Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne Victory vs Auckland

2024/25 runners-up Melbourne Victory host Auckland in this A-League opening round fixture at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 04:35 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Black Knights to Cover the Line?

Our stake will be split when taking Auckland +0.25 at odds of -128 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Melbourne Victory.

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Victory Landed 2-0 Victory in Previous H2H

Melbourne Victory ended last A-League season with a 1–0 defeat to Melbourne City in the Grand Final at AAMI Park, with Arthur Diles' team having 52% possession and three shots on target.

Their most recent encounter involved Melbourne losing 4-3 in extra-time (3-3 after 90 mins) when visiting Olympic Kingsway in the FFA Cup.

Auckland FC ended the 2024/25 A-League season with a 2–1 aggregate defeat in the semi-final against today’s opponents Melbourne Victory. Auckland won the first leg 1–0 away, but were eliminated after a 2–0 loss at home.

Last time out, Auckland were defeated 2-0 when travelling to Heidelberg United in the FFA Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

There have been two Auckland victories, one Melbourne win and one draw in the past 4 H2H meetings.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Melb Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts. Victory have had 53.7% possession and 6.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Zinedine Machach, Kasey Bos, Nishan Velupillay and Nikolaos Vergos are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Nikolaos Vergos has 3. Nishan Velupillay is the leading assists maker on 4.

Auckland have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 47.9% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.

We’ve seen Logan Rogerson, Jesse Randall and Guillermo May score 2 goals each. Look no further than Hiroki Sakai for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Melbourne Victory vs Auckland tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Auckland can swerve defeat in this A-League encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -128. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making A-League recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Auckland league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Auckland in 12 of their last 14 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Auckland in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 3 of their last 4 games against Auckland.

Black Knights +0.25 Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.2% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Auckland Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Victory 0 - 1 Auckland

There could be merit in backing Auckland to win 1-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Logan Rogerson to Score +235

Logan Rogerson (Auckland) has registered two goals in his past five A-League away matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +235 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Logan Rogerson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+235

First

+550

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Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners -147

We’ve seen an average 8.40 corners in the past five Auckland away games, while there has been under 11.5 corners in two straight Melbourne Victory matches. We recommend backing the -147 that the teams aren’t able to cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

10.50 6.00 4.50

Home

10.80 5.80 5.00

Away

10.50 6.00 4.50

Auckland

Total

9.30 4.70 4.60

Home

11.10 6.20 4.90

Away

9.80 3.80 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-141

Under 10.5

-102

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Auckland Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+650

2

+138

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Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Victory Match Odds Suggest Victory

With a 44% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Melbourne Victory are favourites to prosper in this A-League encounter and they’re available at +125 with the bookies. Auckland are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +185.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Melbourne available at -152 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Auckland at +107.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. BTTS Yes is on offer at -159 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the A-League coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+255

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+130

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-400

X2

-182

Draw No Bet

1

-152

2

+107

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-106

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+112

Nikos Vergos Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in favourite Nikos Vergos to find the net first can get +500, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +195.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+195

Anytime

+500

Jonty Bidois (Auckland)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

Logan Rogerson (Auckland)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

Guillermo May (Auckland)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Liam Gillion (Auckland)

First

+335

Anytime

+800

Jesse Randall (Auckland)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Jake Brimmer (Auckland)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Oliver Middleton (Auckland)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Luis Felipe Gallegos (Auckland)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Cameron Howieson (Auckland)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Louis Verstraete (Auckland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Finn McKenlay (Auckland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Nando Pijnaker (Auckland)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Melbourne Looking to Turn a Corner on Home Soil

Melbourne Victory haven’t tasted victory at AAMI Park in the previous three matches. Arthur Diles' team have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Auckland have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

The previous AAMI Park encounter involved a 1-0 Auckland win against Melbourne.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		4-3-3	3.40	1.90	1.50	5	5	5	5
Auckland Away Stats		5-3-2	2.50	1.50	1.00	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Melbourne Victory vs Auckland Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Victory vs Auckland without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Auckland Team Page