Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Mar 2025

Casa Pia have a strong chance against Nacional and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -125 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

Nacional were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-0 loss against Benfica at Estadio da Luz. Tiago Margarido's team had 44% possession and totalled three shots on target.

Casa Pia have lost three straight road games. Most recently, they lost 3-1 at home to Sporting CP at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese enjoyed 51% possession and four shots on goal, while Ricardo Esgaio (own goal) was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia overcame Nacional in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Nacional	13	3	3	7	12	18	-6	12:18	12
15	Casa Pia	13	2	3	8	13	27	-14	13:27	9

View Full Table

Nacional have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. The Madeira outfit have averaged 46.8% possession, 351.0 passes and 3.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 5.6 shots on goal, 15.0 attempts and 6.9 corners.

Top scorer Dudu Teodora has found the net 3 times, with Daniel Penha, Jose Gomes and Bruno Costa getting 2 each. Luis Esteves has the most assists with 2, while goalie Lucas Franca has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 3.2 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 1.5 goals. Joao Pereira's men average 48.3% possession, 389.8 passes, 3.2 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 13.6 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal.

Cassiano and Nuno Moreira have scored 3 goals, followed by Jeremy Livolant with 2. Gaizka Larrazabal has been chief assist maker on 3, with Patrick Sequeira recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Leonardo Santos, Ulisses Rocha, Djibril Soumare, Gustavo Garcia, Daniel Penha, Luis Esteves, Arvin Appiah, Dudu Teodora, Isaac Aguiar, Paulinho Boia.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Ruben Kluivert, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Pablo, Rafael Brito, Leonardo Lelo, Korede Osundina, Caue Vinicius, Miguel Sousa.

Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ll side with Casa Pia +0.25 for this Primeira Liga clash, with an attractive -125 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest stats.

Key Nacional vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 6 of their last 10 games.

According to the bookies, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia can be backed at +650 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

It has been six straight Casa Pia games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with two  consecutive Nacional matches seeing the same thing happen. The Total Corners line looks too high and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.50 3.60 6.90

Home

10.20 4.20 6.00

Away

12.20 4.30 7.90

Casa Pia

Total

8.70 3.20 5.50

Home

9.70 4.50 5.20

Away

8.90 3.10 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-130

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Casa Pia Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+550

2

+117

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Nacional vs Casa Pia Odds

The latest betting odds show that Nacional are +143 for a Primeira Liga victory, while Casa Pia are +195 with the bookies and the draw is +200.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

+143

X

+200

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

-100

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-270

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-137

2

+108

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+107

2 Hcp +0.25

-139

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-132

Nacional vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Nacional vs Casa Pia team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

Nacional Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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