Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Feb 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Hamburger SV
Mainz welcome Hamburger SV to MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 20 February.
We’ll take the plunge and back Mainz to secure victory when they go up against Hamburger SV. There’s plenty of confidence behind this Full-Time Result wager and the odds of +105 look attractive.
Backing Mainz for the win? Make sure you’ve got the promo code from BetMGM and our comprehensive site review in your corner ahead of making your move.
Mainz 05 have won three home games on the bounce. Away at Signal Iduna Park in their last game, they were beaten 4-0 by Borussia Dortmund. The 05ers managed four shots on target and recorded 45% possession.
Hamburger SV beat Union Berlin in their previous league game, making it back-to-back Bundesliga victories. It was a 3-2 home win at Volksparkstadion. Merlin Polzin's side managed four shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession, while Ransford Koenigsdoerffer scored twice and Nicolas Capaldo also found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 4-0 home win for HSV at Volksparkstadion when they last played Mainz.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Hamburger SV |
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 24:31 | 25 |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 |
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25:37 | 21 |
Mainz have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Urs Fischer's men have averaged 41.8% possession, 360.3 passes and 5.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 5.2 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Nadiem Amiri is the top goalscorer with 6, Stefan Bell has 2, with Silas Katompa Mvumpa and two other players on 1. Phillip Tietz and Jae-Sung Lee have the most assists with 2, while goalie Daniel Batz has recorded 2 clean sheets.
HSV have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 12.1 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.0% possession, 408.9 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Ransford Koenigsdoerffer and Luka Vuskovic on 3, with Rayan Philippe getting 2. Fabio Vieira has clocked up 3 assists, with Daniel Heuer Fernandes keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Stefan Posch, Maxim Leitsch, Dominik Kohr, Danny da Costa, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Phillipp Mwene, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz.
Hamburger SV predicted lineup (4-4-2): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Nicolas Capaldo, Daniel Elfadli, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Philip Otele, Robert Glatzel.
Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips
Gear up for Mainz vs Hamburger SV with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Mainz have the capability of securing a victory when they line up in this Bundesliga game. For this reason, we are going to take betting odds of +105 with a large degree of confidence.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Bundesliga form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Mainz vs Hamburger SV league stats:
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
One way of securing bigger odds when it comes to Mainz winning is by selecting them on the Double Result market. They need to be leading at the interval and the full-time whistle.
Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Hamburger SV
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Mainz to win 2-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has registered four goals in his past four Bundesliga matches. It’s worth a play on the +280 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The five past home games involving Mainz have had an average of 11.80 corners, with the previous five HSV matches involving 11.00. We think it’s achievable that the sides will cover the Total Corners line and there are odds of -128 available.
Mainz
Hamburger SV
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Mainz on the Full-Time Result, more than two goals in total together with over 9.5 corners to be awarded.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Mainz vs Hamburger SV Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Mainz 05 as +105 favourites for this Bundesliga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 49% likely to triumph. Hamburger SV are seen as the most unlikely winner at +270.
If you think Mainz can overcome HSV, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -128 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -161 on the BTTS market.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Bundesliga game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Phillip Tietz is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Mainz have won each of their last three games at MEWA Arena. The 05ers have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
HSV have six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.10 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | |
| Hamburger SV Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.40 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Mainz League Stats
Hamburger SV League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Mainz this season are Nadiem Amiri (9), Armindo Sieb (2), Jae-Sung Lee (2)
- Top Assistors for Mainz this season are Benedict Hollerbach (2), Jae-Sung Lee (2), Nadiem Amiri (2)
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Mainz vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Mainz vs HSV team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga, along with current injury news.
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Mainz Lineups
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Urs Fischer
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 82:19 | 57 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 47:20 | 51 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 41:29 | 42 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:30 | 40 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 43:27 | 39 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 44:46 | 31 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:31 | 25 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28:37 | 25 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31:37 | 23 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:37 | 22 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:37 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 31:46 | 20 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22:42 | 19 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20:39 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19:48 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 45:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:24 | 9 |
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