Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026

Coupe de France Betting Preview: Marseille vs Toulouse

Ligue 1 teams Marseille and Toulouse clash at Stade Vélodrome in this Coupe de France quarter-final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 4 March.

Marseille can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back OM with confidence against Toulouse. The odds of -185 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Marseille got the victory in their last game. This was in the form of a 3-2 Ligue 1 home scoreline against Lyon at Stade Vélodrome. The Provence side had seven shots on target and 52% possession, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang bagging two goals and Igor Paixao scoring the other.

Toulouse suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 1-0 Ligue 1 scoreline occurred away from home at Roazhon Park against Rennes. Le TéFéCé finished with just 35% possession and had two shots on goal.

In their last Coupe de France matches, Marseille hosted Ligue 1 outfit Rennes and won 3-0, while Toulouse triumphed 1-0 at home to Ligue 2 side Amiens.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille boast an unbeaten record in the past ten games against Toulouse, with the last clash finishing in a 2-2 Ligue 1 draw at Stade Vélodrome. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Marseille wins along with three draws.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Marseille	24	13	4	7	51	33	18	51:33	43
11	Toulouse	24	8	7	9	33	28	5	33:28	31

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Marseille have had 52.9% possession and 3.4 corners per game. On average, OM have conceded 2.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.6 corners.

Top goalscorer Amine Gouiri has found the net 5 times, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Mason Greenwood scoring 4 each. Leading assistor is Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg with 3.

Toulouse have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 6.6 shots on goal, 16.0 attempts and 1.3 goals. Carles Martinez's team average 50.3% possession, 5.9 corners taken and 3.8 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Julian Vignolo, Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo score 2 goals each. Santiago Hidalgo, Charlie Cresswell and Rasmus Nicolaisen have clocked up 1 assists, with Guillaume Restes keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 8 games.

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Marseille vs Toulouse betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that Marseille can get the upper hand in this Coupe de France game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of -185 look too good to resist.

The Coupe de France injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Marseille vs Toulouse Coupe de France & league stats:

• OM have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• OM have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toulouse have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• OM have won 7 of their last 10 games against Toulouse.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 64.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Those that feel bullish when it comes to OM delivering a big win can find some big priced alternatives on the Asian Handicap. Choose your line and secure a larger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Marseille To Win @ -185 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 2, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse

Marseille can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amine Gouiri to Score +180

Amine Gouiri (OM) has found the net in three straight games on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +180.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+480

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Toulouse Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Marseille are regarded as having a 65% chance of winning this Coupe de France clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -185. Toulouse are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +460.

If you fancy Marseille to beat Toulouse by two or more goals, you can get -108 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’ll even get your stake returned if they only win by a single goal.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -143.

Hundreds of markets for every Coupe de France match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-185

X

+310

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+107

X

+143

2

+425

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-455

X2

+138

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-108

2 Hcp +1

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+115

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+104

Favourite Mason Greenwood is now available at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+110

Anytime

+330

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+130

Anytime

+360

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Himad Abdelli (OM)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Medina (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Latest Coupe de France and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Marseille Stats

Toulouse Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.67 corners awarded and 3.56 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.22 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.44 corners awarded and 4.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.63 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 8.63 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.11% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 48.22% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 43.88% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 8 away matches

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Marseille vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Marseille vs Toulouse, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Coupe de France lineups alongside the newest injury information.

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