Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Newcastle

Second-placed Manchester City take on Newcastle at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 21 February.

We think Man City will beat Newcastle by two goals or more. This leads us to back the favourites -1.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -104, with a one goal victory meaning half the stake comes back.

Want to follow our Asian Handicap tip? Get the current BetMGM promo code and see how the bookie performs in our in-depth site review before getting involved.

Manchester City won their last Premier League game 3-0, making it back-to-back league wins. This was a home victory at Etihad Stadium against Fulham. Pep Guardiola's side had five shots on target and enjoyed 56% possession, while Antoine Semenyo, Nico O'Reilly and Erling Haaland got among the goals.

Their most recent encounter saw City win 2-0 when hosting Salford City in the FA Cup.

Newcastle United got the win in their previous Premier League game. A 2-1 triumph occurred away from home at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium when playing Tottenham. The Magpies had five shots on goal and 47% possession, while Malick Thiaw and Jacob Ramsey were both on target.

In their previous showing, Newcastle claimed a 6-1 Champions League victory away to Qarabag FK.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have beaten Newcastle in the last two head-to-head encounters. When hosting at Etihad Stadium, there was a 3-1 scoreline and that came after a 2-0 away win at St James' Park. The past 10 H2H matches have seen City triumph seven times, one draw and two Newcastle wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	26	16	5	5	54	24	30	54:24	53
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	37	37	0	37:37	36

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. City have had 62.0% possession, 604.2 passes and 5.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts, while being awarded 3.1 corners.

Erling Haaland is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Antoine Semenyo and Tijjani Reijnders each have 3. Erling Haaland has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has 4 clean sheets.

Newcastle have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 15.1 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.0% possession, 462.6 passes, 8.2 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Bruno Guimaraes is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Malick Thiaw, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes and Nick Woltemade have 2. Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimaraes have both had 2 assists, with Nick Pope notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait Nouri, Bernardo Silva, Rodri, Nico O'Reilly, Phil Foden, Erling Haaland, Antoine Semenyo.

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Joseph Willock, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Manchester City vs Newcastle betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

Man City can prove too strong in this Premier League game and we’re backing the Citizens on the Asian Handicap -1.25 at -104 in the hope that they can stamp their authority on the match.

Our team of experts monitor the current Premier League injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Manchester City vs Newcastle league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by City in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by City in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by City in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by City in 2 consecutive games against Newcastle.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.

Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -104 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Bet $10, Get $150 If You Win Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle

Man City are available to back at +700 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Gordon Over 2.5 Shots +145

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) has fired over 2.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of +145.

Latest Anthony Gordon Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+800

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

---

Antoine Semenyo to Score +160

Antoine Semenyo (City) has netted three goals in his past five Premier League games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +160 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Antoine Semenyo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Newcastle Over 3.5 Corners -119

Newcastle have had over 3.5 corners in ten straight games, with City conceding over 3.5 corners in their past two games. Newcastle should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -119 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.30 5.20 3.10

Home

10.30 6.90 3.40

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Newcastle

Total

12.20 8.20 4.00

Home

12.60 7.40 5.20

Away

12.00 7.00 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-122

Man City Corners

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-128

Newcastle Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+750

2

+275

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 68% chance of winning, Manchester City might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -217 when it comes to this Premier League encounter. Newcastle United are the outsiders at +510 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

For those wanting an alternative, City are -112 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Newcastle being priced up at +420 and the draw is +175.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -185 on the BTTS market.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Premier League game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-217

X

+390

2

+510

Half-Time Result

1

-112

X

+175

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-556

X2

+163

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+325

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-104

2 Hcp +1.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+180

Over 2.5

-233

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+138

There’s the chance to back Erling Haaland at +220 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-172

Anytime

+220

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+160

Anytime

+460

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+160

Anytime

+480

Phil Foden (City)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+260

Anytime

+800

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+440

Anytime

+1300

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Rodri (City)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ruben Dias (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Max Alleyne (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Man City have landed six straight wins at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens have racked up eight wins and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 0.40.

Newcastle have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

The previous Etihad Stadium encounter involved a 3-1 City win against Newcastle. City have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 8 H2H meetings at Etihad Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester City Home Stats		8-2-0	3.30	2.90	0.40	4	6	4	6
Newcastle Away Stats		3-1-6	3.00	1.30	1.70	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester City vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

Check the City vs Newcastle team news before you place your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Manchester City Team Page Newcastle United Team Page

Top Football Pages