Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Nov 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
Middlesbrough host Birmingham at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 8 November. Our betting preview features expert Championship predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Oppose a High-Scoring Game
We’re not expecting the net to bulge too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals anticipated when Middlesbrough and Birmingham clash. The Total Goals market selection gives us generous betting odds of -128.
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Boro Won 1-0 When Teams Last Met
Middlesbrough faced Leicester City away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at King Power Stadium. The Boro had the majority of the ball enjoying 63% possession and three shots on target, while Luke Ayling scored the goal.
Birmingham City made it back-to-back Championship wins after a 4-0 home success over Millwall at St Andrew's. The West Midlands outfit recorded 58% possession and had six shots on goal, while Seung-Ho Paik, Demarai Gray, Alexander Cochrane and Jay Stansfield were all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It has been five successive wins for Middlesbrough when playing Birmingham. In their last clash, visitors Middlesbrough secured a 1-0 victory at St Andrew's. The previous 10 H2H games have included six wins for Middlesbrough, three triumphs for Birmingham and a single draw.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17:12 | 26 |
| 9 | Birmingham |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19:15 | 21 |
3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Middlesbrough have had 54.7% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.
Morgan Whittaker and Kaly Sene lead the way with 2 goals, while Luke Ayling has 1. Callum Brittain and Luke Ayling are the leading assists makers with 2.
Birmingham City – Last 10 League GamesBirmingham have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 13.9 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Blues average 54.8% possession, 5.6 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jay Stansfield on 4, followed by Seung-Ho Paik and Demarai Gray with 2. Alexander Cochrane has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Solomon Brynn (GK), Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Matthew Targett, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway, Sverre Nypan, David Strelec.
Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Alex Cochrane, Seung-ho Paik, Tommy Doyle, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch.
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Make the most of Middlesbrough vs Birmingham with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
The price of -128 looks particularly appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 for this Championship showdown. It’s expected that these teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash.
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Championship form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
Key Middlesbrough vs Birmingham league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.
Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Middlesbrough is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) can be backed at -120 to record one or more shots on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
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Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) has managed two goals in his past five Championship games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +350 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are two or less goals to be registered, Middlesbrough on the Asian Handicap at -0.25 combined with Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) to have one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Giving Boro Plenty of Respect
The bookmakers have betting odds of +140 for Middlesbrough to triumph in this Championship clash, with Birmingham City trading at a price of +200 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +215.
There are different ways to bet on Middlesbrough winning and that includes the +105 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Birmingham, you get half stakes refunded.
If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Championship matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Tommy Conway Heads First Goalscorer Market
Tommy Conway is the market leader at +480 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Middlesbrough Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run
Middlesbrough have not tasted defeat at Riverside Stadium in five straight matches. The Boro have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Birmingham have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
The most recent Riverside Stadium meeting saw Middlesbrough claim a 1-0 win over Birmingham. The previous 5 H2H meetings at Riverside Stadium have seen two wins for each team and a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Middlesbrough Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
Birmingham Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 1.90 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 12/03 2024 Birmingham 0 Middlesbrough 1
- Championship: 21/10 2023 Middlesbrough 1 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 02/01 2023 Birmingham 1 Middlesbrough 3
- Championship: 05/10 2022 Middlesbrough 1 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 15/03 2022 Birmingham 0 Middlesbrough 2
- Championship: 30/10 2021 Middlesbrough 0 Birmingham 2
- Championship: 16/01 2021 Middlesbrough 0 Birmingham 1
- Championship: 19/12 2020 Birmingham 1 Middlesbrough 4
- Championship: 21/01 2020 Middlesbrough 1 Birmingham 1
- Championship: 04/10 2019 Birmingham 2 Middlesbrough 1
Middlesbrough League Stats
Birmingham League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.43 corners awarded and 3.57 corners against in the last 7 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 7 away matches
- An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.43% possession in the last 7 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 7 away matches
- Top Scorers for Middlesbrough this season are Hayden Hackney (2), Kaly Sene (2), Morgan Whittaker (2)
- Top Assistors for Middlesbrough this season are Callum Brittain (2), Hayden Hackney (2), Luke Ayling (2)
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Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Middlesbrough vs Birmingham team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with the latest injury news.
Middlesbrough Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Middlesbrough Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Middlesbrough Lineups
Previous Birmingham Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 39:13 | 31 |
| 2 | Stoke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Preston | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:13 | 25 |
| 5 | Millwall | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Charlton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16:11 | 23 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 22 |
| 8 | Hull | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Derby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 12 | Watford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 13 | Leicester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:19 | 18 |
| 15 | West Brom | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12:15 | 18 |
| 16 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 17 | Swansea | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | 17 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 19 | Southampton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:20 | 15 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10:17 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 22 | Norwich | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11:26 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:26 | -4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Preston | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Watford | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 14 |
| 8 | Hull | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Stoke | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 10 | Derby | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 14 | West Brom | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Swansea | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 17 | QPR | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 19 | Southampton | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 20 | Oxford | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:18 | 2 |
| 24 | Norwich | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
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