Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund

Mainz host Borussia Dortmund in this German Bundesliga clash at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We Expect BVB to Deliver the Goods

Dortmund are available at +107 to land a Full-Time Result victory and we think this price represents value. We’re anticipating that the visitors will claim a win against Mainz and a payout could be on the cards.

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Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 3-1 BVB Win

Mainz 05 have suffered two consecutive Bundesliga home losses. Their last league game was a 4-1 road triumph at WWK Arena when meeting Augsburg. Bo Henriksen's side recorded four shots on target and had 40% possession, while Armindo Sieb grabbed two goals, with Dominik Kohr and Paul Nebel getting one.

Borussia Dortmund beat Wolfsburg in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 1-0 home win at Signal Iduna Park. BVB boasted 59% possession and had four shots on goal, with Karim Adeyemi finding the net in the 20th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 3-1 home victory was recorded against Mainz at Signal Iduna Park. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we’ve seen five Dortmund victories, two Mainz wins and three draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	9	3	6	9:3	10
13	Mainz 05	4	1	1	2	5	4	1	5:4	4

View Full Table

Mainz have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. The Rhineland-Palatinate outfit have averaged 53.4% possession, 414.3 passes and 6.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorers are Paul Nebel and Jonathan Burkardt on 3 goals, while Dominik Kohr has bagged 2. Nadiem Amiri and Nelson Weiper are the leading assists makers with 2.

Dortmund have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.8 goals from 13.1 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal. Niko Kovac's team average 57.9% possession, 568.3 passes, 4.6 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.1 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Serhou Guirassy has landed 10 goals, Karim Adeyemi 4, with Felix Nmecha and two others scoring 3. Pascal Gross and Julian Brandt have been top assists providers with 4, while Gregor Kobel has kept 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Armindo Sieb.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-3): Gregor Kobel (GK), Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier.

Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

Be fully equipped for Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Dortmund have the potential to secure a triumph when they set up for this Bundesliga clash. On this basis, we are going to take a price of +107 feeling confident that this can happen.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Bundesliga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• BVB have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• BVB have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• BVB have won 3 consecutive games.
• Mainz have lost their last 2 games at home.

BVB to Win Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 48.3% prospect of winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re bullish that BVB will triumph, why not look at a Match Result & Total wager? It offers a larger price alternative and you’re required to forecast the goal tally along with our team to win.

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Our Match Prediction

Dortmund To Win @ +107 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 1 - 2 Dortmund

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Dortmund to win 2-1. The odds of +700 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 0.5 Shots On Target -100

We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -100.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

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Felix Nmecha to Score +550

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +550.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

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Corners Prediction

Dortmund Under 5.5 Corners -152

Dortmund have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in six consecutive away matches, with Mainz conceding under 5.5 corners in their past ten home games. We recommend backing the -152 that Dortmund aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.70 6.70 4.00

Home

9.00 5.50 3.50

Away

10.40 5.30 5.10

Dortmund

Total

9.10 4.60 4.50

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

9.50 4.60 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Mainz Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+138

X

+650

2

-127

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Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have BVB as Favourites

The bookmakers have Borussia Dortmund as +106 favourites for this Bundesliga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 49% likely to triumph. Mainz 05 are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +215.

There are various ways to back Dortmund and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -122 currently available that they beat Mainz and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -192 for the BTTS Yes option.

If you’re betting on Bundesliga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+285

2

+106

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+143

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-141

12

-400

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-179

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-102

2 Hcp -0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+135

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+143

Sehrou Guirassy Heads First Goalscorer Market

You will find Sehrou Guirassy at +270 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -108 that he finds the net at anytime.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

-108

Anytime

+270

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+102

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-116

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-122

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-143

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-164

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-227

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-500

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Dortmund Victorious in Four of Past Six H2H MEWA Arena Clashes Against Mainz

Mainz have recorded six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Dortmund haven’t lost any of their past six away games. BVB have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Mainz overcame Dortmund 3-1 when the sides last met at MEWA Arena. It’s been four Dortmund wins and two Mainz victories in the past 6 H2H meetings at MEWA Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		2-6-2	2.50	1.40	1.10	4	6	6	4
Borussia Dortmund Away Stats		6-2-2	3.70	2.20	1.50	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Mainz vs Dortmund team news before wagering. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga and the newest injury information.

Mainz 05 Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page