previous five matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Lille Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -105 that they go over.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lille

Total

9.70 7.20 2.50

Home

9.40 6.40 3.00

Away

8.60 4.90 3.70

Aston Villa

Total

10.20 5.80 4.40

Home

9.50 5.80 3.70

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-137

Lille Corners

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-130

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

+102

X

+600

2

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lille vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +128 suggest that Aston Villa are likely victors and there’s a 44% probability that the favourites win this Europa League clash. LOSC Lille are the underdogs at +225 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

If you want to side with Villa winning against Lille, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land -106 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

Europa League games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+225

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+112

2

+195

Double Chance

1X

-164

12

-303

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+123

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-115

2 Hcp -0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-111

Ollie Watkins is the First Goalscorer favourite at +500 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +200.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Gaetan Perrin (Lille)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Soriba Diaoune (Lille)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Félix Correia (Lille)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Nabil Bentaleb (Lille)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Romain Perraud (Lille)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Thomas Meunier (Lille)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Soriba Diaoune (Lille)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Félix Correia (Lille)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Gaetan Perrin (Lille)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Nabil Bentaleb (Lille)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Romain Perraud (Lille)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Thomas Meunier (Lille)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lille Stats

Aston Villa Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Lille vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Lille vs Villa team news before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

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