Málaga vs Ceuta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Jan 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Málaga vs Ceuta

Málaga clash with Ceuta at Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 11 January.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Málaga come out on top against Ceuta. We will therefore back them at +107 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

If you're siding with our Málaga to win prediction, make sure to claim the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Málaga won last time out by a 3-1 scoreline. Away from home against Sporting Gijón at Estadio El Molinon, they made it three victories on the spin. Los Boquerones enjoyed 48% possession and seven shots on target, with Chupe, Adrian Nino and Julen Lobete scoring one goal each.

Ceuta beat Andorra in their previous league game, making it back-to-back La Liga 2 victories. It was a 2-1 home win at Estadio Alfonso Murube. Jose Juan Romero's team were restricted to just 33% possession and managed five shots on goal, while Youness Lachhab and Carlos Hernandez found the net.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Málaga	22	10	5	7	32	26	6	32:26	35
11	Ceuta	22	9	5	8	25	29	-4	25:29	32

View Full Table

Málaga have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Andalusia side have averaged 51.7% possession and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.1 corners from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts.

Top scorer is Adrian Nino on 4 goals, while Chupe and Eneko Jauregi have both racked up 3. The leading assistors have been Victor and Julen Lobete with 2.

Ceuta have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 8.2 attempts, 3.8 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. Caballas average 47.7% possession, 4.2 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.

Jamelli has top scored with 3, while Kuki Zalazar, Jose Matos and Marcos Fernandez are next on 2. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Kuki Zalazar, Youness Lachhab and Kialy Abdoul Kone who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

Málaga confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Rafita, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, Joaquin Munoz, Chupe, Carlos Dotor.

Ceuta confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Guillermo Vallejo (GK), Anuar, Carlos Hernandez, Diego Gonzalez, Jose Matos, Jamelli, Youness Lachhab, Cristian Rodriguez, Aisar Ahmed, Kuki Zalazar, Kialy Abdoul Kone.

Málaga vs Ceuta Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Málaga vs Ceuta betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of +107 for a home win in this La Liga 2 encounter. We think that Málaga will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the La Liga 2 team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Málaga vs Ceuta league stats:

• Málaga have won 3 consecutive games.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 48.3% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s the chance to secure bigger odds by combining Málaga to win with BTTS No if you think that they’ll not only oblige with a victory but also keep a clean sheet during the ninety minutes.

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Our Match Prediction

Málaga To Win @ +107 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:38, 09 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 2 - 1 Ceuta

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Málaga. You can secure odds of +575 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aarón Ochoa To Score +425

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga) is available to find the net at +425. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Aarón Ochoa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+950

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -125

We’ve seen an average 6.20 corners in the previous five Málaga home matches. We’re happy to back the -125 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

8.10 4.00 4.10

Home

7.00 3.70 3.30

Away

9.60 4.20 5.40

Ceuta

Total

9.10 4.20 4.90

Home

9.30 5.20 4.10

Away

8.60 3.40 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

-100

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-106

Ceuta Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-152

X

+600

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Málaga vs Ceuta Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Málaga are the +104 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 49% chance of winning this La Liga 2 encounter according to the latest betting odds. Ceuta are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +245.

There are various ways to back Málaga and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -135 currently available that they beat Ceuta and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to La Liga 2 matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+225

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+115

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-357

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-135

2 Hcp +0.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-118

Carlos Ruiz Rubio can be backed to find the net anytime at +215, with +500 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+215

Anytime

+500

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+255

Anytime

+525

Kialy Abdoul Kone (Ceuta)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Juanto Ortuño (Ceuta)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Samuel Obeng (Ceuta)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Aisar Ahmed (Ceuta)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Manu Vallejo (Ceuta)

First

+375

Anytime

+750

Kuki Zalazar (Ceuta)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Youness Lachhab (Ceuta)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Anuar Tuhami (Ceuta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Carlos Redru (Ceuta)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Yann Bodiger (Ceuta)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Moussa Diarra (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Málaga are unbeaten over their previous six games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Los Boquerones have managed five victories, four draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Ceuta have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		5-4-1	3.00	1.90	1.10	6	4	7	3
Ceuta Away Stats		2-4-4	2.60	1.00	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Málaga vs Ceuta Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Málaga vs Ceuta team news before you bet. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups and the latest injury reports.

Málaga Team Page Ceuta Team Page

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