Melbourne Victory FC
Football Australia - A-League AAMI Park Fri 10 Jan 03:35
Western United FC
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Squads
  7. Table

United to Put Up a Fight Against Victory

We have a strong reason to back Western United on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -105 against Melbourne Victory. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.

3-1 Win for Victory in Pair’s Previous Clash

Melbourne Victory drew their last game 2-2, with the action taking place at AAMI Park against Western Sydney. The Boys in Blue had most of the ball recording 56% possession and seven shots on target, with Roderick Miranda and Ryan Teague scoring one goal apiece.

Western United lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 defeat against Melbourne City at AAMI Park. John Aloisi's team had 48% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne have avoided defeat against United in the past three meetings. Their last clash saw Melbourne enjoy a 3-1 away win at AAMI Park. The past 10 H2H games have involved four wins apiece along with two draws.

A-League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
3 Western United logo Western United 26 14 5 7 55 37 18 55:37 47
5 Melb Victory logo Melb Victory 26 12 7 7 44 36 8 44:36 43
View Full Table
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League Games

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Victory have had 52.0% possession and 6.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.3 corners.

The five top scorers are Roderick Miranda, Ryan Teague, Zinedine Machach, Nikolaos Vergos and Nishan Velupillay, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The top assist makers are Zinedine Machach, Nikolaos Vergos and Reno Piscopo, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Western United – Last 10 League Games

United have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 1.7 goals. The Tarneit side average 49.6% possession, 5.0 corners taken and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Hiroshi Ibusuki is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4 goals, Noah Botic has 3 and Matthew Grimaldi is on 2. Noah Botic has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Jason Geria, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Adama Traore, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Zinedine Machach, Reno Piscopo, Bruno Fornaroli.

Western United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matthew Sutton (GK), Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Benjamin Garuccio, Luke Vickery, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Abel Walatee, Noah Botic, Hiroshi Ibusuki.

Melbourne Victory vs Western United Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re sweet on Western United +0.75 when it comes to the Asian Handicap at odds of -105. We’re hopeful that the underdogs are able to win or draw in this A-League encounter for a nice payout.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Western United league stats:

  • The +0.75 line has been covered by WU in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +0.75 line has been covered by WU in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 4 consecutive games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 6 of their last 10 games against WU.

United +0.75 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are bigger prices on offer for bettors who are willing to move the line. If you want to take a different perspective on a team’s performance, more juice is up for grabs.

Our Match Prediction
Western United Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -105 Bet Now bet365 logo
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Published 08:37, 08 January 2025

Corners Prediction

Western United Over 4.5 Corners -125 bet365 logo

Western United have had over 4.5 corners in five consecutive away games, while Melbourne Victory have had an average of 6.80 corners against them in their last 10 home matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Western United to cover the Team Corners line, with -125 available.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Victory Logo Victory
Total
11.60 6.30 5.30
Home
13.50 6.70 6.80
Away
11.60 5.40 6.20
Western United Logo Western United
Total
10.10 5.00 5.10
Home
9.80 5.10 4.70
Away
11.10 6.00 5.10
Latest Corner Odds

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Melbourne Victory vs Western United Odds

With a 60% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory are favourites to win this A-League match and they’re available at betting odds of -149 with the bookies. The market suggests that Western United are least likely to win at +320.

The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.

Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. A-League selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.

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Team Stats
Melbourne Victory logo Melbourne Victory League Stats
Western United logo Western United League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Melbourne Victory vs Western United Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Victory vs United team news.

We’ve got details of the A-League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

25 Jack Duncan
2 Jason Geria 5 Brendan Hamill 21 Roderick Miranda 3 Adama Traore
6 Ryan Teague 14 Jordi Valadon
7 Daniel Arzani 8 Zinedine Machach 27 Reno Piscopo
10 Bruno Fornaroli
33 Matthew Sutton
13 Tate Russell 6 Tomoki Imai 30 Dylan Leonard 17 Benjamin Garuccio
37 Luke Vickery 23 Rhys Bozinovski 32 Angus Thurgate 20 Abel Walatee
19 Noah Botic 9 Hiroshi Ibusuki

Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Melbourne Victory Substitutes

  • 9Nikolaos Vergos
  • 11Clarismario Rodrigus
  • 17Nishan Velupillay
  • 18Fabian Monge
  • 22Joshua Rawlins
  • 28Kasey Bos
  • 30Daniel Graskoski

Western United Substitutes

  • 1Thomas Heward-Belle
  • 7Ramy Najjarine
  • 10Matthew Grimaldi
  • 22Kane Vidmar
  • 24Michael Ruhs
  • 44Jordan Lauton
  • 77Riku Danzaki

Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups

04 Jan A-League
Melb Victory 2-2 Western Sydney
31 Dec A-League
Auckland 0-0 Melb Victory
28 Dec A-League
Sydney FC 3-0 Melb Victory
21 Dec A-League
Melb Victory 1-1 Melb City
08 Dec A-League
Melb Victory 2-0 Perth Glory
01 Dec A-League
Western United 1-3 Melb Victory

Previous Western United Lineups

07 Jan A-League
Melb City 2-0 Western United
03 Jan A-League
Perth Glory 2-3 Western United
29 Dec A-League
Western United 1-0 Brisbane Roar
20 Dec A-League
Auckland 0-4 Western United
14 Dec A-League
Sydney FC 3-4 Western United
07 Dec A-League
Western United 0-0 Macarthur
Australia FlagA-League Table
2024/2025 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Auckland 26 15 8 3 49:27 53
2 Melb City 26 14 6 6 41:25 48
3 Western United 26 14 5 7 55:37 47
4 Western Sydney 26 13 7 6 58:40 46
5 Melb Victory 26 12 7 7 44:36 43
6 Adelaide United 26 10 8 8 53:55 38
7 Sydney FC 26 10 7 9 53:46 37
8 Macarthur 26 9 6 11 50:45 33
9 Newcastle Jets 26 8 6 12 43:44 30
10 Central Coast 26 5 11 10 29:51 26
11 Wellington 26 6 6 14 27:43 24
12 Brisbane Roar 26 5 6 15 32:51 21
13 Perth Glory 26 4 5 17 22:56 17
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Auckland 13 8 4 1 26:14 28
2 Melb City 13 8 2 3 20:11 26
3 Melb Victory 13 7 4 2 26:16 25
4 Western United 13 7 3 3 23:14 24
5 Sydney FC 13 6 3 4 36:25 21
6 Western Sydney 13 6 2 5 31:23 20
7 Adelaide United 13 4 5 4 27:27 17
8 Newcastle Jets 13 3 3 7 22:22 12
9 Wellington 13 2 5 6 11:17 11
10 Central Coast 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
11 Macarthur 13 2 4 7 22:25 10
12 Brisbane Roar 13 2 2 9 12:26 8
13 Perth Glory 13 2 2 9 11:29 8