Marseille vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Apr 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Metz

Marseille go head-to-head with Metz at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Friday 10 April.

We expect Metz to put up plenty of resistance as the outsiders and they’re available at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -112. Our money is divided between +1.5 and 2.0, meaning a safety net for this wager.

Marseille have been defeated in back-to-back Ligue 1 games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Monaco at Stade Louis II. The Provence side recorded eight shots on target and had 52% possession, while Amine Gouiri was the goalscorer.

Metz played Nantes at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Les Grenats dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have not lost any of the past eight games against Metz. In their last encounter, Marseille travelled to Stade Saint-Symphorien and landed a 3-0 win. The previous 8 H2H games have featured six draws and two Marseille victories.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Marseille	28	15	4	9	55	37	18	55:37	49
18	Metz	28	3	6	19	25	60	-35	25:60	15

View Full Table

Marseille have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Habib Beye's team have averaged 52.3% possession, 487.3 passes and 4.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 3.0 corners.

Top scorer Amine Gouiri has found the net 5 times, with Mason Greenwood and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang getting 3 apiece. Igor Paixao is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Geronimo Rulli has 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.1% possession, 436.2 passes, 4.3 corners taken and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts.

Koffi Kouao and Nathan Mbala have top scored with 2 goals, while Giorgi Abuashvili is next on 1. Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Alpha Toure and Koffi Kouao have clocked up 1 assists, with Jonathan Fischer keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Marseille predicted lineup (4-4-2): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Facundo Medina, Timothy Weah, Quinten Timber, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Igor Paixao, Hamed Traore, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Amine Gouiri.

Metz predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Pape Sy (GK), Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Urie-Michel Mboula, Maxime Colin, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Jessy Deminguet, Bouna Sarr, Gauthier Hein, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Marseille vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Marseille vs Metz betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Let’s back the outsiders to deliver the goods, with Metz providing lots of appeal at +1.75. There are attractive odds of -112 for this Ligue 1 game and we’re optimistic about a payout.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Ligue 1 stats to get the full picture.

Key Marseille vs Metz league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 9 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 10 of their last 18 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 7 of their last 8 games against Metz.

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Metz Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 8, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 1 - 0 Metz

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Marseille. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amine Gouiri to Score +135

Amine Gouiri (OM) has scored four goals in his past four Ligue 1 games on home soil. We’re content to land the +135 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+135

First

+410

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -116

The average corner count for the past five Metz away matches has been 7.40, with the equivalent number for the previous ten Marseille games being 7.80. On this evidence, we can take a price of -116 that this Total Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

7.80 4.80 3.00

Home

8.70 5.50 3.20

Away

8.10 4.20 3.90

Metz

Total

8.90 4.30 4.60

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

8.90 3.30 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-116

Marseille Corners

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

-105

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-132

Most Corners

1

-714

X

+950

2

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Metz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 81% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -435 odds about Marseille coming out on top in this Ligue 1 encounter. Metz are the outsiders at +1050 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Marseille at -161, go for Metz at +650 or take the draw at +185.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -112 and No at -120.

The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Ligue 1 game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-435

X

+510

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-161

X

+185

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-1000

X2

+270

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-110

2 Hcp +1.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+163

Over 2.5

-217

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-120

There’s the chance to back Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+102

Anytime

+330

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+135

Anytime

+410

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+320

Anytime

+1000

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Nathan Mbala (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Facundo Medina (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Geoffrey Kondogbia (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Michal (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Emerson Palmieri (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

CJ Egan-Riley (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Marseille have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Metz are winless over their previous eight games on their travels. Les Grenats have seven defeats, two draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 2.20.

Marseille drew 1-1 with Metz in their last Stade Vélodrome meeting. All of the previous 3 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome have finished all square.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		4-3-3	3.10	1.50	1.60	7	3	6	4
Metz Away Stats		1-2-7	3.00	0.80	2.20	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Marseille vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Marseille vs Metz team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups and the latest injury reports.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Metz Team Page

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