FSV Mainz 05
Football UEFA Europa Conference League MEWA Arena Thu 6 Nov 12:45
ACF Fiorentina
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Mainz vs Fiorentina

German Bundesliga outfit Mainz host Italian Serie A side Fiorentina in this Europa Conference League match at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 6 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Strong Case for Fiorentina to Cover the Line

Fiorentina look a nice wager to topple Mainz and we can take them at -116 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

Like our Asian Handicap prediction? Take a moment to read our full BetMGM review, then take advantage of the current promo code before committing to your play.

Fiorentina Looking to Avoid Another Defeat

Mainz 05 had a 1-1 Bundesliga draw in their last game. This was at home to Werder Bremen at MEWA Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate club had 46% possession and totalled five shots on target, with Silvan Widmer registering the goal.

Fiorentina were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Lecce by a 1-0 Serie A scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Stefano Pioli's team had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 63% possession and four shots on goal.

In the last Europa Conference League round, Mainz beat Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 at home, with Fiorentina landing a 3-0 away win over Rapid Vienna.

Europa Conference League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
3 Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05 3 3 0 0 4 1 3 4:1 9
8 Fiorentina logo Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 6 2 4 6:2 6
View Full Table
Mainz – Last 10 League & Europa Conference League Games

Mainz have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 51.2% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 3.6 corners.

Nadiem Amiri is the top goalscorer with 4, Armindo Sieb has 2, with Silvan Widmer and two other players on 1. Benedict Hollerbach, Nadiem Amiri and Andreas Hanche-Olsen are the leading assists makers with 1.

Fiorentina – Last 10 League & Europa Conference League Games

Fiorentina have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 3.1 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Florence side average 50.0% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean and Cher Ndour score 2 goals each. Edin Dzeko, Niccolo Fortini and Eddy Kouadio have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while David de Gea has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, Phillipp Mwene, Lennard Maloney, Nadiem Amiri, Sota Kawasaki, Paul Nebel, Armindo Sieb, Nelson Weiper.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Tommaso Martinelli (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Simon Sohm, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Cher Ndour, Niccolo Fortini, Jacopo Fazzini, Roberto Piccoli.

Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Mainz vs Fiorentina, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Fiorentina +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -116 for this Europa Conference League game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

The Europa Conference League experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Mainz vs Fiorentina Europa Conference League & league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Fiorentina in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Fiorentina in 11 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 16 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 2 consecutive games.

Fiorentina +0.25 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s an increasing amount of juice according to how far you are prepared to go.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Our Match Prediction
Fiorentina Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -116 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 19:07, 04 November 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz Mainz logo 0 - 1 Fiorentina logo Fiorentina

There could be merit in backing Fiorentina to win 1-0. Odds of +750 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Edin Dzeko Under 0.5 Shots On Target -122 BetMGM logo

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina) has failed to record a shot on goal in seven of the past ten matches. There’s plenty of evidence that he will go under the line and you can secure odds of -122 for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Edin Dzeko Player Prop Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+


Albert Gudmundsson to Score +370 BetMGM logo

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has racked up two goals in his past five games. It’s worth a gamble on the +370 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Over 3.5 Corners -150 BetMGM logo

Fiorentina have covered the 3.5 corners line in four straight games. We’re going to take the Overs for Fiorentina Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -150.

Europa Conference League & League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Mainz Logo Mainz
Total
9.00 5.40 3.60
Home
8.70 5.60 3.10
Away
10.20 5.70 4.50
Fiorentina Logo Fiorentina
Total
8.90 4.90 4.00
Home
9.90 5.10 4.80
Away
8.50 4.40 4.10
Latest Corner Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Fiorentina +0.25 -116
Total Goals Under 2.5 -143
Shots On Target Edin Dzeko Under 0.5 -122

We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Fiorentina on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, no more than two goals to be scored together with Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina) failing to record a shot on target.

A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Mainz vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mainz Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

The bookmakers have Mainz 05 at +115 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 47% chance of winning this Europa Conference League clash based on the betting odds. At +235, Fiorentina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Mainz are -185, while Fiorentina are alternatively priced at +135.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. An alternative angle is Both Team to Score where you can back both BTTS Yes and BTTS No at -116.

The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Europa Conference League matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Moise Kean Top of First Goalscorer List

Moise Kean is the First Goalscorer favourite at +440. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +180.

Player Goals
Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
First
+180
Anytime
+440
BetMGM Logo
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
First
+230
Anytime
+575
BetMGM Logo
Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
First
+260
Anytime
+650
BetMGM Logo
Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)
First
+270
Anytime
+650
BetMGM Logo
Player Shots On Target
Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
Over 0.5
-263
Under 0.5
+148
BetMGM Logo
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-164
Under 0.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)
Over 0.5
-149
Under 0.5
-116
BetMGM Logo
Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-132
Under 0.5
-125
BetMGM Logo
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Mainz logo Mainz Stats
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession

Mainz vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Mainz vs Fiorentina team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

27 Robin Zentner
48 Kacper Potulski 21 Danny da Costa 31 Dominik Kohr 2 Phillipp Mwene
15 Lennard Maloney 10 Nadiem Amiri 24 Sota Kawasaki 8 Paul Nebel
11 Armindo Sieb 44 Nelson Weiper
30 Tommaso Martinelli
5 Marin Pongracic 18 Pablo Mari 6 Luca Ranieri
2 Dodo 7 Simon Sohm 14 H. N. Caviglia 27 Cher Ndour 29 Niccolo Fortini
22 Jacopo Fazzini 91 Roberto Piccoli

Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Mainz 05 Substitutes

  • 1Lasse Riess
  • 6Kaishu Sano
  • 7Jae-Sung Lee
  • 9Arnaud Nordin
  • 14William Boeving
  • 17Benedict Hollerbach
  • 22Nikolas Veratschnig
  • 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • 30Silvan Widmer
  • 33Daniel Batz
  • 37Ben Bobzien
  • 42Daniel Gleiber

Fiorentina Substitutes

  • 1Luca Lezzerini
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 9Edin Dzeko
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 24Amir Richardson
  • 26Mattia Viti
  • 43David de Gea
  • 44Nicolo Fagioli
  • 60Eddy Kouadio
  • 65Fabiano Parisi

Previous Mainz Lineups

01 Nov Bundesliga
Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen
29 Oct DFB-Pokal
Mainz 05 0-2 Stuttgart
26 Oct Bundesliga
Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05
23 Oct Europa Conference League
Mainz 05 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
18 Oct Bundesliga
Mainz 05 3-4 Leverkusen
05 Oct Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4-0 Mainz 05

Previous Fiorentina Lineups

02 Nov Serie A
Fiorentina 0-1 Lecce
29 Oct Serie A
Inter Milan 3-0 Fiorentina
26 Oct Serie A
Fiorentina 2-2 Bologna
23 Oct Europa Conference League
Rapid Vienna 0-3 Fiorentina
19 Oct Serie A
AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
05 Oct Serie A
Fiorentina 1-2 Roma

Injuries & Suspensions

Mainz Injury Table
Type Name Info
Anthony Caci Thigh
Fiorentina Injury Table
Type Name Info
Robin Gosens Other
Abdelhamid Sabiri Other
Christian Kouame Cruciate ligame
Tariq Lamptey Cruciate ligame
UEFA FlagEuropa Conference League Table
Conference League Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Samsunspor 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 NK Celje 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Mainz 05 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 AEK Larnaca 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
5 Lausanne 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
6 Rayo Vallecano 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
7 Strasbourg 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
9 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
10 Sh. Donetsk 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
11 KuPS 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
12 Rakow 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
13 Drita 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
14 Jagiellonia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
15 AEK 3 1 1 1 8:4 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
17 FC Noah 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Rijeka 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
19 Sigma Olomouc 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
20 U Craiova 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
21 KF Shkendija 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 1 1 3:7 4
23 Lech 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
24 Dynamo Kiev 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
25 Legia 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 Zrinjski Mostar 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
27 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
28 Hacken 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
29 Omonia Nicosia 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
30 Shelbourne 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
31 Shamrock Rovers 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
32 Breidablik 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
33 Aberdeen 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
34 Slovan Bratislava 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
35 Hamrun Spartans 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
36 Rapid Vienna 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 NK Celje 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Rayo Vallecano 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Mainz 05 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 AEK 2 1 1 0 7:1 4
6 AEK Larnaca 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
7 Lausanne 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
8 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
9 KuPS 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
10 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
11 KF Shkendija 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
12 Zrinjski Mostar 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
13 Dynamo Kiev 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
14 Lech 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
15 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
16 Rakow 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
17 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
18 Sh. Donetsk 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Rijeka 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
21 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
22 FC Noah 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
23 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
24 Drita 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
25 Sigma Olomouc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
26 U Craiova 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
27 Breidablik 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
28 Hacken 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
29 Shelbourne 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
30 Aberdeen 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
32 Legia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
33 Omonia Nicosia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
34 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
35 Shamrock Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
36 Rapid Vienna 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Germany FlagBundesliga Table
Bundesliga 2025/2026
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 35:6 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20:13 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16:7 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
6 Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
7 Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23:19 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15:18 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
12 B. M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
13 Hamburger SV 10 2 3 5 9:16 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14:24 7
16 St. Pauli 10 2 1 7 9:20 7
17 Mainz 05 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 20:1 15
2 Stuttgart 5 5 0 0 9:3 15
3 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
4 RB Leipzig 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
5 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
6 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
7 Frankfurt 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
8 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
9 Freiburg 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
10 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
11 Hamburger SV 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
12 Hoffenheim 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
13 Heidenheim 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 B. M'gladbach 6 1 2 3 7:14 5
15 St. Pauli 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
16 Augsburg 5 1 0 4 6:15 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
18 Mainz 05 5 0 1 4 4:9 1
Italy FlagSerie A Table
Serie A 2025/2026
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Inter Milan 11 8 0 3 26:12 24
2 Roma 11 8 0 3 12:5 24
3 AC Milan 11 6 4 1 17:9 22
4 Napoli 11 7 1 3 16:10 22
5 Bologna 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
6 Juventus 11 5 4 2 14:10 19
7 Como 11 4 6 1 12:6 18
8 Sassuolo 11 5 1 5 14:12 16
9 Lazio 11 4 3 4 13:9 15
10 Udinese 11 4 3 4 12:17 15
11 Cremonese 11 3 5 3 12:13 14
12 Torino 11 3 5 3 10:16 14
13 Atalanta 11 2 7 2 13:11 13
14 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 9:14 10
15 Lecce 11 2 4 5 8:14 10
16 Pisa 11 1 6 4 8:14 9
17 Parma 11 1 5 5 7:14 8
18 Genoa 11 1 4 6 8:16 7
19 Hellas Verona 11 0 6 5 6:16 6
20 Fiorentina 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Inter Milan 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Bologna 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
3 Napoli 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 AC Milan 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Como 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
6 Juventus 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
7 Roma 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
8 Lazio 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
9 Udinese 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
10 Torino 5 2 2 1 5:6 8
11 Atalanta 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
13 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
14 Pisa 6 1 3 2 1:2 6
15 Parma 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
16 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
17 Hellas Verona 5 0 3 2 4:6 3
18 Lecce 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
19 Genoa 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
20 Fiorentina 5 0 1 4 5:10 1