Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Derby

Middlesbrough meet Derby at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 29 November.

Wager Derby +0.75 at -116 in their meeting with Middlesbrough. Dividing the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0 means we have the safety net if the visitors lose by a goal, with a full payout for a draw or win.

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Middlesbrough lost their last game, being beaten at home to Coventry City 4-2 at Riverside Stadium. Kim Hellberg's men had two shots on target and boasted 59% possession, while Morgan Whittaker and Bobby Thomas (own goal) scored one goal apiece.

Derby County have triumphed in their previous three away games. A 2-1 win recently occurred at Swansea.com Stadium when playing Swansea City. The East Midlands side were restricted to just 27% possession and had five shots on goal, while Joe Ward and Lars-Joergen Salvesen were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 1-0 home win when playing Derby at Riverside Stadium. The past 9 H2H games have involved three wins each and three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Middlesbrough	26	13	7	6	37	26	11	37:26	46
13	Derby	26	9	8	9	35	35	0	35:35	35

View Full Table

Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. The Boro have averaged 57.1% possession and 5.9 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.2 corners from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

Morgan Whittaker is the top scorer with 4 goals, Hayden Hackney has 2, with Dael Fry and Luke Ayling on 1. Callum Brittain has recorded the most assists with 4.

Derby have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.5 goals from 10.2 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. John Eustace's team average 40.2% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while conceding 1.0 goals from 12.0 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Carlton Morris has top scored with 6, while Lars-Joergen Salvesen and Patrick Agyemang are next best on 2. Joe Ward has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Solomon Brynn (GK), Callum Brittain, Alfie Jones, Matt Targett, Alex Bangura, Alan Browne, Hayden Hackney, Morgan Whittaker, Sontje Hansen, Delano Burgzorg, Tommy Conway.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Diaz, Patrick Agyemang, Lars-Joergen Salvesen.

Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Middlesbrough vs Derby bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We’re going to side with Derby at +0.75. The Asian Handicap price of -116 looks like an attractive bet for this Championship game and the numbers suggest that we can receive a payout.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Championship action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Middlesbrough vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Derby in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 6 of their last 9 games against Derby.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 53.8% chance of delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -116 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Derby

There are odds of +475 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sontje Hansen Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough) is available at -164 to fail to have a shot on goal. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Sontje Hansen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-164

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Morgan Whittaker to Score +310

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) has managed two goals in his past four Championship matches on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +310.

Latest Morgan Whittaker Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-172

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 3.5 Corners -106

In the past 10 Derby away games, there’s been 8 occasions where they’ve not covered the 3.5 corners line, while Middlesbrough have conceded 2.60 corners on average in their last 5 matches. There’s a chance to go under the Derby Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -106 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Middlesbrough

Total

10.10 5.90 4.20

Home

10.70 6.10 4.60

Away

9.70 5.90 3.80

Derby

Total

11.40 5.40 6.00

Home

9.90 5.10 4.80

Away

10.30 3.60 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-141

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+105

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-233

X

+700

2

+225

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Middlesbrough vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Middlesbrough are the shortest price to win this Championship clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 56% probability due to their -128 betting odds. Derby County are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +370.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Middlesbrough at +135, go for Derby at +375 or take the draw at +115.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -137 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Championship match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-128

X

+245

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+135

X

+115

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-357

X2

-105

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-130

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+117

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-137

Favourite Tommy Conway is priced at +400 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +160.

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+180

Anytime

+410

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

+143

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+128

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-172

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-164

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-185

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-303

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-526

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Middlesbrough have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Derby have landed three straight away wins. The East Midlands side have secured six wins, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The previous Riverside Stadium encounter involved a 1-0 Middlesbrough win against Derby. We’ve seen Middlesbrough claim three wins in the past 4 H2H meetings at Riverside Stadium, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Middlesbrough Home Stats		5-3-2	2.30	1.10	1.20	5	5	5	5
Derby Away Stats		6-2-2	2.70	1.60	1.10	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Middlesbrough vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Always review the Middlesbrough vs Derby team news before locking in your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.

Middlesbrough Team Page Derby County Team Page

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