Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United

Bottom-of-the-table Melbourne Victory welcome Adelaide United to AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Saturday 13 December.

Adelaide +0.25 at -139 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Melbourne Victory, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

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Melbourne Victory played Macarthur on their travels in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Campbelltown Stadium. Arthur Diles' men enjoyed 53% possession and had one shot on target.

Adelaide United have lost three consecutive away games. Most recently, they lost 1-0 at home to Brisbane Roar at Coopers Stadium. The South Australia side had three shots on goal and recorded 59% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At AAMI Park, they recorded a 5-3 home victory over Adelaide. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H games involve five Melbourne wins. There have also been three draws and two Adelaide victories.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Adelaide United	14	7	1	6	23	22	1	23:22	22
7	Melb Victory	14	6	2	6	20	18	2	20:18	20

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. Victory have had 52.0% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, the Boys in Blue have conceded 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorer Keegan Jelacic has found the net 2 times, with Juan Mata, Denis Genreau, Zinedine Machach and Bruno Fornaroli getting 1 goals each. Matthew Grimaldi and Jordi Valadon are the top assists makers with 2.

United have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.4% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Luka Jovanovic is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Ethan Alagich on 2, with Joey Garuccio and two others bagging 1. Look no further than Yaya Dukuly for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Louis D'Arrigo, Jordi Valadon, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Clarismario Rodrigus, Nikolaos Vergos.

Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Joshua Smits (GK), Dylan Pierias, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Yaya Dukuly, Ethan Alagich, Luke Duzel, Craig Goodwin, Juan Muniz, Luka Jovanovic.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Adelaide can swerve defeat in this A-League encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -139. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest A-League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 13 of their last 20 games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 58.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Adelaide Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (09:37, 11 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 1 - 2 Adelaide

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Adelaide to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +650, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luka Jovanovic to Score +175

Luka Jovanovic (United) has racked up three goals in his past five A-League matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +175 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Luka Jovanovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -135

It’s been three consecutive Melbourne Victory matches where 10.5 corners has been covered, while the same outcome has happened in three straight Adelaide away games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -135 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

10.00 5.10 4.90

Home

9.20 5.40 3.80

Away

11.10 6.00 5.10

Adelaide

Total

10.20 4.90 5.30

Home

11.50 6.70 4.80

Away

10.20 5.10 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-109

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-115

Adelaide Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Melbourne Victory are the shortest price to win this A-League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 45% probability due to their +123 betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Adelaide United are trading at +185.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Melbourne are -154 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Adelaide are +108 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -204 on the BTTS market.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to A-League matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+265

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+145

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-417

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+108

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+140

You will find favourite Nikos Vergos at +330 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +120 that he finds the net any time.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Luka Jovanovic (United)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Craig Goodwin (United)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Jake Najdovski (United)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+255

Anytime

+650

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Amlani Tatu (United)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Yaya Dukuly (United)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jonny Yull (United)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Dylan Pierias (United)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Ben Folami (United)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Austin Ayoubi (United)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Ethan Alagich (United)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Juan Mata (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Ryan Kitto (United)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Fabian Talladira (United)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Jay Barnett (United)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Melbourne Victory have not won at AAMI Park in the past five matches. Arthur Diles' men have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Adelaide haven’t tasted victory in ten consecutive matches on the road. The South Australia side have finished with seven defeats and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.60.

Melbourne won 5-3 when they last played Adelaide at AAMI Park. In the past 6 H2H matches at AAMI Park, we have seen three draws, two Melbourne wins and one Adelaide victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		4-3-3	2.50	1.40	1.10	3	7	3	7
Adelaide United Away Stats		0-3-7	4.00	1.40	2.60	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Victory vs Adelaide team news. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Adelaide United Team Page

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