Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Apr 2025

Citizens Look Set for Victory

If you agree with our verdict that Man City will have the edge when clashing with Aston Villa, then you can back the home team at -118. We’re expecting a return with this Full-Time Result bet.

7 City Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Manchester City have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest was on their travels where Everton were beaten 2-0 at Goodison Park. Pep Guardiola's men boasted 67% possession and had six shots on target, while Nico O'Reilly and Mateo Kovacic each scored one goal.

Aston Villa beat Newcastle United in their previous game, making it five straight victories. It was a 4-1 home win at Villa Park. The Villans were 49% in the possession stakes and had nine shots on goal, while Ollie Watkins, Ian Maatsen, Daniel Burn (own goal) and Amadou Onana were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Villa Park, they recorded a 2-1 home victory over City. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved seven City wins, one draw and two Villa victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 13.1 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. City have had 62.4% possession, 591.9 passes and 3.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 8.9 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Omar Marmoush has found the net 6 times, Erling Haaland 3, with Mateo Kovacic and two other players on 2. Leading assistor is Ilkay Gundogan with 4, while goalies Ederson Moraes and Stefan Ortega have 5 clean sheets between them.

Villa have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 14.6 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.1% possession, 465.7 passes, 6.9 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 12.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Ollie Watkins is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Donyell Malen and Marco Asensio have 3. Morgan Rogers has had 4 assists, with Emiliano Martinez and Robin Olsen notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Stefan Ortega (GK), Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Mateo Kovacic, James McAtee, Bernardo Silva, Ilkay Gundogan, Omar Marmoush, Kevin De Bruyne.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans, Jacob Ramsey, Marcus Rashford.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Man City could land the money in this Premier League game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -118 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Manchester City vs Aston Villa league stats:

• City have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• City have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• City have won 2 consecutive games.
• City have won 7 of their last 10 games against Villa.

City to Win Probability

The bookies make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you expect City to win but also concede at least once, then it stands to reason that the Result + BTTS Yes selection provides a nice betting option at a bigger price.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -118 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Man City are available to back at +650 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Phil Foden Under 0.5 Shots On Target -102

Phil Foden (City) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in four straight Premier League matches. We think that he will fail to cover the line and this Shots on Target bet can be backed at -102.

Latest Phil Foden Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+510

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Shots

Over 1.5

-278

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Omar Marmoush to Score +140

Omar Marmoush (City) has scored in three consecutive Premier League home games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +140.

Latest Omar Marmoush Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+140

First

+380

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-263

Shots

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Man City Under 5.5 Corners -100

City have had under 5.5 corners in seven consecutive matches, with Aston Villa conceding under 5.5 corners in 4 of the past 5 away matches. We’re anticipating City to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.00 3.90 4.10

Home

8.80 5.70 3.10

Away

8.90 4.30 4.60

Aston Villa

Total

11.20 6.90 4.30

Home

11.20 7.60 3.60

Away

10.70 5.30 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-150

Under 9.5

+110

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Aston Villa Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+575

2

+170

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have City as Favourites

Manchester City are the shortest price to win this Premier League game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 54% probability due to their -118 betting odds. Aston Villa are the +275 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

For those expecting a high-scoring game, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price.

Many customers enjoy placing a Premier League Bet Builder where you can combine different betting selections with the football betting sites. The more picks means that the odds get bigger.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+300

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+137.5

X

+150

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-450

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-112

2 Hcp +0.5

+101

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-188

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+150

Omar Marmoush Favourite to Find the Net First

Omar Marmoush is the market leader at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Phil Foden (City)

First

+180

Anytime

+510

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Marcus Rashford (Villa)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

James McAtee (City)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

Kevin De Bruyne (City)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Marco Asensio (Villa)

First

+325

Anytime

+850

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+325

Anytime

+850

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+425

Anytime

+1100

Jack Grealish (City)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Jacob Ramsey (Villa)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Ilkay Gündogan (City)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Mateo Kovacic (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Rico Lewis (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Kevin De Bruyne (City)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-112

James McAtee (City)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-122

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-141

Marcus Rashford (Villa)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Marco Asensio (Villa)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-227

Jack Grealish (City)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-263

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-303

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Jacob Ramsey (Villa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Ilkay Gündogan (City)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Mateo Kovacic (City)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-769

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-

Kevin De Bruyne (City)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Ilkay Gündogan (City)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jack Grealish (City)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Marco Asensio (Villa)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-278

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

James McAtee (City)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Rashford (Villa)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Our City vs Villa team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Premier League squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Manchester City Team Page Aston Villa Team Page