Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Sunderland

Leeds take on Sunderland at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Tuesday 3 March.

Leeds look like an attractive bet at -115 and we think the West Yorkshire outfit can beat Sunderland. We’ll place this Full-Time Result wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.

15th-placed Leeds United lost their last game, being beaten at home to Manchester City 1-0 at Elland Road. The Whites had only 32% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Sunderland, currently 12th in the Premier League standings, played Bournemouth away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium. Regis Le Bris' men had just 38% of the ball and recorded four shots on goal, while Eliezer Mayenda found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leeds haven’t lost to Sunderland in their past four games, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Stadium of Light. The past 5 H2H matches have included three draws along with a win each for Leeds and Sunderland.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6	42:48	54
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7	49:56	47

View Full Table

Leeds have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Daniel Farke's team have averaged 40.7% possession, 357.9 passes and 4.1 corners per match, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.3 corners from 4.4 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts.

Brenden Aaronson is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin each have 2. Ilia Gruev is the top assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Karl Darlow and Lucas Perri managing 2 clean sheets between them.

Sunderland have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 10.0 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Wearside side average 47.3% possession, 3.3 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts.

Brian Brobbey is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Enzo Le Fee on 2, with Eliezer Mayenda and two others bagging 1. Nordi Mukiele has clocked up 2 assists, with Robin Roefs keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Karl Darlow (GK), James Justin, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Brenden Aaronson.

Sunderland confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Melker Ellborg (GK), Luke O'Nien, Daniel Ballard, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Lutsharel Geertruida, Noah Sadiki, Nilson Angulo, Habib Diarra, Enzo Le Fee, Eliezer Mayenda.

Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Leeds vs Sunderland bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet considering that Leeds are currently priced at -115. We think they can secure a victory in this Premier League match and the hosts looks a value play.

It's essential to know the players who are missing for the next clash along with the form for each of the two sides. If you’re looking for the best Premier League stats, we will showcase them and they provide the foundation for our football picks.

Key Leeds vs Sunderland league stats:

• Sunderland have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

For those that think Leeds will be able to oblige with a victory along with achieving a shut out, then we recommend backing them to win along with the BTTS No option at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Leeds To Win @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 1, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 0 Sunderland

The Whites can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +525 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Granit Xhaka Over 0.5 Shots -130

Granit Xhaka (Sunderland) has had an average of 0.63 shots in his past eight Premier League away games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure -130 that he goes over the line.

Latest Granit Xhaka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1900

Shots

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

---

Brenden Aaronson to Score +330

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) has scored three goals in his past ten Premier League games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +330 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Brenden Aaronson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+750

Shots

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Under 5.5 Corners -118

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Leeds in six straight games. On this basis, we can take a price of -118 that this Leeds Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

10.40 4.10 6.30

Home

10.10 5.10 5.00

Away

9.00 3.80 5.20

Sunderland

Total

8.40 3.30 5.10

Home

8.20 3.40 4.80

Away

9.10 3.40 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

Leeds Corners

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-125

Sunderland Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-104

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Sunderland Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 54% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Leeds United chalked up at -118 to land a win in this Premier League clash. At +350, Sunderland are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

You can choose Leeds -0.5 or Sunderland +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -120 and -102. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Premier League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+240

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+118

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-333

X2

-106

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-120

2 Hcp +0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-114

Those interested in favourite Dominic Calvert-Lewin to find the net first can get +300, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +120.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+120

Anytime

+300

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+210

Anytime

+475

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Wilson Isidor (Sunderland)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Eliezer Mayenda (Sunderland)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Bertrand Traoré (Sunderland)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Chemsdine Talbi (Sunderland)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Habib Diarra (Sunderland)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Jocelin Ta Bi (Sunderland)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Romaine Mundle (Sunderland)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Christopher Rigg (Sunderland)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Daniel Ballard (Sunderland)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dennis Cirkin (Sunderland)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Wilson Isidor (Sunderland)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Eliezer Mayenda (Sunderland)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Habib Diarra (Sunderland)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Christopher Rigg (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Bertrand Traoré (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Chemsdine Talbi (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Daniel Ballard (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Leeds have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Sunderland have gone without an away win in the last nine games. The Black Cats have finished with five defeats, four draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the sides last met at Elland Road, Leeds beat Sunderland 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-2-3	3.30	1.80	1.50	7	3	7	3
Sunderland Away Stats		1-4-5	2.30	0.60	1.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Sunderland Lineups & Team News

The latest Leeds vs Sunderland team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with the latest injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Sunderland Team Page

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