Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Nov 2025
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Mainz vs Fiorentina
German Bundesliga outfit Mainz host Italian Serie A side Fiorentina in this Europa Conference League match at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 6 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Strong Case for Fiorentina to Cover the Line
Fiorentina look a nice wager to topple Mainz and we can take them at -116 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.
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Fiorentina Looking to Avoid Another Defeat
Mainz 05 had a 1-1 Bundesliga draw in their last game. This was at home to Werder Bremen at MEWA Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate club had 46% possession and totalled five shots on target, with Silvan Widmer registering the goal.
Fiorentina were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Lecce by a 1-0 Serie A scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Stefano Pioli's team had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 63% possession and four shots on goal.
In the last Europa Conference League round, Mainz beat Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 at home, with Fiorentina landing a 3-0 away win over Rapid Vienna.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fiorentina |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Mainz 05 |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:0 | 6 |
Mainz have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 51.2% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 3.6 corners.
Nadiem Amiri is the top goalscorer with 4, Armindo Sieb has 2, with Silvan Widmer and two other players on 1. Benedict Hollerbach, Nadiem Amiri and Andreas Hanche-Olsen are the leading assists makers with 1.
Fiorentina – Last 10 League & Europa Conference League GamesFiorentina have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 3.1 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Florence side average 50.0% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean and Cher Ndour score 2 goals each. Edin Dzeko, Niccolo Fortini and Eddy Kouadio have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while David de Gea has one clean sheet to his name.
Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Mainz vs Fiorentina, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
Wager on Fiorentina +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -116 for this Europa Conference League game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.
The Europa Conference League experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
Key Mainz vs Fiorentina Europa Conference League & league stats:
Fiorentina +0.25 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s an increasing amount of juice according to how far you are prepared to go.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Fiorentina
There could be merit in backing Fiorentina to win 1-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina) has failed to record a shot on goal in seven of the past ten matches. There’s plenty of evidence that he will go under the line and you can secure odds of -122 for this Shots on Target bet.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has racked up two goals in his past five games. It’s worth a gamble on the +370 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Fiorentina have covered the 3.5 corners line in four straight games. We’re going to take the Overs for Fiorentina Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -150.
Mainz
Fiorentina
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Fiorentina on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, no more than two goals to be scored together with Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina) failing to record a shot on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Mainz vs Fiorentina Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Mainz Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory
The bookmakers have Mainz 05 at +125 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 44% chance of winning this Europa Conference League clash based on the betting odds. At +215, Fiorentina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Mainz are -164, while Fiorentina are alternatively priced at +120.
Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. An alternative angle is Both Team to Score where you can back both BTTS Yes and BTTS No at -116.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Europa Conference League matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Moise Kean Top of First Goalscorer List
Moise Kean is the First Goalscorer favourite at +420. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +170.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Mainz Stats
Fiorentina Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Mainz vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Mainz vs Fiorentina team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Previous Mainz Lineups
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Mainz Squad
Fiorentina Squad| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski Mostar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sh. Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 20 | KF Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 28 | U Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 34 | Dynamo Kiev | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 35 | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Zrinjski Mostar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | KF Shkendija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 18 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 20 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 22 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 23 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 24 | U Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 25 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 26 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 27 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 28 | Sh. Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 30 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 31 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 32 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 34 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 35 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33:4 | 27 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 14 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 7 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 6 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 1 |
Serie A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24:12 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7:16 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Como | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Lazio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Bologna | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 8 | Roma | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 9 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Torino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0:2 | 3 |
| 18 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0:6 | 2 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |
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