South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

NBL Betting Preview: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers

South East Melbourne Phoenix host New Zealand Breakers, with tip-off set for 04:00 on Saturday 13 December.

We’re going for a modest total when South East Melbourne meet New Zealand. Under 186.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -109.

South East Melbourne Phoenix were beaten 89-81 in their last game, being turned over at home to Tasmania JackJumpers.

New Zealand Breakers won their previous game, beating Tasmania JackJumpers at home. It was a 99-86 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South East Melbourne beat New Zealand when the teams last met. It was a 87-81 scoreline. South East Melbourne have triumphed in their previous three meetings against New Zealand. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L
7  NZ Breakers	13	20	3022	3058	-36	7-9	6-11	1W

View Full Standings

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 186.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -109 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this NBL matchup.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our NBL experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key South East Melbourne vs New Zealand league stats:

• The 186.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 SEM Phoenix games at home.
• The 186.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 NZ Breakers games.
• The 186.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 NZ Breakers games.
• The 186.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 NZ Breakers games.

Under 186.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is why we think it’s worth placing this basketball wager.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 186.5 Points @ -109 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 12, 08:54). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 91 - 88 NZ Breakers

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take SEM Phoenix to win 91-88. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

South East Melbourne Phoenix have the shortest price to win this NBL game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 71% probability due to their -250 Moneyline betting odds. New Zealand Breakers are the underdogs at +190 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 186.5. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 186.5 at -109.

Consider every angle when placing your NBL bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

-250

NZ Breakers

+190

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -6.5

-108

NZ Breakers +6.5

-115

Total Points

Under 186.5

-109

Over 186.5

-114

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NBL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

New Zealand Breakers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 197.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 190.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 187.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 101.20 pts and allowed 96.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 98.00 pts and allowed 92.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 182.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 180.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 187.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.30 pts and allowed 93.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 90.80 pts and allowed 89.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sydney Kings	24	9	3276	2879	397	13-4	11-5	11W
2  Adelaide 36ers	23	10	3042	2890	152	12-5	11-5	1L
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L
4  Perth Wildcats	21	12	2996	2840	156	10-7	11-5	1W
5  Melbourne United	20	13	3041	2905	136	11-6	9-7	1W
6  JackJumpers	14	19	2873	2884	-11	6-10	8-9	2L
7  NZ Breakers	13	20	3022	3058	-36	7-9	6-11	1W
8  Illawarra Hawks	13	20	3074	3205	-131	7-9	6-11	2W
9  Cairns Taipans	9	24	2754	3194	-440	4-13	5-11	2L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	27	2710	3196	-486	2-14	4-13	13L

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