St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich

Third-from-bottom St. Pauli meet dominant Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 11 April.

St. Pauli +1.5 on the Asian Handicap look like betting value at -118 considering a win, draw or one-goal defeat for the underdogs will still leave us with a payout. We think they can acquit themselves well against Bayern Munich.

St. Pauli drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Union Berlin at Alten Foersterei. The Kiezkickers recorded two shots on target and had 45% possession, while Mathias Pereira Lage was the goalscorer.

Bayern Munich won their previous league game 3-2. This road win at Europa-Park Stadion against Freiburg was their second the Bundesliga victory on the bounce. Vincent Kompany's team had nine shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Tom Bischof was on the scoresheet twice and Lennart Karl also found the net.

Four days ago, Bayern travelled to Real Madrid and won 2-1 in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Allianz Arena, with Bayern landing the home victory. Defeating St. Pauli by a 3-1 scoreline. Bayern have won all of the past 3 H2H meetings.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Bayern Munich	34	28	5	1	122	36	86	122:36	89
18	St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31	29:60	26

View Full Table

St. Pauli have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 10.1 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Alexander Blessin's side have averaged 41.9% possession, 415.7 passes and 3.4 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 5.2 corners from 11.7 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.

Danel Sinani is the top goalscorer with 3, Mathias Pereira Lage has 2, with Hauke Wahl and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Manolis Saliakas with 2, while goalie Nikola Vasilj has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Bayern have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 8.2 shots on goal, 18.6 attempts and 2.9 goals. The Bavarians average 64.8% possession, 655.1 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 11.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Harry Kane has recorded 10 goals, Luis Diaz 6, with Tom Bischof and Serge Gnabry both managing 2. Michael Olise is top assists provider with 5, while Jonas Urbig has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, Joel Chima Fujita, Lars Ritzka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Pereira Lage, Andreas Hountondji.

Bayern Munich confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Konrad Laimer, Min-Jae Kim, Hiroki Ito, Tom Bischof, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Michael Olise, Raphael Guerreiro, Jamal Musiala, Nicolas Jackson.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips

Our St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

Let’s try St. Pauli +1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga clash. There’s plenty of value at -118 considering we can afford the home team to lose by one goal and still benefit with our bet.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Bundesliga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 8 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 15 of their last 18 games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 2 of their last 3 games against Bayern.

According to the odds, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back St. Pauli to cover the line along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of picks on the same game.

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Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 18:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 1 - 2 Bayern

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Bayern. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Danel Sinani Over 1.5 Shots +104

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has fired over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Bundesliga games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +104 that he goes over the line.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1050

Shots

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

---

Mathias Pereira Lage to Score +525

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. We’ll take a chance at +525 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Mathias Pereira Lage Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1400

Shots

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bayern Under 6.5 Corners -120

Bayern Munich have averaged 4.80 corners in the past 5 away matches, with the corner count against St. Pauli going under 6.5 in their previous six home games. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back Bayern to go under the Team Corners line at odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

8.60 3.40 5.20

Home

9.80 5.30 4.50

Away

10.20 3.50 6.70

Bayern

Total

9.70 6.80 2.90

Home

10.30 8.00 2.30

Away

9.10 5.40 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-128

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-172

Bayern Corners

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+102

Most Corners

1

+320

X

+700

2

-345

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Bayern Munich have a 72% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -263 favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the +600 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Bayern can be backed at -111 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. St. Pauli can be chanced at +500 and the draw is +155.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -141 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

+600

X

+400

2

-263

Half-Time Result

1

+500

X

+155

2

-111

Double Chance

1X

+185

12

-625

X2

-1111

Draw No Bet

1

+390

2

-769

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-108

2 Hcp -1.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+140

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

+102

Harry Kane is priced at +280 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -118 to find the net anytime.

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

-118

Anytime

+280

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

First

+125

Anytime

+370

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

First

+160

Anytime

+475

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan Tah (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dayot Upamecano (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Kim Min-jae (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Hiroki Ito (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Harry Kane (Bayern)

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Michael Olise (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Kim Min-jae (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Bundesliga matches only
St. Pauli have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Bayern Munich haven’t tasted defeat in ten consecutive away matches. The Bavarians have managed seven victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 3.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Bayern enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		3-4-3	2.10	0.90	1.20	5	5	6	4
Bayern Munich Away Stats		7-3-0	4.20	3.10	1.10	9	1	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the St. Pauli vs Bayern team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

St. Pauli Team Page Bayern Munich Team Page

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