Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Hamburger SV

Mainz welcome Hamburger SV to MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 20 February.

We’ll take the plunge and back Mainz to secure victory when they go up against Hamburger SV. There’s plenty of confidence behind this Full-Time Result wager and the odds of +105 look attractive.

Mainz 05 have won three home games on the bounce. Away at Signal Iduna Park in their last game, they were beaten 4-0 by Borussia Dortmund. The 05ers managed four shots on target and recorded 45% possession.

Hamburger SV beat Union Berlin in their previous league game, making it back-to-back Bundesliga victories. It was a 3-2 home win at Volksparkstadion. Merlin Polzin's side managed four shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession, while Ransford Koenigsdoerffer scored twice and Nicolas Capaldo also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 4-0 home win for HSV at Volksparkstadion when they last played Mainz.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Mainz 05	28	8	9	11	35	43	-8	35:43	33
12	Hamburger SV	28	7	10	11	32	41	-9	32:41	31

View Full Table

Mainz have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Urs Fischer's men have averaged 41.8% possession, 360.3 passes and 5.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 5.2 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Nadiem Amiri is the top goalscorer with 6, Stefan Bell has 2, with Silas Katompa Mvumpa and two other players on 1. Phillip Tietz and Jae-Sung Lee have the most assists with 2, while goalie Daniel Batz has recorded 2 clean sheets.

HSV have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 12.1 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.0% possession, 408.9 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Ransford Koenigsdoerffer and Luka Vuskovic on 3, with Rayan Philippe getting 2. Fabio Vieira has clocked up 3 assists, with Daniel Heuer Fernandes keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Dominik Kohr, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz.

Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Jordan Torunarigha, Nicolas Capaldo, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer, Philip Otele, Robert Glatzel.

Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Mainz vs Hamburger SV with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Mainz have the capability of securing a victory when they line up in this Bundesliga game. For this reason, we are going to take betting odds of +105 with a large degree of confidence.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Bundesliga form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Mainz vs Hamburger SV league stats:

• Mainz have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• HSV have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• HSV have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

One way of securing bigger odds when it comes to Mainz winning is by selecting them on the Double Result market. They need to be leading at the interval and the full-time whistle.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz To Win @ +105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 18, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 1 Hamburger SV

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Mainz to win 2-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +650 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 1.5 Shots -159

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has finished with over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Bundesliga games. We are in favour of betting the -159 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

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Silas Katompa Mvumpa To Score +310

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz) can be wagered at +310 to be on the scoresheet. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Silas Katompa Mvumpa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -128

The five past home games involving Mainz have had an average of 11.80 corners, with the previous five HSV matches involving 11.00. We think it’s achievable that the sides will cover the Total Corners line and there are odds of -128 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.10 5.40 4.70

Home

9.70 6.30 3.40

Away

8.60 3.20 5.40

Hamburger SV

Total

9.20 4.30 4.90

Home

9.40 4.00 5.40

Away

8.50 4.10 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Hamburger SV Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+114

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+163

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Hamburger SV Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Mainz 05 as +104 favourites for this Bundesliga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 49% likely to triumph. Hamburger SV are seen as the most unlikely winner at +260.

You can choose Mainz -0.5 or HSV +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of +104 and -128. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -167 on the BTTS market.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Bundesliga game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+240

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+132

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-333

X2

-133

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+104

2 Hcp +0.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+125

Phillip Tietz is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Philip Porwei Otele (HSV)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Damion Downs (HSV)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Fábio Baldé (HSV)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Luka Vuskovic (HSV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Stefan Posch (Mainz)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Fábio Baldé (HSV)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Damion Downs (HSV)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Philip Porwei Otele (HSV)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Posch (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Mainz have won each of their last three games at MEWA Arena. The 05ers have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

HSV have six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		5-3-2	2.10	1.30	0.80	3	7	5	5
Hamburger SV Away Stats		1-3-6	2.40	0.60	1.80	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Mainz vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Mainz vs HSV team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga, along with current injury news.

Mainz 05 Team Page Hamburger SV Team Page

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