Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Dec 2025

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

Fierce rivals Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory clash at AAMI Park in the Christmas Melbourne derby, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Saturday 20 December.

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see City record a victory and the City Boys are priced at +108 to beat Victory. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.

Ready to back City? Grab the most up-to-date BetMGM promo code and check our detailed review for everything you need to know before betting.

Melbourne City triumphed in their last A-League game which was away from home. Newcastle Jets were beaten 1-0 at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Cranbourne East side managed three shots on target and had 41% possession, with Kavian Rahmani netting the winner in the 27th minute.

Their most recent encounter saw City draw 1-1 when visiting FC Seoul in the AFC Champions League.

Melbourne Victory secured a 2-1 home win over Adelaide United at AAMI Park in their previous game. Arthur Diles' team recorded nine shots on goal and had 44% possession, while Nikolaos Vergos netted twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have won the last two derby clashes against Victory. The most recent was a 2-0 away win after a 1-0 home triumph. The past 10 H2H games have included three City victories, five draws and two Victory wins.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Melb City	16	5	6	5	18	20	-2	18:20	21
8	Melb Victory	15	6	2	7	20	19	1	20:19	20

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. City have had 53.1% possession and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Max Caputo leads the way with 4 goals, with Kavian Rahmani and Yonatan Cohen scoring 2 each. Andreas Kuen is the top assists maker on 3.

Victory have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Boys in Blue average 50.4% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Nikolaos Vergos and Keegan Jelacic have top scored with 2, while Juan Mata is next on 1. Jordi Valadon has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Patrick Beach (GK), Nathaniel Atkinson, Kai Trewin, German Ferreyra, Aziz Behich, Andreas Kuen, Zane Schreiber, Emin Durakovic, Elbasan Rashani, Max Caputo, Takeshi Kanamori.

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Louis D'Arrigo, Jordi Valadon, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Clarismario Rodrigus, Nikolaos Vergos.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our top Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

City can’t be ignored in the Christmas Melbourne derby, especially as odds of +108 are available for this prediction. Head to the betting sites to back this value selection.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the A-League team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• City have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• City have won 10 of their last 15 games at home.
• City have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Victory have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• City have won the last 2 games between these teams.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 48.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing City. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ +108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (09:37, 18 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

City 2 - 1 Victory

There’s the option to wager on City to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Odds of +575 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Max Caputo to Score +108

Max Caputo (City) has scored three goals in his past five A-League matches on home soil. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +108 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Max Caputo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+110

First

+270

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -130

It’s been seven consecutive City home games where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen seven of the previous ten Victory matches achieve the same outcome. On this evidence, we can take a price of -130 that this Total Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

City

Total

8.40 4.50 3.90

Home

7.60 5.30 2.30

Away

9.10 5.10 4.00

Victory

Total

9.60 4.70 4.90

Home

9.30 5.60 3.70

Away

11.10 6.00 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-137

City Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-119

Victory Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-164

X

+650

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites City are regarded as the likeliest winners of the Christmas Melbourne derby. The +110 about them triumphing means a 48% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The +230 means that Victory are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

City -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at -128. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Victory. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. BTTS Yes is available at -143 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all A-League matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+235

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+123

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-370

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-128

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

-100

There’s the chance to back Max Caputo at +270 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Max Caputo (City)

First

+110

Anytime

+270

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+170

Anytime

+390

Benjamin Mazzeo (City)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Mathew Leckie (City)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Andrew Nabbout (City)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Elbasan Rashani (City)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Lawrence Wong (City)

First

+325

Anytime

+750

Andreas Kuen (City)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Alessandro Lopane (City)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Denis Genreau (Victory)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Zane Schreiber (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Emin Durakovic (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Harrison Shillington (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Juan Mata (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Nathaniel Atkinson (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Peter Antoniou (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Aziz Behich (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Kai Trewin (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Besian Kutleshi (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Samuel Souprayen (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Jayden Necovski (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Germán Ferreyra (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

City have gone unbeaten at AAMI Park in the last seven games. The Cranbourne East side have racked up seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Victory have failed to win in their last three matches on their travels. Arthur Diles' team have five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

In the last meeting at AAMI Park, City defeated Victory by a 1-0 scoreline. It has been four City victories, two Victory wins and four draws in the previous 10 H2H meetings at AAMI Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne City Home Stats		7-2-1	2.30	1.80	0.50	3	7	3	7
Melbourne Victory Away Stats		5-1-4	2.70	1.30	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on City vs Victory, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Melbourne City Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page

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