Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Freiburg

Mainz meet Freiburg at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 13:30 on Sunday 12 April.

There are several reasons to back Mainz on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of +123. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Freiburg.

Mainz 05 won their last game 2-1, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at PreZero Arena against Hoffenheim. The Rhineland-Palatinate club had 40% of possession and five shots on target, while Phillip Tietz scored both goals.

Three days ago, Mainz won 2-0 when hosting Strasbourg in the Europa Conference League.

Freiburg were defeated in their previous Bundesliga game, being beaten at home to Bayern Munich by a 3-2 scoreline at Europa-Park Stadion. The Breisgau-Brazilians had just 30% possession and totalled four shots on goal, with Johan Manzambi and Lucas Hoeler finding the net.

On Thursday night, Freiburg triumphed 3-0 in the Europa League at home to Celta Vigo.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Freiburg have not lost any of the past nine games against Mainz. In their last encounter, Freiburg came out with a 4-0 home victory at Europa-Park Stadion. The previous 10 H2H matches have featured six draws, three victories for Freiburg and just one for Mainz.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Freiburg	28	10	7	11	41	47	-6	41:47	37
9	Mainz 05	28	8	9	11	35	43	-8	35:43	33

View Full Table

Mainz have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 39.3% possession, 332.9 passes and 5.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 13.2 attempts and 5.0 corners.

Top scorer Nadiem Amiri has found the net 5 times, with Phillip Tietz and Paul Nebel getting 3 apiece. Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker and Danny da Costa have the most assists with 2, while goalie Daniel Batz has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Freiburg have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 12.8 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Julian Schuster's men average 42.4% possession, 363.7 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.5 shots on goal and 16.7 attempts.

Igor Matanovic has landed 4 goals, Matthias Ginter 2, with Lucas Hoeler and two others scoring 1. Maximilian Eggestein, Christian Guenter and Philipp Treu have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Noah Atubolu has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, William Boeving, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Guenter, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Lucas Hoeler.

Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Mainz vs Freiburg betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Mainz are priced at +123 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Bundesliga win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.

The Bundesliga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Mainz vs Freiburg league stats:

• Mainz have won 3 consecutive games.
• Mainz have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Freiburg have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Freiburg have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 44.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 50% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

For bettors anticipating the net bulging at both ends along with Mainz winning, then why not combine this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself a bigger price as part of the deal.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz To Win @ +123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 19:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 1 Freiburg

There are odds of +700 available that Mainz land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Johan Manzambi Over 1.5 Shots +112

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg) has totalled over 1.5 shots in his past two Bundesliga matches. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the +112 available.

Latest Johan Manzambi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

---

Paul Nebel to Score +280

Paul Nebel (Mainz) has managed three goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +280 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Mainz Under 5.5 Corners -137

Mainz have not covered the 5.5 corners line in five straight games, while the corner count against Freiburg has been less than 5.5 in 4 of the past 5 matches. We’re backing Mainz to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.30 5.30 5.00

Home

10.00 6.80 3.20

Away

8.80 2.60 6.20

Freiburg

Total

9.20 4.40 4.80

Home

8.50 4.90 3.60

Away

10.00 4.60 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-112

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-137

Freiburg Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+650

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Freiburg Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Mainz 05 are the +123 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 45% chance of triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter according to the latest odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, Freiburg have been priced up at +245.

If you think that Mainz are able to beat Freiburg, then the -111 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -156 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Bundesliga game before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+205

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+118

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-278

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+115

Favourite Phillip Tietz is available at +550 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Derry Scherhant (Freiburg)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Patrick Osterhage (Freiburg)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Derry Scherhant (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Mainz are unbeaten over their previous ten games at MEWA Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate club have seven wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

Freiburg have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.20.

Mainz drew 2-2 with Freiburg in their last MEWA Arena meeting. There have been three draws and two wins each in the past 7 H2H meetings at MEWA Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		7-3-0	2.40	1.80	0.60	4	6	5	5
Freiburg Away Stats		2-2-6	3.30	1.10	2.20	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mainz vs Freiburg Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Mainz vs Freiburg team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups plus current injury reports.

Mainz 05 Team Page Freiburg Team Page

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