Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2025

The Net Could Bulge at Both Ends

Melbourne Victory and Auckland lock horns in the first leg of this A-League semi-final tie at AAMI Park.

There’s every reason to wager on both Victory and Auckland finding the net, with the BTTS Yes selection attractively priced. You can land -150 that both teams score a goal.

Black Knights Won 2-0 When Teams Last Met

Melbourne Victory got the win in their last game. A 2-1 victory occurred on the road at CommBank Stadium when meeting Western Sydney. The Boys in Blue had five shots on target and 45% possession, while Kasey Bos and Zinedine Machach scored one goal each.

Auckland lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 4-2 defeat against Western United at AAMI Park. Steve Corica's men boasted 56% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Neyder Moreno and Jesse Randall on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 away win for Auckland at AAMI Park when they last played Victory.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Auckland	26	15	8	3	49	27	22	49:27	53
5	Melb Victory	26	12	7	7	44	36	8	44:36	43

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 12.4 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. Victory have had 55.7% possession and 6.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.

Kasey Bos, Zinedine Machach and Nishan Velupillay lead the way with 4 goals, while Nikolaos Vergos has scored 3. Leading assistor is Nishan Velupillay with 4.

Auckland have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 12.2 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. The New Zealand team average 48.0% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

Neyder Moreno, Guillermo May and Logan Rogerson have top scored with 4, while Jesse Randall is next on 3. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hiroki Sakai, Francis De Vries and Louis Verstraete who have all made 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Inserra, Brendan Hamill, Lachlan Jackson, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Zinedine Machach, Nishan Velupillay, Nikolaos Vergos.

Auckland confirmed lineup (4-2-2-2): Alex Paulsen (GK), Hiroki Sakai, Daniel Hall, Nando Pijnaker, Francis De Vries, Louis Verstraete, Luis Gallegos, Logan Rogerson, Marlee Francois, Guillermo May, Jesse Randall.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction & Betting Tips

The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -150 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why the teams won’t find the net in this A-League match.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Auckland league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Victory games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Victory games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Victory games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Auckland games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Auckland games.

BTTS Yes Probability

The betting sites make it a 60% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Victory 1 - 1 Auckland

We’re sweet on the prospect of a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +480. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Corners Prediction

Auckland Under 4.5 Corners -120

Auckland have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four straight away games, while Melbourne Victory have let the opposition have an average of 4.00 corners in their last 10 matches. We expect Auckland to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

10.20 6.20 4.00

Home

10.70 5.90 4.80

Away

11.30 6.40 4.90

Auckland

Total

8.70 4.10 4.60

Home

10.90 5.90 5.00

Away

9.70 3.80 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-108

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Auckland Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-111

X

+575

2

+107

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Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Close Encounter

The latest betting odds show that Melbourne Victory are +155 for a A-League victory, while Auckland are +160 with the bookies and the draw is +230.

Bet on Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now.

Should you want to back Melbourne Victory to win this A-League match, then there is -122 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Auckland chalked at -118.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+230

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+118

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-313

X2

-213

Draw No Bet

1

-122

2

-118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-156

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+104

Bruno Fornaroli Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Bruno Fornaroli is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Bruno Fornaroli (Victory)

First

+180

Anytime

+430

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Jonty Bidois (Auckland)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Logan Rogerson (Auckland)

First

+240

Anytime

+540

Neyder Moreno (Auckland)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Guillermo May (Auckland)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Max Mata (Auckland)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Liam Gillion (Auckland)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Jesse Randall (Auckland)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Zinedine Machach (Victory)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Daniel Arzani (Victory)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Alexander Badolato (Victory)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Jake Brimmer (Auckland)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Cameron Howieson (Auckland)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Oliver Middleton (Auckland)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Luis Felipe Gallegos (Auckland)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Finn McKenlay (Auckland)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Louis Verstraete (Auckland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Luis Toomey (Auckland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Alexander Menelaou (Victory)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Fabian Monge (Victory)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ryan Teague (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nando Pijnaker (Auckland)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Victory vs Auckland team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The A-League squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Auckland Team Page