Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2025
Melbourne Victory and Auckland lock horns in the first leg of this A-League semi-final tie at AAMI Park.
There’s every reason to wager on both Victory and Auckland finding the net, with the BTTS Yes selection attractively priced. You can land -150 that both teams score a goal.
Melbourne Victory got the win in their last game. A 2-1 victory occurred on the road at CommBank Stadium when meeting Western Sydney. The Boys in Blue had five shots on target and 45% possession, while Kasey Bos and Zinedine Machach scored one goal each.
Auckland lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 4-2 defeat against Western United at AAMI Park. Steve Corica's men boasted 56% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Neyder Moreno and Jesse Randall on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 2-0 away win for Auckland at AAMI Park when they last played Victory.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Auckland |
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34:20 | 36 |
| 5 |  Melb Victory |
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 30:26 | 29 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 12.4 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. Victory have had 55.7% possession and 6.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.
Kasey Bos, Zinedine Machach and Nishan Velupillay lead the way with 4 goals, while Nikolaos Vergos has scored 3. Leading assistor is Nishan Velupillay with 4.
Auckland have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 12.2 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. The New Zealand team average 48.0% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.
Neyder Moreno, Guillermo May and Logan Rogerson have top scored with 4, while Jesse Randall is next on 3. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hiroki Sakai, Francis De Vries and Louis Verstraete who have all made 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Inserra, Brendan Hamill, Lachlan Jackson, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Zinedine Machach, Nishan Velupillay, Nikolaos Vergos.
Auckland confirmed lineup (4-2-2-2): Alex Paulsen (GK), Hiroki Sakai, Daniel Hall, Nando Pijnaker, Francis De Vries, Louis Verstraete, Luis Gallegos, Logan Rogerson, Marlee Francois, Guillermo May, Jesse Randall.
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction & Betting Tips
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -150 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why the teams won’t find the net in this A-League match.
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.
Key Melbourne Victory vs Auckland league stats:
The betting sites make it a 60% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.
There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Auckland
We’re sweet on the prospect of a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +480. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Corners Prediction
Auckland have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four straight away games, while Melbourne Victory have let the opposition have an average of 4.00 corners in their last 10 matches. We expect Auckland to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -120.
Victory
Auckland
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Yes on the Both Teams to Score market, a draw on the Full-Time Result along with Auckland to record under 4.5 corners.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest betting odds show that Melbourne Victory are +155 for a A-League victory, while Auckland are +160 with the bookies and the draw is +230.
Bet on Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now.
Should you want to back Melbourne Victory to win this A-League match, then there is -122 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Auckland chalked at -118.
Bruno Fornaroli is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Melbourne Victory League Stats
Auckland League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Lineups & Team News
You’ve found the right place for Victory vs Auckland team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.
The A-League squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Auckland Confirmed Lineup 4-2-2-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Auckland Confirmed Lineup 4-2-2-2
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 10Bruno Fornaroli
- 11Clarismario Rodrigus
- 22Joshua Rawlins
- 23Alexander Badolato
- 27Reno Piscopo
- 38Luka Didulica
- 40Christian Siciliano
Auckland Substitutes
- 1Michael Woud
- 5Tommy Smith
- 7Cameron Howieson
- 14Liam Gillion
- 17Callan Elliot
- 22Jake Brimmer
- 25Neyder Moreno
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
Previous Auckland Lineups
Melbourne Victory Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Arthur Diles
Auckland Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 43:30 | 40 |
| 2 | Auckland | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 34:20 | 36 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 32 |
| 5 | Melb Victory | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 29 |
| 6 | Central Coast | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:28 | 27 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25:31 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21:27 | 24 |
| 9 | Wellington | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 31:40 | 24 |
| 10 | Melb City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:34 | 22 |
| 12 | Western Sydney | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 2 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 24:17 | 18 |
| 3 | Auckland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Sydney FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Melb Victory | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Central Coast | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Wellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Melb City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:13 | 10 |
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