Nacional vs Arouca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2025
Take Nacional With Some Insurance
We’re happy to side with Nacional 0.0 on the Asian Handicap when they take on Arouca. At odds of -123, we get a return if the hosts win and there’s the insurance of money back if the game is drawn.
1-0 Arouca Win When Teams Last Clashed
Nacional have secured back-to-back home wins. Their last game was on the road and a 2-0 defeat occurred against Sporting CP at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The White and Black ended up with just 36% possession and one shot on target.
Arouca won their previous game, beating Moreirense at home. It was a 1-0 victory at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's men had 50% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Jason firing the winner in the 77th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Arouca overcame Nacional in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at Municipal de Arouca.
Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | ![]() |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3:1 | 3 |
15 | ![]() |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 |
Nacional have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Tiago Margarido's side have averaged 44.6% possession, 340.2 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 7.6 corners.
Top goalscorers are Bruno Costa and Dudu Teodora on 2 goals, while Djibril Soumare has bagged 1. Jose Gomes, Luis Esteves and Bruno Costa have the most assists with 1, while goalie Lucas Franca has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Arouca – Last 10 League GamesArouca have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.5% possession, 436.3 passes, 6.6 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.
Jason is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Guven Yalcin on 3, with Tiago Esgaio and two others bagging 1. Taichi Fukui, Miguel Puche and Chico Lamba have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Nico Mantl has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Nacional confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Franca (GK), Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses Rocha, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Djibril Soumare, Luis Esteves, Dudu Teodora, Daniel Penha, Bruno Costa, Joel Tagueu.
Arouca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nico Mantl (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Chico Lamba, Boris Popovic, Weverson, David Simao, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Pablo Gozalbez, Morlaye Sylla, Henrique Araujo.
Nacional vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips
We think Nacional are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Primeira Liga game. This selection makes appeal at odds of -123, with a win expected for the home team.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Nacional vs Arouca league stats:
Nacional 0.0 Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 55.2% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There’s the opportunity to sell goals and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger potential return from the available odds.

Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Nacional at odds of +700. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Nacional vs Arouca Odds
Arouca are available at betting odds of +205 to win away to Nacional, with the home side trading at +123 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +220 for this Primeira Liga encounter.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those customers expecting two goals or less.
If you fancy Nacional but want money back if this Primeira Liga match is a draw, then you can get -159. You can bet on Arouca at +120 on the Draw No Bet market.









- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 7.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.33 corners awarded and 6.11 corners against in the last 9 home matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.44 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.33% possession in the last 9 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 9 home matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Isaac Aguiar (3), Bruno Costa (2), Dudu Teodora (2)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Gustavo Garcia (2), Luis Esteves (2), Adrian Butzke (1)
Nacional vs Arouca Lineups & Team News
Our Nacional vs Arouca team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arouca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arouca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Substitutes
- 1Rui Encarnacao
- 2Joao Aurelio
- 7Ruben Macedo
- 15Chiheb Labidi
- 18Andre Sousa
- 23Isaac Aguiar
- 34Leonardo Santos
- 71Fuki Yamada
- 88Matheus Dias
Arouca Substitutes
- 1Joao Valido
- 4Matias Rocha
- 11Miguel Puche
- 23Dylan Nandin
- 24Brian Mansilla
- 31Mamadou Loum Ndiaye
- 50Guven Yalcin
- 78Alex Pinto
- 89Pedro Santos
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Arouca Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
3 | Famalicão | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
4 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
6 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
7 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
8 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
9 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
13 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
15 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
16 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
17 | Tondela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
18 | Vitória | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
3 | Famalicão | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
4 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
5 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
6 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
7 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Sporting | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | AVS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Vitória | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
18 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |











