Millwall vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Nov 2024
We Don’t Expect Both Teams to Score
We’re keen to head to the BTTS market and take the -150 about the No selection which looks like value. Providing that either Millwall or Burnley draw a blank, we will end up winning with our prediction.
1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Encounter
Millwall have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest of these was on the road where Swansea City were beaten 1-0 at Swansea.com Stadium. The Lions had just 28% possession and recorded two shots on target, with a late goal from Casper de Norre making all the difference.
Burnley drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Turf Moor ended 0-0 against Queens Park Rangers. Scott Parker's team recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Millwall and Burnley ended all square. This head-to-head was a 1-1 draw at The Den. In the previous 3 meetings between these teams, there has been one draw. Burnley have won two games and Millwall zero.
Millwall – Last 10 League GamesMillwall have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. The South London club have averaged 39.3% possession and 6.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.5 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 5.5 corners.
Top goalscorers are Romain Esse and Duncan Watmore on 2 goals, while Casper de Norre has bagged 1. George Honeyman and Macaulay Langstaff are tied for the most assists on 2.
Burnley – Last 10 League GamesBurnley have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 0.8 goals from 9.3 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal. The Clarets average 61.7% possession, 5.9 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while conceding 0.4 goals from 6.7 attempts and 2.0 shots on goal.
Josh Brownhill has scored 3 goals, followed by Zian Flemming, Jaidon Anthony, Jeremy Sarmiento and Luca Koleosho on 1. Jaidon Anthony has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Bornhoeft Jensen (GK), Ryan Leonard, Japhet Tanganga, Jake Cooper, Joe Bryan, Casper de Norre, George Saville, Femi Azeez, George Honeyman, Romain Esse, Macaulay Langstaff.
Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Cullen, Josh Brownhill, Luca Koleosho, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Andreas Hountondji.
Millwall vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re not expecting both sides to net in this Championship encounter and that leads us to the Both Teams to Score market. We can back BTTS No and feel optimistic considering the odds of -150 are value.
BTTS No Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 60% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking for bigger odds on your BTTS No selection, one potential strategy is to combine this pick with a particular team to win on the Result & Both Teams to Score market.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Burnley
A 1-0 win in favor of Millwall is available at odds of +575. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Millwall vs Burnley Odds
The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Millwall are +180 to land a Championship home victory, while Burnley are +175 to win on the road. The draw is trading at +190 should you think the clash will end all square.
The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.
Should you want to back Millwall to win this Championship match, then there is -106 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Burnley chalked at -115.
Millwall League Stats
Burnley League Stats
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 39.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 61.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Millwall this season are Duncan Watmore (5), Romain Esse (3), Casper de Norre (1)
- Top Assistors for Millwall this season are George Honeyman (3), Macaulay Langstaff (2), Casper de Norre (1)
Millwall vs Burnley Lineups & Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Millwall vs Burnley team news.
The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Substitutes
- 2Dan McNamara
- 4Shaun Hutchinson
- 13Liam Roberts
- 14Ryan Wintle
- 16Daniel Kelly
- 19Duncan Watmore
- 21Josh Coburn
- 22Aidomo Emakhu
- 26Mihailo Ivanovic
Burnley Substitutes
- 3Shurandy Sambo
- 7Jeremy Sarmiento
- 9Jay Rodriguez
- 16John Egan
- 23Lucas Pires
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 32Vaclav Hladky
- 39Owen Dodgson
- 48Enock Agyei
Previous Millwall Lineups
Previous Burnley Lineups
Championship Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 13 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 15 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 17 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipswich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Preston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Watford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Hull | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 8 |
| 7 | Leicester | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 8 | QPR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 11 | Stoke | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Swansea | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 16 | West Brom | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Derby | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 20 | Oxford | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 22 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:14 | 1 |
| 23 | Norwich | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
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