Monza vs Calcio Padova Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Serie B Betting Preview: Monza vs Calcio Padova

Monza host Calcio Padova in this Italian Serie B game at U-Power Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:15 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

A Tight Game In Store

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Monza and Calcio Padova meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -152 look really appealing.

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Each Team Bidding to Secure Another Win

Monza won 1-0 when hosting Sampdoria at U-Power Stadium in their last league game. That means it’s now been two Serie B home wins on the spin. I Biancorossi had the majority of the ball enjoying 59% possession and two shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Agustin Alvarez in the 59th minute.

Calcio Padova secured a 2-1 home win over Entella at Stadio Euganeo in their previous game. They boasted 55% possession and had five shots on goal, with Mattia Bortolussi and Jonas Harder both on target.

Serie B		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Monza	12	8	2	2	17	7	10	17:7	26
12	Calcio Padova	12	3	5	4	12	14	-2	12:14	14

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 7.7 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. Monza have had 52.3% possession and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 11.8 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while earning 3.8 corners.

Agustin Alvarez is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Dany Mota, Armando Izzo, Samuele Birindelli and Gianluca Caprari each have 1. The leading assistor is Gianluca Caprari with 2.

Calcio Padova have won 1, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 0.8 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Matteo Andreoletti's team average 50.5% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.3 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Mattia Bortolussi has scored 2 goals, while Jonas Harder has 1. Alessandro Capelli and Kevin Varas have both managed 1 assists in the previous 4 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Monza confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Demba Thiam (GK), Armando Izzo, Luca Ravanelli, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Samuele Birindelli, Pedro Obiang, Leonardo Colombo, Paulo Azzi, Andrea Colpani, Agustin Alvarez, Mirko Maric.

Calcio Padova confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mattia Fortin (GK), Carlo Faedo, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Antonio Barreca, Alessandro Capelli, Pietro Fusi, Lorenzo Crisetig, Kevin Varas, Kevin Lasagna, Mattia Bortolussi.

Monza vs Calcio Padova Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Monza vs Calcio Padova betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this Serie B encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of -152.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Serie B odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.

Key Monza vs Calcio Padova league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 4 Monza games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 60.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Monza 1 - 0 Calcio Padova

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Monza at odds of +335. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -123

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three consecutive Monza matches, while there has been an average of 8.00 corners in the previous two away games involving Calcio Padova. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -123 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monza

Total

8.00 4.20 3.80

Home

8.20 4.10 4.10

Away

8.50 3.50 5.00

Calcio Padova

Total

9.75 4.25 5.50

Home

11.50 5.50 6.00

Away

8.00 3.00 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-119

Under 8.5

-119

Monza Corners

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-163

Calcio Padova Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-213

X

+650

2

+215

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Monza vs Calcio Padova Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Monza Made Favourites by the Bookies

Monza are regarded as having a 60% chance of winning this Serie B clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -147. Calcio Padova are regarded as the least likely winner at +390.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Monza -0.75 at -116. If they beat Calcio Padova by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -156.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Serie B games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+250

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+116

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-417

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-116

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-156

Six Losses for Monza in Previous Ten Home Games

Monza have clocked up six losses, two wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Calcio Padova have clocked up one draw and one loss in the past 2 away games, recording an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Monza Home Stats		2-2-6	2.00	0.50	1.50	3	7	3	7
Calcio Padova Away Stats		0-1-1	2.00	0.50	1.50	1	1	1	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Monza vs Calcio Padova Lineups & Team News

Check the Monza vs Calcio Padova team news before you place your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Serie B lineups along with timely injury updates.

Monza Team Page Calcio Padova Team Page