Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Pelicans

The Dallas Mavericks battle the New Orleans Pelicans in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We Think Under 238.5 is the Value Bet

Under 238.5 points could be on the money when the Mavericks go up against the Pelicans. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring game and the odds of -108 looks like a value wager.

119-113 Victory for Pelicans in Last Head-to-Head

Dallas Mavericks won their previous game 130-120. This victory at Rocket Arena against Cleveland Cavaliers was their second road win on the spin. Cooper Flagg dropped 27 points, as Naji Marshall finished with 25 and PJ Washington 20.

New Orleans Pelicans have won four home games on the spin. On the road at Toyota Center in their last game, they were beaten 107-105 by Houston Rockets. Dejounte Murray scored 35 points, with Zion Williamson adding 21 and Trey Murphy 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Pelicans beat the Mavs in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 119-113 scoreline at Smoothie King Center. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Mavericks logo Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans logo Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
View Full Standings
Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 105.5 points, 46.0 rebounds, 25.1 assists, 6.1 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 43.8% from the field and 77.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 119.2 points and 45.1 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 13.0 points and 4.5 assists, while Daniel Gafford averages 6.6 rebounds and Max Christie 2.1 (32.8%) 3-pointers made.

New Orleans Pelicans – Last 10 Games

The Pelicans have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 118.9 points, 46.8 rebounds, 25.6 assists, 9.1 steals and 6.6 blocks per game while shooting 47.0% from the field and 80.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 115.6 points and 44.1 rebounds.

Saddiq Bey is averaging 19.2 points and 5.3 rebounds, Dejounte Murray 4.2 assists and Trey Murphy 2.7 (47.4%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg.

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy, Saddiq Bey.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 238.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this NBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -108 can be backed.

Our basketball predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date NBA stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Mavericks vs Pelicans stats:

  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Mavs games.
  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Mavs games on the road.
  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Pelicans games at home.
  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Pelicans games at home.
  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Pelicans games.
  • The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 238.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Game Prediction
Under 238.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 16, 01:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:03, 16 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Naji Marshall Under 16.5 Points -123 BetMGM logo

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has recorded an average of 11.5 points in the past 8 games. Using this stat, we’re happy to take the -123 when it comes to him failing to cover the line on Player Points.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds


Max Christie Over 2.5 Rebounds -106 BetMGM logo

Max Christie (Mavs) has totaled Over 2.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 10 games. We recommend backing the -106 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Max Christie Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Pick

Totals Under 240.5
Spread Pelicans -8.5
Player Points Naji Marshall Under 16.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 240.5, followed by Pelicans -8.5 on the spread and Naji Marshall (Mavs) to score Under 16.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks Mavericks logo 109 - 122 Pelicans logo Pelicans

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Pelicans to achieve a 122-109 victory at huge odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Pelicans Heavy Favorites to Win

New Orleans Pelicans are -345 favorites and that means a 78% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Dallas Mavericks are the underdogs at +280 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

8.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 240.5 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 240.5, there are odds of -108.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Zion Williamson Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Zion Williamson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -122 that he goes Over 22.5 points and -112 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 22.5
-122
Under 22.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 22.5
-109
Under 22.5
-125
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 21.5
-127
Under 21.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Dejounte Murray (Pelicans)
Over 18.5
-112
Under 18.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Dejounte Murray (Pelicans)
Over 6.5
-115
Under 6.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 4.5
+116
Under 4.5
-156
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Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 3.5
-133
Under 3.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)
Over 7.5
-143
Under 7.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-141
Under 6.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-120
Under 6.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 5.5
-156
Under 5.5
+115
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Smoothie King Center
Smoothie King Center
Pelicans Eye Another Home Win

The Pelicans have chalked up four straight victories at Smoothie King Center. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 118.20 points scored and 113.60 points allowed.

The Mavs have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 112.60 points per contest and conceding 119.60.

When the teams last met at Smoothie King Center, the Pelicans beat the Mavs 119-113. In the past 10 head-to-head meetings at Smoothie King Center, the Pelicans have won six while the Mavs have four victories.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O238.5 U238.5
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Home Stats 7-3 231.80 118.20 113.60 2 8
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Away Stats 4-6 232.20 112.60 119.60 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O238.5 = Games Over 238.5 Points
  • U238.5 = Games Under 238.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Stats
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cooper Flagg 55 33.62 1113 243 20.2 4.4 1.0 6.7 0.9 1.1
PJ Washington 49 30.84 683 92 13.9 1.9 1.3 7.0 1.2 1.0
Max Christie 63 29.46 798 133 12.7 2.1 2.3 3.3 0.3 0.6

New Orleans Pelicans Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Trey Murphy 59 35.41 1295 228 21.9 3.9 3.3 5.7 0.3 1.5
Saddiq Bey 61 30.84 1045 152 17.1 2.5 1.9 5.7 0.1 1.0
Zion Williamson 51 29.67 1093 170 21.4 3.3 - 5.9 0.6 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

New Orleans Pelicans Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup
1 Zion Williamson
2 Herbert Jones
21 Yves Missi
25 Trey Murphy
41 Saddiq Bey
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup
0 Max Christie
9 Ryan Nembhard
13 Naji Marshall
25 PJ Washington
32 Cooper Flagg

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

15 Mar NBA
Mavericks 130-120 Cavaliers
13 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 138-105 Mavericks
12 Mar NBA
Mavericks 120-112 Grizzlies
10 Mar NBA
Mavericks 112-124 Hawks
08 Mar NBA
Mavericks 92-122 Raptors
06 Mar NBA
Mavericks 100-120 Celtics
05 Mar NBA
Mavericks 114-115 Magic
03 Mar NBA
Mavericks 90-117 Hornets
01 Mar NBA
Thunder 100-87 Mavericks
27 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 124-105 Mavericks

Previous New Orleans Pelicans Lineups

13 Mar NBA
Pelicans 105-107 Rockets
11 Mar NBA
Raptors 111-122 Pelicans
08 Mar NBA
Wizards 118-138 Pelicans
06 Mar NBA
Pelicans 116-118 Suns
05 Mar NBA
Pelicans 133-123 Kings
03 Mar NBA
Pelicans 101-110 Lakers
01 Mar NBA
Pelicans 117-137 Clippers
28 Feb NBA
Pelicans 115-105 Jazz
26 Feb NBA
Pelicans 129-118 Jazz
24 Feb NBA
Warriors 109-113 Pelicans

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
76ers 2 0 1 110 103 7 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Cavaliers 0 1 0 106 114 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bucks 0 2 0 120.5 130 -9.5 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-2 2L
Bulls 1 1 0.5 112 130 -18 0-0 1-1 1-0 1-1 1-1 1W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 2 0 1 106 94 12 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Nuggets 0 1 0 84 96 -12 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
76ers 2 0 1 110 103 7 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Cavaliers 0 1 0 106 114 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bucks 0 2 0 120.5 130 -9.5 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-2 2L
Bulls 1 1 0.5 112 130 -18 0-0 1-1 1-0 1-1 1-1 1W
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 2 0 1 106 94 12 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Nuggets 0 1 0 84 96 -12 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Thunder 2 0 1 106 94 12 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
76ers 2 0 1 110 103 7 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2W
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Bulls 1 1 0.5 112 130 -18 0-0 1-1 1-0 1-1 1-1 1W
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Cavaliers 0 1 0 106 114 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nuggets 0 1 0 84 96 -12 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Bucks 0 2 0 120.5 130 -9.5 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-2 2L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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