Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Canadiens vs Maple Leafs

Historic rivals Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns in this NHL matchup at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, October 8. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

There could be a shortage of goals between the Canadiens and the Maple Leafs, leading us to a prediction of Under 5.5 goals. There are appealing odds of +112 for this outcome.

Montreal Canadiens ended last season with a first-round Stanley Cup Playoff exit, losing the series 4–1 to the Washington Capitals. In Game 5, the Montreal Canadiens lost 4–1 on the road at Capital One Arena, with Emil Heineman scoring the lone goal as the Habs registered 29 shots on goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs' 2024/25 campaign ended in the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, with the Leafs losing the series 4–3 to the Florida Panthers. In the decisive Game 7, Toronto fell 6–1 at home, as Max Domi scored the team’s only goal from 20 shots on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs triumphed 1-0 when they last played the Habs. This head-to-head was played at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Habs. They’ve landed 8 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Sam Montembeault (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-8-4	3.5	.872	0
23/24	16-15-9	3.14	.903	0

Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-10-3	3.3	.892	0
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 24.9 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have given up 3.0 goals from 29.8 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Cole Caufield is the top points scorer with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, with Nick Suzuki recording 7 points, 5 goals and 2 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Sam Montembeault have a 2.57 goal against average with a .915 save percentage.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 25.9 shots on goal, with a 7.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.6 goals from 28.1 shots, averaging 4.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.1%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Max Pacioretty is next best after registering 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.56 GAA with a .886 SV%, including one shutout.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The +112 available that this NHL clash goes under the 5.5 goal line certainly looks appealing. Our pick is that the teams’ combined goals will fall short of the mark.

Our expert NHL handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our hockey analysis.

Key Canadiens vs Maple Leafs stats:

• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Canadiens games on the road.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Canadiens games on the road.

Under 5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 47.2% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

For a larger payout, many bettors will include their Under pick on the Totals with other selections. A Bet Builder is perfect for combining all your predictions.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Our Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Goals @ +112 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 7, 23:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Knies Over 1.5 Shots -200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. There is odds of -200 available when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Canadiens 3 - 2 Maple Leafs

There could be merit in backing the Canadiens to win 3-2. Odds of +1000 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Canadiens

Maple Leafs

1-0

Canadiens

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Canadiens

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

2-1

Canadiens

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1300

3-0

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2400

3-1

Canadiens

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1600

3-2

Canadiens

+1000

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Canadiens

+5500

Maple Leafs

+2800

4-1

Canadiens

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1150

4-2

Canadiens

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Canadiens

+1200

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+4500

5-1

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+1700

5-2

Canadiens

+2400

Maple Leafs

+1300

5-3

Canadiens

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Canadiens

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+7000

6-1

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-2

Canadiens

+5000

Maple Leafs

+2400

6-3

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-4

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-0

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-1

Canadiens

+15000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-2

Canadiens

+12500

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-3

Canadiens

+8000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-4

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-1

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-3

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-4

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-5

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Toronto Maple Leafs at -169 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 63% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Montreal Canadiens are the underdogs at +140 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s +116.

Whether you’re wagering pre-game or in-game, the best NHL betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. With practically endless options, it’s great to have so many alternatives to match your view of the encounter.

Moneyline

Canadiens

+140

Maple Leafs

-169

3-Way Moneyline

Canadiens

+240

Tie

+350

Maple Leafs

-115

Puck Line

Canadiens +1.5

-179

Maple Leafs -1.5

+146

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-143

Over 6.5

+116

Player prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Goals they might score or the number of Shots they might have.

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 13.1
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.2
• Hits: 24.4
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 23.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 18
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 25.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.3
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 34
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 33.5
• Hits: 23.6
• Giveaways: 16.9
• Takeaways: 4.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Top Ice Hockey Pages