Lugano vs Basel Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Jan 2025

Over 2.5 Goals the Most Likely Outcome

When Lugano meet Basel, there could be a few goals scored. That leads us to back the Over 2.5 selection when it comes to Total Goals, with the betting odds of -167 looking like excellent value.

2-1 Victory for Lugano in Previous H2H Clash

FC Lugano were defeated last time out. Stadio Cornaredo saw them beaten at home to Lausanne-Sport by a 4-1 scoreline. Mattia Croci-Torti's team boasted 59% possession and had five shots on target, with Kacper Przybylko getting the goal.

FC Basel lost when they were last in action. In a home game at St. Jakob Park, they were turned over 1-0 by Grasshoppers. The Bebbi dominated possession with 69% of the ball and racked up six shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lugano have enjoyed three consecutive victories against Basel. In their last encounter, Lugano claimed a 2-1 away win at St. Jakob Park. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five Lugano wins, three Basel victories and two draws.

Swiss Super League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Basel	4	2	0	2	8	7	1	8:7	6
9	Lugano	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	4:7	3

View Full Table

Lugano have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. The Black and Whites have averaged 60.3% possession, 486.1 passes and 4.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 5.4 corners.

Top goalscorers Ignacio Aliseda and Renato Steffen have found the net 4 times, with Anto Grgic scoring 3. Anto Grgic is the top assists maker on 2.

FCB have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 16.0 attempts, 6.0 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. Fabio Celestini's side average 57.3% possession, 450.9 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Kevin Carlos and Xherdan Shaqiri with 5, while Benie Traore has 4. Xherdan Shaqiri has been top assists provider with 8 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lugano confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Amir Saipi (GK), Mattia Zanotti, Antonios Papadopoulos, Albian Hajdari, Milton Valenzuela, Hadj Mahmoud, Anto Grgic, Mattia Bottani, Uran Bislimi, Renato Steffen, Shkelqim Vladi.

Basel confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Marwin Hitz (GK), Josafat Mendes, Adrian Leon Barisic, Jonas Adjei Adjetey, Dominik Schmid, Leon Avdullahu, Leo Leroy, Anton Kade, Xherdan Shaqiri, Benie Traore, Kevin Carlos.

Lugano vs Basel Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s value available when it comes to betting the -167 that there are Over 2.5 Goals. The sides should combine to find the net at least three times during this Super League encounter in order to land a return.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Lugano vs Basel league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Lugano games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lugano games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Lugano games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Basel games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Basel games on the road.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 62.5% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are a number of bigger-priced alternatives when it comes to backing Over 2.5 Goals, especially for those that have an opinion on the winning team. Check out the Result & Total Goals market.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lugano 1 - 2 Basel

We’re betting on Basel to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +800 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -130

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four straight Basel games, with the previous 5 Lugano home matches averaging 8.40 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too high, go for odds of -130 that the teams go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lugano

Total

9.20 4.00 5.20

Home

9.30 6.10 3.20

Away

8.80 3.40 5.40

Basel

Total

10.30 5.60 4.70

Home

9.70 6.10 3.60

Away

10.10 4.30 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-104

Lugano Corners

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

-100

Basel Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-109

X

+540

2

+107

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Lugano vs Basel Odds

FC Lugano are +133 with the bookies to beat FC Basel, with the latter having betting odds of +170. The draw in this Swiss Super League match can be backed at +260.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds.

If you fancy FC Lugano but want money back if this Super League match is a draw, then you can get -133. You can bet on FC Basel at +102 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+260

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+133

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-357

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-133

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+102

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+133

Lugano vs Basel Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss out on the Lugano vs FCB team news so you understand the players available for selection ahead of kick-off.

FC Lugano Team Page FC Basel Team Page