Melbourne Victory vs Western United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Jan 2025
United to Put Up a Fight Against Victory
We have a strong reason to back Western United on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -105 against Melbourne Victory. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.
3-1 Win for Victory in Pair’s Previous Clash
Melbourne Victory drew their last game 2-2, with the action taking place at AAMI Park against Western Sydney. The Boys in Blue had most of the ball recording 56% possession and seven shots on target, with Roderick Miranda and Ryan Teague scoring one goal apiece.
Western United lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 defeat against Melbourne City at AAMI Park. John Aloisi's team had 48% possession and one shot on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Melbourne have avoided defeat against United in the past three meetings. Their last clash saw Melbourne enjoy a 3-1 away win at AAMI Park. The past 10 H2H games have involved four wins apiece along with two draws.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | ![]() |
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 55:37 | 47 |
5 | ![]() |
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 44:36 | 43 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Victory have had 52.0% possession and 6.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.3 corners.
The five top scorers are Roderick Miranda, Ryan Teague, Zinedine Machach, Nikolaos Vergos and Nishan Velupillay, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The top assist makers are Zinedine Machach, Nikolaos Vergos and Reno Piscopo, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Western United – Last 10 League GamesUnited have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 1.7 goals. The Tarneit side average 49.6% possession, 5.0 corners taken and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.
Hiroshi Ibusuki is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4 goals, Noah Botic has 3 and Matthew Grimaldi is on 2. Noah Botic has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Jason Geria, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Adama Traore, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Zinedine Machach, Reno Piscopo, Bruno Fornaroli.
Western United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matthew Sutton (GK), Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Benjamin Garuccio, Luke Vickery, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Abel Walatee, Noah Botic, Hiroshi Ibusuki.
Melbourne Victory vs Western United Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re sweet on Western United +0.75 when it comes to the Asian Handicap at odds of -105. We’re hopeful that the underdogs are able to win or draw in this A-League encounter for a nice payout.
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Melbourne Victory vs Western United league stats:
United +0.75 Probability
The bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
There are bigger prices on offer for bettors who are willing to move the line. If you want to take a different perspective on a team’s performance, more juice is up for grabs.

Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +1000 that the two teams play out a 2-2 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Corners Prediction
Western United have had over 4.5 corners in five consecutive away games, while Melbourne Victory have had an average of 6.80 corners against them in their last 10 home matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Western United to cover the Team Corners line, with -125 available.






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Melbourne Victory vs Western United Odds
With a 60% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory are favourites to win this A-League match and they’re available at betting odds of -149 with the bookies. The market suggests that Western United are least likely to win at +320.
The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.
Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. A-League selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.







- A-League: 01/12 2024 Western United 1 Melbourne Victory 3
- A-League: 14/03 2024 Western United 2 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 20/02 2024 Melbourne Victory 2 Western United 1
- A-League: 13/03 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Western United 2
- A-League: 26/12 2022 Western United 1 Melbourne Victory 0
- FFA Cup: 03/08 2022 Western United 2 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 21/05 2022 Melbourne Victory 1 Western United 4
- A-League: 17/05 2022 Western United 0 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 23/03 2022 Melbourne Victory 1 Western United 1
- A-League: 26/12 2021 Melbourne Victory 3 Western United 1


- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 6.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Melbourne Victory this season are Nikolaos Vergos (2), Nishan Velupillay (2), Roderick Miranda (2)
- Top Assistors for Melbourne Victory this season are Nikolaos Vergos (2), Reno Piscopo (2), Zinedine Machach (2)
Melbourne Victory vs Western United Lineups & Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Victory vs United team news.
We’ve got details of the A-League squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 9Nikolaos Vergos
- 11Clarismario Rodrigus
- 17Nishan Velupillay
- 18Fabian Monge
- 22Joshua Rawlins
- 28Kasey Bos
- 30Daniel Graskoski
Western United Substitutes
- 1Thomas Heward-Belle
- 7Ramy Najjarine
- 10Matthew Grimaldi
- 22Kane Vidmar
- 24Michael Ruhs
- 44Jordan Lauton
- 77Riku Danzaki
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
Previous Western United Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:27 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:25 | 48 |
3 | Western United | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55:37 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58:40 | 46 |
5 | Melb Victory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44:36 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53:46 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50:45 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43:44 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29:51 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:43 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32:51 | 21 |
13 | Perth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22:56 | 17 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 26 |
3 | Melb Victory | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 25 |
4 | Western United | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:27 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |














