NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Aug 2025

Eredivisie Betting Preview: NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda host AZ Alkmaar in this Dutch Eredivisie game at Rat Verlegh Stadion, with kick-off set for 10:45 on Sunday 31 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

AZ Facing Tough Test vs NAC

NAC +1 against AZ looks an attractive bet and we’ll see a payout at Asian Handicap odds of -105 if they’re able to win or draw the game. A one-goal defeat would see our stake returned.

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Teams Drew 1-1 in Previous H2H Clash

NAC Breda were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-0 loss against NEC Nijmegen at Stadion De Goffert. Carl Hoefkens' team had 48% possession and two shots on target.

AZ Alkmaar drew on their travels in their previous Eredivisie game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Volendam at Kras Stadion. The Cheeseheads enjoyed 66% possession and managed three shots on goal, while Ibrahim Sadiq and Troy Parrott were both on target.

On Thursday night, AZ triumphed 4-1 in the Europa Conference League qualifier at home to Levski Sofia.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We saw NAC draw 1-1 away to AZ at AFAS Stadion when the teams last went head-to-head. The previous 4 H2H games have involved two AZ triumphs, one NAC win and one draw.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	6:3	4
12	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	2:6	3

View Full Table

NAC have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Carl Hoefkens' side have averaged 47.2% possession, 406.5 passes and 3.4 corners per game, conceding 1.9 goals and 4.7 corners from 13.0 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Top scorer Leo Sauer has found the net 2 times, with Lewis Holtby, Juho Talvitie, Elias Mar Omarsson and Kacper Kostorz getting 1 goals each. Jan van den Bergh has recorded the most assists with 2.

AZ have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.4 goals from 15.3 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 52.1% possession, 454.9 passes, 6.4 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Mexx Meerdink has landed 6 goals, Troy Parrott 3, with Ibrahim Sadiq and two others scoring 2. Sven Mijnans is top assists provider with 5, while Rome Owusu-Oduro has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

NAC Breda predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Bielica (GK), Cherrion Valerius, Enes Mahmutovic, Rio Hillen, Boy Kemper, Lewis Holtby, Max Balard, Juho Talvitie, Kamal Sowah, Mohamed Nassoh, Sydney van Hooijdonk.

AZ Alkmaar predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro (GK), Denso Kasius, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit, Kees Smit, Jordy Clasie, Sven Mijnans, Ibrahim Sadiq, Troy Parrott, Ro-Zangelo Daal.

NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going for NAC on the Asian Handicap +1 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw this Eredivisie clash. We feel as though there’s plenty of juice in the odds of -105.

Sportsgambler.com boast Eredivisie expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by NAC in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by NAC in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by NAC in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 15 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 3 of their last 4 games against NAC.

NAC +1 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

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Our Match Prediction

NAC Breda Asian Hcp +1 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NAC 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

There are odds of +650 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kees Smit Under 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Kees Smit (AZ) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in four straight Eredivisie games away from home. There’s a reasonable prospect that he will fall short of the mark, with odds of -154 on offer that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.

Latest Kees Smit Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

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Troy Parrott to Score -108

Troy Parrott (AZ) has scored in his past two Eredivisie games. We’ll throw a dart at -108 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Troy Parrott Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-106

First

+270

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-111

Shots

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -132

All of the past seven NAC Breda games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the last five  AZ Alkmaar matches. We’re willing to wager the -132 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

NAC

Total

8.10 3.40 4.70

Home

9.10 4.90 4.20

Away

9.10 3.20 5.90

AZ Alkmaar

Total

9.80 6.40 3.40

Home

9.60 6.80 2.80

Away

10.30 5.80 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-132

NAC Corners

Over 3.5

-138

Under 3.5

-100

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+245

X

+700

2

-222

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NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think AZ Most Likely to Win

For this Eredivisie encounter, the bookmakers have AZ Alkmaar as the -189 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 65% chance of triumphing. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +430 for NAC Breda.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +155. Alternatively, AZ can be backed at +102 and NAC are on offer at +400.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -147.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the top betting sites can provide this. For any Eredivisie match, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+430

X

+350

2

-189

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+155

2

+102

Double Chance

1X

+135

12

-500

X2

-667

Draw No Bet

1

+280

2

-435

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-110

2 Hcp -1

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+107

Troy Parrott is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Troy Parrott is available at -106 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +270 to find the net first.

Troy Parrott (AZ)

First

-106

Anytime

+270

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

First

+128

Anytime

+350

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Sydney Van Hooijdonk (NAC)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Kees Smit (AZ)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Denso Kasius (AZ)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Zico Buurmeester (AZ)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Mohamed Nassoh (NAC)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Raul Paula (NAC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Juho Talvitie (NAC)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Mees de Wit (AZ)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Lewis Holtby (NAC)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Clint Leemans (NAC)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mateo Chávez (AZ)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-100

Troy Parrott (AZ)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-111

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

Sydney Van Hooijdonk (NAC)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Mohamed Nassoh (NAC)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-222

Denso Kasius (AZ)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Zico Buurmeester (AZ)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Raul Paula (NAC)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Juho Talvitie (NAC)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Lewis Holtby (NAC)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Clint Leemans (NAC)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-455

Mees de Wit (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Mateo Chávez (AZ)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Troy Parrott (AZ)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Sydney Van Hooijdonk (NAC)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Denso Kasius (AZ)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Mohamed Nassoh (NAC)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Zico Buurmeester (AZ)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Raul Paula (NAC)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Juho Talvitie (NAC)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Mees de Wit (AZ)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Holtby (NAC)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Clint Leemans (NAC)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Chávez (AZ)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-

NAC Struggling to Avoid Home Draws

NAC have finished with six draws, two wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

AZ haven’t been beaten in three straight games away from home. The Alkmaar club have five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

The previous Rat Verlegh Stadion encounter involved a 2-1 AZ win against NAC.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
NAC Breda Home Stats		2-6-2	2.60	1.20	1.40	4	6	9	1
AZ Alkmaar Away Stats		3-5-2	3.30	1.80	1.50	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie together with updated injury news.

NAC Breda Team Page AZ Alkmaar Team Page