Marseille vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Apr 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Metz

Fourth-placed Marseille go head-to-head with bottom-of-the-table Metz at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Friday 10 April.

We expect Metz to put up plenty of resistance as the outsiders and they’re available at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -112. Our money is divided between +1.5 and 2.0, meaning a safety net for this wager.

Marseille have been defeated in back-to-back Ligue 1 games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Monaco at Stade Louis II. The Provence side recorded eight shots on target and had 52% possession, while Amine Gouiri was the goalscorer.

Bottom club Metz played Nantes at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Les Grenats dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have not lost any of the past eight games against Metz. In their last encounter, Marseille travelled to Stade Saint-Symphorien and landed a 3-0 win. The previous 8 H2H games have featured six draws and two Marseille victories.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Marseille	29	16	4	9	58	38	20	58:38	52
18	Metz	29	3	6	20	26	63	-37	26:63	15

View Full Table

Marseille have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Habib Beye's team have averaged 52.3% possession, 487.3 passes and 4.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 3.0 corners.

Top scorer Amine Gouiri has found the net 5 times, with Mason Greenwood and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang getting 3 apiece. Igor Paixao is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Geronimo Rulli has 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.1% possession, 436.2 passes, 4.3 corners taken and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts.

Koffi Kouao and Nathan Mbala have top scored with 2 goals, while Giorgi Abuashvili is next on 1. Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Alpha Toure and Koffi Kouao have clocked up 1 assists, with Jonathan Fischer keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Facundo Medina, Timothy Weah, Quinten Timber, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Igor Paixao, Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Metz confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pape Sy (GK), Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Maxime Colin, Jessy Deminguet, Alpha Toure, Bouna Sarr, Gauthier Hein, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Marseille vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Marseille vs Metz betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Let’s back the outsiders to deliver the goods, with Metz providing lots of appeal at +1.75. There are attractive odds of -112 for this Ligue 1 game and we’re optimistic about a payout.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Ligue 1 stats to get the full picture.

Key Marseille vs Metz league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Metz in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 9 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 10 of their last 18 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 7 of their last 8 games against Metz.

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Metz Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 8, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 1 - 0 Metz

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by OM. You can secure odds of +800 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Habib Diallo Over 1.5 Shots -159

Habib Diallo (Metz) has fired an average of 2 shots in his past five Ligue 1 matches. We are in favour of betting the -159 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Habib Diallo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+900

Shots

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

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Amine Gouiri to Score +135

Amine Gouiri (OM) has racked up four goals in his past four Ligue 1 games on home soil. It’s worth a play on the +135 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-105

First

+350

Shots

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -116

The average corner count for the past five Metz away matches has been 7.40, with the equivalent number for the previous ten Marseille games being 7.80. On this evidence, we can take a price of -116 that this Total Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

7.80 4.80 3.00

Home

8.70 5.50 3.20

Away

8.10 4.20 3.90

Metz

Total

8.90 4.30 4.60

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

8.90 3.30 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Marseille Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-130

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+850

2

+430

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Metz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 83% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -500 odds about Marseille coming out on top in this Ligue 1 encounter. Metz are the outsiders at +1050 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Marseille at -172, go for Metz at +650 or take the draw at +205.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -135.

The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Ligue 1 game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-500

X

+600

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-172

X

+205

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-1250

X2

+300

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

-100

2 Hcp +2

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+220

Over 2.5

-303

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

-100

There’s the chance to back Mason Greenwood at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

-133

Anytime

+290

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

-105

Anytime

+350

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+115

Anytime

+400

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+180

Anytime

+600

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Nathan Mbala (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+410

Anytime

+1300

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+430

Anytime

+1400

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1400

Geoffrey Kondogbia (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Michal (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Emerson Palmieri (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

CJ Egan-Riley (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Medina (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Nathan Mbala (Metz)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Facundo Medina (OM)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Quinten Timber (OM)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

CJ Egan-Riley (OM)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Emerson Palmieri (OM)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Michal (Metz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Marseille have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Metz are winless over their previous eight games on their travels. Les Grenats have seven defeats, two draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 2.20.

Marseille drew 1-1 with Metz in their last Stade Vélodrome meeting. All of the previous 3 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome have finished all square.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		4-3-3	3.10	1.50	1.60	7	3	6	4
Metz Away Stats		1-2-7	3.00	0.80	2.20	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Marseille vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Marseille vs Metz team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups and the latest injury reports.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Metz Team Page

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