Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne Victory go head-to-head with Brisbane Roar at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Saturday 14 February.

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Melbourne Victory record a victory and they are priced at -133 to beat Brisbane. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.

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Melbourne Victory won their last game. It was on their travels where Wellington Phoenix were beaten 3-2 at Sky Stadium. Arthur Diles' team had 43% of possession and six shots on target, with Sebastian Esposito, Nishan Velupillay and Louis D'Arrigo among the goals.

Brisbane Roar have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Central Coast Mariners 2-1 at Kayo Stadium. The Roar had 42% possession and managed two shots on goal, while Nicholas D'Agostino was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Brisbane who were victorious when they last faced Melbourne. At Kayo Stadium, a 1-0 home triumph was recorded. The 10 most recent H2H games have seen five draws, four triumphs for Brisbane and a win for Melbourne.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Melb Victory	16	7	2	7	23	21	2	23:21	23
8	Brisbane Roar	17	6	3	8	17	22	-5	17:22	21

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Victory have had 50.4% possession and 7.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Nikolaos Vergos is the top goalscorer with 5, Clarismario Rodrigus has 4, with Nishan Velupillay and two other players on 2. Juan Mata is the leading assists maker on 7.

Brisbane have 2 victories, 7 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.3 shots on goal, 9.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. Michael Valkanis' men average 48.4% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 8.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Samuel Klein and Chris Long on 2, with Nicholas D'Agostino getting 1. James McGarry, Noah Maieroni and Michael Ruhs have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Melbourne Victory for this A-League clash. There’s loads of value in the -133 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the A-League action.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar league stats:

• Victory have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Victory have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Brisbane have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Brisbane have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Brisbane have lost their last 3 games.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 57.1% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are some different ways to back Victory if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

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Our Match Prediction

Victory To Win @ -133 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (07:08, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 2 - 0 Brisbane

There are odds of +600 available that Victory land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikos Vergos to Score -105

Nikos Vergos (Victory) has scored five goals in his past five A-League games on home soil. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of -105.

Latest Nikos Vergos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-105

First

+240

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Brisbane Under 4.5 Corners -156

In their past two matches, Brisbane have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the last four Melbourne Victory home games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Brisbane Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at -156.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

12.40 7.50 4.90

Home

9.10 5.80 3.30

Away

12.00 6.40 5.60

Brisbane

Total

8.60 4.60 4.00

Home

8.10 5.00 3.10

Away

10.20 4.70 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-123

Brisbane Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-161

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Melbourne Victory odds are -133 which leads to them being favourites in this A-League clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 57% prospect of securing a victory. Brisbane Roar are the +325 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

Backing Melbourne -0.75 at -110 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Brisbane for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -164.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-133

X

+275

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+135

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-455

X2

-106

Draw No Bet

1

-313

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-110

2 Hcp +0.75

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+115

There’s the chance to back Nikos Vergos at +240 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

-105

Anytime

+240

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Michael Ruhs (Brisbane)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Jordan Lauton (Brisbane)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Brendan Hamill (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Melbourne have secured four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Brisbane have secured four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The previous AAMI Park encounter involved a 2-0 Melbourne win against Brisbane. Brisbane have landed victory in three of the past 7 H2H meetings at AAMI Park, with Melbourne securing two wins along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		4-2-4	2.60	1.50	1.10	4	6	4	6
Brisbane Roar Away Stats		4-2-4	2.40	1.10	1.30	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Victory vs Brisbane team news before wagering. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the A-League along with up-to-date injury news.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Brisbane Roar Team Page

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