Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Benfica

Third-from-bottom Casa Pia host third-placed Benfica in a Lisbon derby at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Monday 6 April.

Casa Pia +2 on the Asian Handicap looks like a good bet to have. A two-goal cushion at -135 means a return if the Geese win, draw or lose by a single goal against Benfica. Stakes are refunded if the underdogs lose by two.

Casa Pia suffered a defeat in their last game. A 4-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio Jose Gomes against Estrela Amadora. Alvaro Pacheco's men had 47% possession and managed two shots on target.

Benfica have bagged three consecutive road wins. Their previous game was a 3-0 home success over Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio da Luz. The Eagles enjoyed 49% possession and had four shots on goal, with Gianluca Prestianni, Vangelis Pavlidis and Beni (own goal) on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When the teams last went head-to-head, we saw Casa Pia draw 2-2 away to Benfica at Estadio da Luz. The past 7 H2H matches have included four Benfica victories, two draws and one Casa Pia win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	74:25	80
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	31:57	30

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. The Geese have averaged 38.0% possession, 276.5 passes and 2.9 corners per match, conceding 1.9 goals and 7.3 corners from 5.6 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts.

Cassiano leads the way with 3 goals, Gaizka Larrazabal has 2, with Rafael Brito and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Jeremy Livolant with 3, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Benfica have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 6.6 shots on goal, 18.8 attempts and 2.2 goals. Jose Mourinho's side average 60.1% possession, 475.9 passes, 8.6 corners awarded and 2.5 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 2.4 shots on goal.

Vangelis Pavlidis is the leading goalscorer with 4, Andreas Schjelderup has 3, with Leandro Barreiro and Anisio Cabral getting 2. Richard Rios has been the top assist maker on 3, with Anatoliy Trubin notching 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Andre Geraldes, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Rafael Brito, Pedro Silva Rosas, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais.

Benfica confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Alexander Bah, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Dodi Lukebakio, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Casa Pia vs Benfica with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a case for backing Casa Pia +2, especially at generous odds of -135. It means we get a return if the home team are able to punch above expectation levels in this Primeira Liga encounter.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Primeira Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Casa Pia vs Benfica league stats:

• The +2 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +2 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +2 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +2 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 2 consecutive games against Benfica.

The best betting sites make it a 57.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +2 @ -135 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 21:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Benfica

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for the Eagles which is available at odds of +550. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andreas Schjelderup to Score +225

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) has scored two goals in his past five Primeira Liga matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +225 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Andreas Schjelderup Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Under 2.5 Corners -143

In six consecutive home games, Casa Pia have fallen short of 2.5 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -143 for this Casa Pia wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

10.20 2.90 7.30

Home

8.80 3.00 5.80

Away

10.40 3.90 6.50

Benfica

Total

11.10 8.60 2.50

Home

9.00 6.70 2.30

Away

10.30 7.80 2.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-114

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-120

Benfica Corners

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-108

Most Corners

1

+700

X

+1100

2

-1000

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Benfica are strong -500 favourites to win this Primeira Liga encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. If you want to wager on the underdog, Casa Pia have been priced up at +1150.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Benfica are -179 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Casa Pia are +800 and the draw is priced at +188.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -159.

Hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+1150

X

+510

2

-500

Half-Time Result

1

+800

X

+188

2

-179

Double Chance

1X

+290

12

-1111

X2

-3333

Draw No Bet

1

+800

2

-5000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.75

-105

2 Hcp -1.75

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-159

There is -156 available that Vangelis Pavlidis finds the net at any stage. He is available at +190 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

-156

Anytime

+190

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+143

Anytime

+390

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+143

Anytime

+380

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+335

Anytime

+850

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Samuel Dahl (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Alexander Bah (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

António Silva (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Enzo Barrenechea (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Tomás Araújo (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Amar Dedic (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Otamendi (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Manuel Jorge Silva (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Casa Pia have gone unbeaten at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in the last six games. The Geese have recorded six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Benfica haven’t lost any of their past ten away games. The Eagles have recorded seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 0.60.

When the sides last met at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Casa Pia beat Benfica 3-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		2-6-2	3.40	1.60	1.80	5	5	8	2
Benfica Away Stats		7-3-0	2.50	1.90	0.60	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Casa Pia vs Benfica, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Benfica Team Page

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