Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester United vs Manchester City

Manchester United, now led by Michael Carrick, host fierce rivals Manchester City in the Manchester derby at Old Trafford, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 17 January.

It might be rewarding to back Man City when they go up against Man United. There’s plenty of value in the -105 that the Citizens get over the line and we’re therefore going to wager on the Full-Time Result market.

Backing our City pick? Don’t miss out—secure the new BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive review before jumping in.

Manchester United have appointed former player Michael Carrick as head coach until the end of the season. Carrick oversaw training for the first time on Wednesday and will be in charge against City.

United played Burnley on their travels in their last Premier League game. It was a 2-2 draw at Turf Moor. The Red Devils boasted 65% possession and had ten shots on target, with Benjamin Sesko scoring both of the goals.

On Sunday, United were beaten 2-1 when facing Brighton at home in the FA Cup.

Manchester City hosted Brighton in their previous Premier League game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola's side boasted 60% possession and had six shots on goal, while Erling Haaland found the net.

In their previous showing, City claimed a 2–0 away win over Newcastle United in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 3-0 home triumph when facing United at Etihad Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have included six wins for City, three triumphs for United and a single draw.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	21	13	4	4	45	19	26	45:19	43
7	Man United	21	8	8	5	36	32	4	36:32	32

View Full Table

United have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 19.2 attempts. They have averaged 57.8% possession, 491.7 passes and 5.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Matheus Cunha and Bruno Fernandes are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Benjamin Sesko has 2. Bruno Fernandes has the most assists with 5, while goalie Senne Lammens has recorded one clean sheet.

City have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 15.7 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The Citizens average 61.7% possession, 588.7 passes, 5.7 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Erling Haaland and Phil Foden have 6 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Tijjani Reijnders on 4. Rayan Cherki has been chief assist maker on 5, with Gianluigi Donnarumma recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester United predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Diogo Dalot, Ayden Heaven, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Manuel Ugarte, Matheus Cunha, Bruno Fernandes, Patrick Dorgu, Benjamin Sesko.

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Max Alleyne, Nathan Ake, Nico Gonzalez, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Manchester United vs Manchester City from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think Man City stand a strong chance of victory when they compete in the Manchester derby, with our pick providing lots of value. Secure the odds of -105 that the visitors are able to get the job done.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Premier League form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Man United vs Man City league stats:

• City have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• City have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• United have lost 6 of their last 10 games against City.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

The Match Result & Total market provides both the chance to bet on City to win and also combine this selection with a forecast for how many goals will be scored.

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Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

United 0 - 1 City

A 1-0 win in favor of City is available at odds of +900. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bruno Fernandes Over 1.5 Shots -167

Bruno Fernandes (United) has covered the 1.5 shots total in eight straight Premier League home matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of -167.

Latest Bruno Fernandes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Tijjani Reijnders to Score +270

Tijjani Reijnders (City) has managed three goals in his past five Premier League matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +270 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tijjani Reijnders Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

City Under 5.5 Corners -137

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by City in their past four away games. We think City might fall short of the mark, with odds of -137 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

United

Total

10.20 5.80 4.40

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

9.20 4.60 4.60

City

Total

8.90 5.70 3.20

Home

10.30 7.30 3.00

Away

8.70 3.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

United Corners

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-167

City Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+650

2

-154

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Manchester United vs Manchester City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Manchester City betting odds are -105 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Manchester derby encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 51% chance of winning. Manchester United are seen as the most unlikely winner at +265.

There are two Asian Handicap options and they are City -0.5 at -106 or alternatively United +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -116.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -227 on the BTTS market.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+265

X

+280

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+155

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-120

12

-385

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-227

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-116

2 Hcp -0.5

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-227

No

+165

You will find Erling Haaland at +280 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -125 that he finds the net at anytime.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-125

Anytime

+280

Phil Foden (City)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

First

+180

Anytime

+575

Benjamin Sesko (United)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Matheus Cunha (United)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+195

Anytime

+550

Bruno Fernandes (United)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Mason Mount (United)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Patrick Dorgu (United)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Amad Diallo (United)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Carlos Casemiro (United)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Rodri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+125

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+120

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-105

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-147

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Mason Mount (United)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Amad Diallo (United)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-

Bryan Mbeumo (United)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Mason Mount (United)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Amad Diallo (United)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

United have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Man City haven’t lost any of their past four away games. The Citizens have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

United drew 0-0 with City when the sides last met at Old Trafford. City have secured five wins, United boast two wins and there have been two draws in the past 9 H2H matches at Old Trafford.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester United Home Stats		5-3-2	3.30	1.90	1.40	5	5	7	3
Manchester City Away Stats		5-2-3	2.90	1.80	1.10	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester United vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on United vs City, check the team news first. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus current injury reports.

Manchester United Team Page Manchester City Team Page

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