Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2025

Back Nix on the Asian Handicap

Wellington +1.25 look backable when they clash with Melbourne Victory. There’s the chance to get Asian Handicap odds of -120 and our money is divided between +1 and +1.5 for the outsiders.

Nix Came Out on Top in Last H2H Clash

Melbourne Victory were beaten last game and this was on the road at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets claimed a 3-0 victory. The Boys in Blue had five shots on target and enjoyed 57% possession.

Wellington Phoenix played Brisbane Roar at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Sky Stadium. Giancarlo Italiano's team recorded four shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Isaac Robert Hughes was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Sky Stadium, with Wellington landing the home victory. Defeating Melbourne by a 1-0 scoreline. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured four Melbourne victories, three draws and three Wellington wins.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Melb Victory	26	12	7	7	44	36	8	44:36	43
11	Wellington	26	6	6	14	27	43	-16	27:43	24

View Full Table

Victory have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Arthur Diles' side have averaged 53.7% possession and 6.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Clarismario Rodrigus has found the net 3 times, with Bruno Fornaroli, Ryan Teague and Roderick Miranda scoring 2 each. Nikolaos Vergos, Daniel Arzani and Jordi Valadon are the leading assists makers with 2.

Wellington have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.9 shots on goal, 5.5 attempts and 0.9 goals. The New Zealand outfit average 47.0% possession, 3.8 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 13.3 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.

Kosta Barbarouses has scored 4 goals, followed by Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa, Corban Piper and Paulo Retre on 1. Hideki Ishige has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mitchell Langerak (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Adama Traore, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Nishan Velupillay, Zinedine Machach, Reno Piscopo, Nikolaos Vergos.

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alby Kelly-Heald (GK), Tim Payne, Isaac Robert Hughes, Scott Wootton, Sam Sutton, Corban Piper, Paulo Retre, Matthew Sheridan, Lukas Kelly-Heald, Kosta Barbarouses, Hideki Ishige.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Wellington +1.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the price of -120 for this A-League match in the expectation that the underdogs can run their opponents close.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Wellington in all of their last 5 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 13 of their last 15 games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 14 of their last 17 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 7 consecutive games against Wellington.

Nix +1.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Our Match Prediction

Wellington Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -120 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 2 - 2 Wellington

There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 2-2 draw. Odds of +1300 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners -138

It’s been six consecutive Wellington matches where 11.5 corners has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in three  straight Melbourne Victory games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back the sides to go under the Total Corners line at odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

11.60 6.10 5.50

Home

12.40 6.20 6.20

Away

10.80 5.40 5.40

Wellington

Total

9.30 3.80 5.50

Home

10.40 4.60 5.80

Away

9.90 3.30 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-118

Victory Corners

Over 6.5

-150

Under 6.5

+110

Wellington Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-400

X

+750

2

+310

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

Melbourne Victory have short betting odds to win and they’re overwhelming -278 favourites for this A-League clash. This means the bookies give them a 74% chance of winning the game. For those wanting to back Wellington Phoenix, you will find +600 about this outsider.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the A-League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-278

X

+400

2

+600

Half-Time Result

1

-123

X

+165

2

+480

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-625

X2

+188

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+430

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-123

2 Hcp +1.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-217

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+106

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Victory vs Wellington team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the A-League squads.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page