Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Jul 2026
Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense Predictions
The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Corinthians are currently priced at -104. We think they can overcome Athletico Paranaense and this looks a value play.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense Preview
Corinthians host Athletico Paranaense, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Thursday 30 July.
Corinthians played Bahia away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Fernando Diniz's team had 40% possession and totalled two shots on target, with Fabrizio Angileri bagging the goal.
Athletico Paranaense claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win against Internacional made it four on the spin. The Hurricane were restricted to 44% possession and had four shots on goal, while Leozinho and Kevin Viveros were on the scoresheet.
Corinthians Have Won 7 of Previous 10 H2H Encounters
It has been four successive wins for Corinthians when playing Athletico. In the last clash, it was Corinthians who claimed a 1-0 away victory. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in seven Corinthians wins, two draws and one Athletico success.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Athletico PR |
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 9 |  Corinthians |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22:20 | 28 |
Corinthians have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Timão have averaged 51.4% possession and 3.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 4.4 corners.
The three top scorers are Yuri Alberto, Kaio and Andre Luiz, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Rodrigo Garro has recorded the most assists with 3.
Athletico have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 46.5% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.
Kevin Viveros has top scored with 7 goals, while Leozinho and Stiven Mendoza are next on 3 and 2. Joao Cruz and Gaston Americo Benavidez are the top assist makers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Corinthians predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Hugo Souza (GK), Matheuzinho, Gabriel Paulista, Gustavo Henrique, Pedro Milans, Raniele, André Luiz Santos, Breno Bidon, Rodrigo Garro, Kaio César, Yuri Alberto.
Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Santos (GK), Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gilberto, Jadson, Luiz Gustavo, Claudinho, Leozinho, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros.
Main Match Prediction
Our opinion is that Corinthians will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the -104 for this Série A game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.
Sportsgambler.com boast Série A expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The best betting apps make it a 51% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you think that Corinthians can make a relatively fast start, then we recommend considering the Double Result market. You can back them to lead at half-time and full-time.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Athletico
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Corinthians to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +410, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR) can be wagered to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal at +130. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
Breno de Souza Bidon (Corinthians) has netted two goals in his past nine Série A home games. There are odds of +550 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Corinthians to triumph, no more than two goals accompanied by Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Corinthians are regarded as having a 51% chance of winning this Série A clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -104. Athletico Paranaense are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +310.
If you want to back Corinthians to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -104, although Athletico +0.5 is -120 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -154 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Yuri Alberto at +320, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
- Série A: 19/02 2026 Athletico PR 0 Corinthians 1
- Copa do Brasil: 11/09 2025 Corinthians 2 Athletico PR 0
- Copa do Brasil: 28/08 2025 Athletico PR 0 Corinthians 1
- Série A: 18/10 2024 Corinthians 5 Athletico PR 2
- Série A: 23/06 2024 Athletico PR 1 Corinthians 1
- Série A: 01/11 2023 Corinthians 1 Athletico PR 0
- Série A: 24/06 2023 Athletico PR 1 Corinthians 0
- Série A: 09/10 2022 Corinthians 2 Athletico PR 1
- Série A: 16/06 2022 Athletico PR 1 Corinthians 1
- Série A: 28/11 2021 Corinthians 1 Athletico PR 0
Corinthians League Stats
Athletico Paranaense League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.11 corners awarded and 5.56 corners against in the last 9 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 9 away matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.44% possession in the last 9 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 9 away matches
- Top Scorers for Corinthians this season are Andre Luiz (3), Yuri Alberto (3), Bidu (2)
- Top Assistors for Corinthians this season are Rodrigo Garro (6), Andre Luiz (2), Yuri Alberto (2)
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Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Corinthians vs Athletico team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A, along with current injury news.
Corinthians Predicted Lineup 4-3-1-2
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Corinthians Predicted Lineup 4-3-1-2
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Corinthians Lineups
Previous Athletico Paranaense Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Corinthians Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fernando Diniz
Athletico Paranaense Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 6 | Bahia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | São Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitória | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 18 | Remo | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Vitória | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Grêmio | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Santos | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 10 | Bahia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlético MG | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 17 | Remo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 19 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:24 | 7 |
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