Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester United vs Manchester City

Manchester United, now led by Michael Carrick, host fierce rivals Manchester City in the Manchester derby at Old Trafford, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 17 January.

It might be rewarding to back City when they go up against United. There’s plenty of value in the -105 that the Citizens get over the line and we’re therefore going to wager on the Full-Time Result market.

Manchester United have appointed former player Michael Carrick as head coach until the end of the season. Carrick oversaw training for the first time on Wednesday and will be in charge against City.

United played Burnley on their travels in their last Premier League game. It was a 2-2 draw at Turf Moor. The Red Devils boasted 65% possession and had ten shots on target, with Benjamin Sesko scoring both of the goals.

On Sunday, United were beaten 2-1 when facing Brighton at home in the FA Cup.

Manchester City hosted Brighton in their previous Premier League game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola's side boasted 60% possession and had six shots on goal, while Erling Haaland found the net.

In their previous showing, City claimed a 2–0 away win over Newcastle United in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 3-0 home triumph when facing United at Etihad Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have included six wins for City, three triumphs for United and a single draw.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	28	18	5	5	57	25	32	57:25	59
3	Man United	28	14	9	5	50	38	12	50:38	51

View Full Table

United have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 19.2 attempts. They have averaged 57.8% possession, 491.7 passes and 5.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Matheus Cunha and Bruno Fernandes are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Benjamin Sesko has 2. Bruno Fernandes has the most assists with 5, while goalie Senne Lammens has recorded one clean sheet.

City have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 15.7 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The Citizens average 61.7% possession, 588.7 passes, 5.7 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Erling Haaland and Phil Foden have 6 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Tijjani Reijnders on 4. Rayan Cherki has been chief assist maker on 5, with Gianluigi Donnarumma recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, Amad, Bruno Fernandes, Patrick Dorgu, Bryan Mbeumo.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Rico Lewis, Abdukodir Khusanov, Max Alleyne, Nathan Ake, Rodri, Antoine Semenyo, Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Manchester United vs Manchester City from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think City stand a strong chance of victory when they compete in the Manchester derby, with our pick providing lots of value. Secure the odds of -105 that the visitors are able to get the job done.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Premier League form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Man United vs Man City league stats:

• City have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• City have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• United have lost 6 of their last 10 games against City.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

The Match Result & Total market provides both the chance to bet on City to win and also combine this selection with a forecast for how many goals will be scored.

Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 15, 13:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

United 0 - 1 City

A 1-0 win in favor of City is available at odds of +950. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bruno Fernandes Over 1.5 Shots -167

Bruno Fernandes (United) has covered the 1.5 shots total in eight straight Premier League home matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of -167.

Latest Bruno Fernandes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Tijjani Reijnders to Score +270

Tijjani Reijnders (City) has managed three goals in his past five Premier League matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +270 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tijjani Reijnders Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

City Under 5.5 Corners -137

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by City in their past four away games. We think City might fall short of the mark, with odds of -137 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

United

Total

10.20 5.80 4.40

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

9.20 4.60 4.60

City

Total

8.90 5.70 3.20

Home

10.30 7.30 3.00

Away

8.70 3.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

United Corners

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-164

City Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+650

2

-159

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Manchester United vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Manchester City betting odds are -109 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Manchester derby encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 52% chance of winning. Manchester United are seen as the most unlikely winner at +265.

There are two Asian Handicap options and they are City -0.5 at -110 or alternatively United +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -112.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -238 on the BTTS market.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+265

X

+290

2

-109

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+160

2

+133

Double Chance

1X

-116

12

-400

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-233

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-112

2 Hcp -0.5

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-238

No

+175

You will find Erling Haaland at +260 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -133 that he finds the net at anytime.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-133

Anytime

+260

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

First

+180

Anytime

+600

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Benjamin Sesko (United)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Matheus Cunha (United)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Phil Foden (City)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+215

Anytime

+650

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Bruno Fernandes (United)

First

+270

Anytime

+900

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Mason Mount (United)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Amad Diallo (United)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Patrick Dorgu (United)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Carlos Casemiro (United)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Rodri (City)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+115

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+105

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-110

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-123

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-152

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Mason Mount (United)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Amad Diallo (United)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Amad Diallo (United)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Mason Mount (United)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

United have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

City haven’t lost any of their past four away games. The Citizens have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

United drew 0-0 with City when the sides last met at Old Trafford. City have secured five wins, United boast two wins and there have been two draws in the past 9 H2H matches at Old Trafford.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester United Home Stats		5-3-2	3.30	1.90	1.40	5	5	7	3
Manchester City Away Stats		5-2-3	2.90	1.80	1.10	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester United vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on United vs City, check the team news first. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus current injury reports.

Manchester United Team Page Manchester City Team Page

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