Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026

Coupe de France Betting Preview: Marseille vs Toulouse

Ligue 1 teams Marseille and Toulouse clash at Stade Vélodrome in this Coupe de France quarter-final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 4 March.

Marseille can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back OM with confidence against Toulouse. The odds of -185 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Marseille got the victory in their last game. This was in the form of a 3-2 Ligue 1 home scoreline against Lyon at Stade Vélodrome. The Provence side had seven shots on target and 52% possession, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang bagging two goals and Igor Paixao scoring the other.

Toulouse suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 1-0 Ligue 1 scoreline occurred away from home at Roazhon Park against Rennes. Le TéFéCé finished with just 35% possession and had two shots on goal.

In their last Coupe de France matches, Marseille hosted Ligue 1 outfit Rennes and won 3-0, while Toulouse triumphed 1-0 at home to Ligue 2 side Amiens.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille boast an unbeaten record in the past ten games against Toulouse, with the last clash finishing in a 2-2 Ligue 1 draw at Stade Vélodrome. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Marseille wins along with three draws.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	18	63:45	59
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	1	47:46	44

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Marseille have had 52.9% possession and 3.4 corners per game. On average, OM have conceded 2.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.6 corners.

Top goalscorer Amine Gouiri has found the net 5 times, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Mason Greenwood scoring 4 each. Leading assistor is Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg with 3.

Toulouse have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 6.6 shots on goal, 16.0 attempts and 1.3 goals. Carles Martinez's team average 50.3% possession, 5.9 corners taken and 3.8 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Julian Vignolo, Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo score 2 goals each. Santiago Hidalgo, Charlie Cresswell and Rasmus Nicolaisen have clocked up 1 assists, with Guillaume Restes keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 8 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Timothy Weah, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Arthur Vermeeren, Mason Greenwood, Himad Abdelli, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Toulouse confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Kjetil Haug (GK), Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Djibril Sidibe, Cristian Casseres Jr., Pape Demba Diop, Dayann Methalie, Aron Doennum, Emersonn, Yann Gboho.

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Marseille vs Toulouse betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that Marseille can get the upper hand in this Coupe de France game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of -185 look too good to resist.

The Coupe de France injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Marseille vs Toulouse Coupe de France & league stats:

• OM have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• OM have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toulouse have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• OM have won 7 of their last 10 games against Toulouse.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 64.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Those that feel bullish when it comes to OM delivering a big win can find some big priced alternatives on the Asian Handicap. Choose your line and secure a larger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Marseille To Win @ -185 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 2, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse

Marseille can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mason Greenwood Over 3.5 Shots -120

Mason Greenwood (OM) has fired over 3.5 shots in three straight games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Player Shots line, with betting odds of -120 now available.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+115

First

+310

Shots

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

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Amine Gouiri to Score +185

Amine Gouiri (OM) has scored at least one goal in three consecutive games on home soil. We’re content to land the +185 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Toulouse Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Marseille are regarded as having a 59% chance of winning this Coupe de France clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -143. Toulouse are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +360.

If Marseille at -0.75 beat Toulouse by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -109.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -135.

Hundreds of markets for every Coupe de France match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+275

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+130

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-385

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-109

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

-102

Favourite Mason Greenwood is now available at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+115

Anytime

+310

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+140

Anytime

+350

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Himad Abdelli (OM)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Medina (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Emerson Palmieri (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tochukwu Nnadi (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Geoffrey Kondogbia (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Hamed Traorè (OM)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Himad Abdelli (OM)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Quinten Timber (OM)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Latest Coupe de France and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Marseille Stats

Toulouse Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.67 corners awarded and 3.56 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.22 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.44 corners awarded and 4.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.63 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 8.63 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.11% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 48.22% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 43.88% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 8 away matches

Marseille vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Marseille vs Toulouse, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Coupe de France lineups alongside the newest injury information.

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